mitchnick Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Gfs fails to deepen enough for what most of us need to overcome temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, NinjaWarrior2 said: Snow maps look no better than 18z did, less than an inch until north of Cockeysville. Looks a little worse to me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Not giving up hope yet, no matter what y'all say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, mitchnick said: Gfs fails to deepen enough for what most of us need to overcome temps. The Euro will bring home the goods... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, Paleocene said: I was referring to the next 24 hours I'm spending with your mom Welp, time to lock the thread. Get a goodnights sleep tonight all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Welp, time to lock the thread. Get a goodnights sleep tonight all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Paleocene said: I was referring to the next 24 hours I'm spending with your mom This should be your last post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: GFS is a nice hit. It's a shame on timing being overnight. If it was during the day. You guys could drive out for this one. The gfs I'm looking at looks like an inch of snow here. Not sure I'd put many eggs in this basket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: This should be your last post Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: The gfs I'm looking at looks like an inch of snow here. Not sure I'd put many eggs in this basket. If you are concentrating on the Accum map yeah. Look at the rates and precip type overnight. We get whacked pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Geeze. What the hell? I am about as unoffendable a person you can get but that kind of behavior is uncalled for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Man you guys are uptight, I make a positive post - actually not even positive, I said a run was "OK." Then I get a snarky retort about cold rain, and snap back as a joke. I guess jokes are not allowed unless your post count is over a certain number. Delete it or move it to banter, whatever. Ban me if you can't handle the jokes too, that's an option. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: If you are concentrating on the Accum map yeah. Look at the rates and precip type overnight. We get whacked pretty good. Looking at 3 hr intervals tells the picture a lot better..its not that great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 12 minutes ago, Paleocene said: I was referring to the next 24 hours I'm spending with your mom Mom jokes? Seriously? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: If you are concentrating on the Accum map yeah. Look at the rates and precip type overnight. We get whacked pretty good. I was looking at TT map. I'm also looking at the fact that we don't even get 850's below freezing until about hour 29 or so. We don't get a huge amount of precipitation after that. I also expect the surface to lag the 850 by a good bit. The one ace in the hole is the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Say what you want about the GFS but its been fairly consistent the last 3 runs. I would bet on the GFS and pray for better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Ok. 0z gfs is definitely an improvement over 18z. Shaper, little colder, better backside after the mslp pass. People should really not troll. It's annoying The runs arent getting worse and worse so people should keep some faith... I mean, this could totally be heading in an awful direction and it's not... there are slight improvements. Stop trolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 So we are closer in time to the event, yet both the NAM and GFS are showing colder surface temps by 12Z Thursday compared to the two or three previous runs. Something's not being resolved correctly with all the moving parts--- 18Z Thursday is now much colder on the models too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said: Looking at 3 hr intervals tells the picture a lot better..its not that great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 It is kinda cool to think that at 120 hours the storm didn't exist. Gives hope the next time the long range shows dick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, Paleocene said: Man you guys are uptight, I make a positive post - actually not even positive, I said a run was "OK." Then I get a snarky retort about cold rain, and snap back as a joke. I guess jokes are not allowed unless your post count is over a certain number. Delete it or move it to banter, whatever. Ban me if you can't handle the jokes too, that's an option. I'll try to be cordial. Talking about f'n people's mothers is never a joke unless it's a closed circle of long time old friends which this isn't. It's a public forum. I don't care how you try to spin things. You clearly lack tact, discretion, and class. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, clskinsfan said: We are still above freezing at 850 at hour 27, probably 28-29 as well. Not all of that is snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, Bob Chill said: I'll try to be cordial. Talking about f'n people's mothers is never a joke unless it's a closed circle of long time old friends which this isn't. It's a public forum. I don't care how you try to spin things. You clearly lack tact, discretion, and class. Bingo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 7 minutes ago, PivotPoint said: Ok. 0z gfs is definitely an improvement over 18z. Shaper, little colder, better backside after the mslp pass. People should really not troll. It's annoying The runs arent getting worse and worse so people should keep some faith... I mean, this could totally be heading in an awful direction and it's not... there are slight improvements. Stop trolling Its almost identical...I dont know what some of you guys look at. Its slightly colder in the mid levels/upper levels but the same or warmer at surface...the track is nearly identical. I dont know why some people think each run will be the EXACT same run as before. Any change is noise. Period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: I think you'll have to use the 36 hour map to see what falls as snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, BaltimoreWxGuy said: Its almost identical...I dont know what some of you guys look at. Its slightly colder in the mid levels...the track is nearly identical. I dont know why some people think each run will be the EXACT same run as before. Any change is noise. Period I don't see it as a good run. I guess you could say it isn't any worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Id also like to add (using the map as a visual) many times we're dealing with very light rates to overcome marginal temps. One aspect (it appears) will be we at the very least will have good rates at times. Heavy precip that falls in marginal temp setups can still produce in early February. DC/NOVA crowd may not get the accums this go around, but hey, at least we can reasonably expect some good heavy snow rates to watch for a a couple hours. That's a win this winter and enjoy it. Once it's over you'll be wishing you did! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I'll try to be cordial. Talking about f'n people's mothers is never a joke unless it's a closed circle of long time old friends which this isn't. It's a public forum. I don't care how you try to spin things. You clearly lack tact, discretion, and class. Bob, this conversation is idiotic because this is a weather forum, but a "your mom" joke is literally the oldest joke in the book, and in and of itself is an overt notification that the joke itself is a joke. "Spin" on a your mom joke? What is this, the O'Reilly Factor? Mattie g made a trolling post in my response to my positivity. His post was literally a textbook example of trolling. I unproductively responded to it with a joke, which anyone who has used the internet for the last 20 years or who has a sense of humor would understand was a joke. I guess this is a family board and some people's senses of humor may be less crass than mine. However, your last statement is ridiculous. How does one respond to a troll? Isn't responding with an absurd sexual joke tactful, because it diminishes the value of the troller's original post? He even responded to it with "seriously?" and a gif, because he gets that I was joking. I can't believe I just typed all of this. And that's all I'll say here - back to weather. Sorry, all, for the distraction. Bob, message me if this is worth your time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I don't see it as a good run. I guess you could say it isn't any worse. It's better for snow falling (generally). Plain and simple Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Heh, GGEM is decent, better than 12z FWIW. ~3" DC, 5" Baltimore, Instantweathermaps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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