clskinsfan Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 NAM not as juicy as the 18Z run. Actually a little bit weaker and warmer through 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, stormtracker said: I dunno. By 51 hours looks like it's gonna cut us again. Yup... 54 has SLP in WV lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Well, Bob made a good point earlier...the NAM is usually too amp'd beyond 48 hours..maybe it is now. I mean, that's our hope right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Well, Bob made a good point earlier...the NAM is usually too amp'd beyond 48 hours..maybe it is now. I mean, that's our hope right now. We are trying to will a storm into existence where it will be 65 degrees <12 hours prior to onset. Hope is one word for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, MN Transplant said: We are trying to will a storm into existence where it will be 65 degrees <12 hours prior to onset. Hope is one word for it. That's how we roll up in the Mid-ATL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Well, Bob made a good point earlier...the NAM is usually too amp'd beyond 48 hours..maybe it is now. I mean, that's our hope right now. Yeah. Looks pretty gross. Its had some nutty runs even inside its wheelhouse of late too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On to the GFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Anytime Pittsburgh is getting mauled on the NAM it cant be good for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 At least it NAM'd NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: We are trying to will a storm into existence where it will be 65 degrees <12 hours prior to onset. Hope is one word for it. Yeah I said this earlier. Disengaging from the guidance for a minute, we all intuitively know how often this works out. And this winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 5 minutes ago, nj2va said: At least it NAM'd NYC. Imagine if the Euro shows this later. Euro caves to NAM. That's an 11 on the despair index Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 4km NAM no better. HR 60 has the SLP in central WV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Imagine if the Euro shows this later. Euro caves to NAM. That's an 11 on the despair index Tonight's the test. Euro hasn't shown a decent event for us more than 2 runs in a row so far this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, nj2va said: 4km NAM no better. HR 60 has the SLP in central WV. Yes the 4km is horrendous. at least we have the JMA. It's time for bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 5 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Imagine if the Euro shows this later. Euro caves to NAM. That's an 11 on the despair index I can't believe I'm saying this but I'm staying up for the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: Imagine if the Euro shows this later. Euro caves to NAM. That's an 11 on the despair index Euro has been pretty steady for a few runs now. Yeah if it went the way of the NAM, given its propensity to do this, that might be a bad omen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Since when does the NAM lead the way?? Oh right, winter 16-17. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Tonight's the test. Euro hasn't shown a decent event for us more than 2 runs in a row so far this year. Its 3 out of the last 4 right now. Not bad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Not a single mention about the NAM annihilating New England with feet of snow? Cmon guys, we should be rooting them on. They need more sports championships and monster snowstorms! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, C.A.P.E. said: Its 3 out of the last 4 right now. Not bad! Yeah, but I wish we were in NE. When the Euro shows similar snow chances for NE to what it has shown for the MA in the last 4 runs, they get snow. Us, we're still sweatin' bullets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Since when does the NAM lead the way?? Oh right, winter 16-17. ? It looks great for you. You are north of Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 14 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Yeah I said this earlier. Disengaging from the guidance for a minute, we all intuitively know how often this works out. And this winter... It's a fun fantasy.. But we all know how this going to work out for this event. Cold chasing out 60 degree temps = rain/(maybe snow) mix. Northwest (md/pa) line 2-6". My money is euro caves to gfs.. Hope I'm wrong! But I hold out hope for next 10-12 days to score something good. Otherwise I'm just moving to Vermont or Colorado next year lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 ? It looks great for you. You are north of Philly. Trends suck imo. High of 61 here on NAM mos late Wednesday. I already know how this will likely play out. Getting the flavored syrup ready to make slurpees with the little bit of frozen mess that accumulates on my deck :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Trends suck imo. High of 61 here on NAM mos late Wednesday. I already know how this will likely play out. Getting the flavored syrup ready to make slurpees with the little bit of frozen mess that accumulates on my deck :-) Well if you are discouraged then the rest of us should grab one last drink and call a cab. A double scotch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 33 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: We are trying to will a storm into existence where it will be 65 degrees <12 hours prior to onset. Hope is one word for it. That's what I've been saying. Bring an arctic cold front through and maybe we can talk. But seems we're relying on modified polar air and nighttime cooling to get us in the vicinity of the 30s and then precip cooling the column more? Um...well, we can try. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 The GFS really needs to take another step towards the Euro. Even a small one will do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 00z RGEM at 48 is south and east of NAM. RGEM slp is in NC while NAM had it in on the KY/VA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, nj2va said: 00z RGEM at 48 is south and east of NAM. RGEM slp is in NC while NAM had it in WV at the same time. Wow. What a huge distance. Not even close to one another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 NAM parallel and NAM nest 3 km parallel are both slightly southeast of their operational versions. Still not quite good enough for DC Metro but a much closer call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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