nj2va Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, mitchnick said: Slp placement and movement similar to Gfs. That's what my initial take was...seems GFS-ish. Waiting on total precip but based on the Tropical Tidbits panels so far, it doesn't seem too impressive when it matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 7 minutes ago, yoda said: We buy... yes? Umm no. Weak sauce. Barely any precip at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 CMC at 60. Temps 32-34. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 LOL. Start a thread they said. It'll be fun they said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 RGEM appears it'd be better than its 'parent' GGEM if extrapolated (I know, the dreaded term here!). So there's that....I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: LOL. Start a thread they said. It'll be fun they said. Well, seeing as this was a low expectation to begin with, it ain't a crusher, lol Personally, I was already kinda looking past this one (I'm interested to see if a few promising trends in the LR continue) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 18z Para is a good hit for Baltimore north. 2" Baltimore and 6" along the M/D line. DC surface a touch too warm this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 00z DWD-ICON looks like a good hit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 UKMET rolling out now but I think we will like the end result. 1003 slp in eastern KY/sw VA to 989 just east off OC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 YES PLEASE UKIE (pretty sure we'd hit it...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, yoda said: 00z DWD-ICON looks like a good hit... ~4mm of snow qpf at 33 degrees falling on a wet and warm ground. Not great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: UKMET rolling out now but I think we will like the end result. 1003 slp in eastern KY/sw VA to 989 just east off OC. ~20-25 mm of precip but not sure on temps yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 The icon and U.K. are both nice hits nw of the cities. Not sure about surface temps but it would seem to put 95 in play also. if the euro follows the U.K. it would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 I think something is off with the Meteogram for D.C. It shows 0" precip and 850s +8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 UK is kinda JMA like with the amount of precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 d Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Models are having a lot of trouble with this one, probably because the origin is a series of disorganized frontal waves between Colorado and the Pacific coast. The main center is probably the one in south central Idaho dropping southeast but the California energy may hold back development. That could be good. The longer this takes to organize, the more entrenched cold air can become over the inland northeast. Something to note -- full moon on Friday evening will rise in eclipsed (penumbral) shadow, 7 p.m. to 8 p.m. the peak. Whatever this storm does it should be clearing by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 5 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said: d I'm just going to give that a big LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 I like the cluster of gefs lows much better than the op. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs-ens®ion=eus&pkg=lowlocs&runtime=2017020700&fh=60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Ecmwf has a second low 100 miles off the del marva at 48hrs that wasn't there on past runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 Yes please 00z EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, yoda said: Yes please 00z EURO What does this mean??????!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Euro is teasing us big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Verbatim the surface is a little warmer in the cities on the Euro. Still good for a few inches with a good enough thump, but the snow max shifted north a bit compared to 12z. Well, GFS it aint from what you're describing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, stormtracker said: What does this mean??????!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, AlaskaETC said: Euro is teasing us big time. What does this mean??!?!!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, yoda said: Hmm, QPF is good, but WxWatcher says temps increased a bit. Not sure we can afford any more increases with thermals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Verbatim the surface is a little warmer in the cities on the Euro. Still good for a few inches with a good enough thump, but the snow max shifted north a bit compared to 12z. I dunno if its warmer this run... looks like 33 and paste to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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