SnowLover22 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Lets discuss the storm here since we are 1-2 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 And here we laid to rest the storm formally known as the potential coastal February 8th-9th, 2017. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Latest Wxsim for NW Chesco has 3" to 5" of snow but it struggles a bit longer with a heavy mix with all snow by 630am if it is wrong then those numbers could go up a bit Wednesday night: Mostly cloudy to cloudy in the evening, becoming dense overcast after midnight. Patchy light fog after midnight. A slight chance of rain in the evening, then a mix of rain, snow, and sleet likely after midnight. Low 29. Wind north-northwest around 5 mph in the evening, becoming northeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly around an inch. Snow or ice (on ground) accumulation about half an inch. Thursday: Dense overcast in the morning, becoming cloudy in the afternoon. Patchy light fog in the morning. A mix of snow, sleet, and rain likely in the morning, then a slight chance of snow in the afternoon. High 32, but temperatures falling in the afternoon. Wind chill ranging from 18 to 26. Wind north-northeast around 12 mph, gusting to 24 mph, in the morning, becoming north-northwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly around half an inch. Snow or ice (on ground) accumulation 3 to 5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 25 minutes ago, shemATC said: And here we laid to rest the storm formally known as the potential coastal February 8th-9th, 2017. lol It was good while it lasted.. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Best of luck to all you guys inland and north of me. You are all overdue this winter! I'm just hoping to see some crazy dynamics and am pulling for a stronger coastal storm. If the Poconos can get good natural snow coverage all the better as we have another school club trip up there this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 From Ryan Maue who posted so it is allowed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Wonder if the dynamics are such that someone gets thunder snow out of this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 I feel like the snowfall totals will obviously not be as uniform as you get from the operational world models. We will have a strong fronto band it seems with intense lift. Where air rises, it also has to sink somewhere as well. If someone can sit under rates 3-4" for a good two hours, it would be amazing. I'm simply hoping the subsidence doesn't set shop over me lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 NAM is a great run!. 4-8 inches for Philly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 WSW issued for possible 6+ sounds like a good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 NAM southeast enough to target our region with highest amounts and come in line with most guidance, comprehensive coverage for all of us without the evil gradient I hope that look holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Rgem is unreal: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 RGEM jackpots Monmouth, lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Glenn's 4:20pm accums reasonable: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 Hopefully the gfs continues with the trend toward the euro. Edit: Rgem says 10 inches for philly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 RGEM is way too deep. 970? come on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Excellent GFS run for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 Gfs says 6-10 inches for Philly. This is looking great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigtenfan Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 34 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Glenn's 4:20pm accums reasonable: I was watching the local news for NYC and they have a 6-12 inch swipe all the way from NYC SW to everything east of Phila Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUMG11 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 46 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Glenn's 4:20pm accums reasonable: Extremely bearish. Still a day to up them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Timing being moved up to ending in the morning damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 EPAWA's Forecast Map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 46 minutes ago, RUMG11 said: Extremely bearish. Still a day to up them. Ch6 expands the 4-8" more than Glenn: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
svh19044 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 The WPC Probabilistic Snowfall Forecast looks good! 70% chance of 4" plus anything north of Philadelphia, with upper mont/bucks a 50% plus shot at greater than 8". It pretty much goes hand in hand with EPAWA's "zones". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Ugh, expect a SE trend thread jinx now at 0Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Or a significant North jump....what the hell is the NAM doing??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 0z 12km NAM still a formidable 5-10" event in SE PA. Quick hitter and its out. A few hours of 1-3"/hr rates. Works for me. Surface low was notably shifted North on the 12km. Awaiting the NAM 4km.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Wxsim with 18z data for NW Chester County continues to tick up slightly with Heavy Snow by 4am Thursday - totals between 6" to 8" of snow by early PM Wednesday night: Mostly cloudy to cloudy in the evening, becoming dense overcast after midnight. Patchy light fog after midnight. A slight chance of rain in the evening, then a mix of rain and snow likely after midnight. Low 32. Wind chill ranging from 26 to 49. Wind north-northeast around 4 mph. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly between half an inch and one inch. Snow accumulation around 2 inches. Thursday: Dense overcast in the morning, becoming mostly cloudy to cloudy in the afternoon. Patchy light fog. Snow likely in the morning, then a chance of snow in the afternoon. High 34, but temperatures falling in the afternoon. Wind chill ranging from 20 to 26. Wind north around 11 mph, gusting to 23 mph. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly between half an inch and one inch. Snow accumulation 4 to 6 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Still not a NAM fan until within 24 hours.....just eye candy for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 4km NAM is 8-12" SE PA. 3km 5-10" same areas. Of bigger note is the sizeable jump N on the NAM with the slp. We salvage a snow event because the system is deeper and more consolidated/dynamic. Impressive lift. Hopefully just a blip and not a trend.....we dont need a stinking N trend in SE PA especially right along I95. We already saw the door close on our DC friends the last 12 hours so......fingers crossed for us. Still thinking NW burbs jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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