Hurricanegiants Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 15 minutes ago, yoda said: Randy is in a WSW You know it's Hail Mary time when 24 hours out we don't even get the "Special Weather Statement." Ugh...but then again, maybe that's even worse. The special weather statement is like a patronizing choice of words, like you won free movie passes that can only be used at the obscure theatre an hour away. C'mon Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 24 minutes ago, yoda said: Randy is in a WSW You do know I live in DC and have been since 2010, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2017 Author Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, stormtracker said: You do know I live in DC and have been since 2010, right? Oh... thought you were still in HGR... major fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, stormtracker said: You do know I live in DC and have been since 2010, right? I think the party is over!!! Time to lose the hat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: You do know I live in DC and have been since 2010, right? Looks like we can share some Woodley/Cleveland Park sorrow on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Here's hoping we pull an Aaron Rodgers hail Mary and score an 8"-12" concrete bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 and the north trend is back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, RidingTheModelWithMostSnow said: I think the party is over!!! Time to lose the hat fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 RGEM shifted north with snowfall -- northern friends in our subforum (NOT PA) will like the run though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2017 Author Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: RGEM shifted north with snowfall -- northern friends in our subforum (NOT PA) will like the run though. True... but looks like we still get 1-2"... hopefully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Man. The NAMs and RGEM are a decent event out here. I just cant see it happening with the warmth we have today and tomorrow. I could see a 2 or 3 inch paste job. But not 5 inches like they are talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, yoda said: True... but looks like we still get 1-2"... hopefully Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Verbatim it's even decent in DC, though the cutoff is nasty. Not that obscene solution from earlier though lol. Why can't we cash out now? Yes, for sure..verbatim, I'd take it for us. However, I'm skeptical in the city/close in burbs in Arlington/Alexandria/etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2017 Author Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Man. The NAMs and RGEM are a decent event out here. I just cant see it happening with the warmth we have today and tomorrow. I could see a 2 or 3 inch paste job. But not 5 inches like they are talking about. Enjoy your WSW for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: I think I see 2-3 on TT, but it's the RGEM. The RGEM is a good model, but temps in our "trees" event a few weeks ago were off (it brought in the cold way too quickly). Hopefully its not too cold again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 the GOOFUS is running, amirite guys? That RGEM run look OK to me even here inside the beltway. Hang on to your hats folks, it's gonna be a fun 24 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 8 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Man. The NAMs and RGEM are a decent event out here. I just cant see it happening with the warmth we have today and tomorrow. I could see a 2 or 3 inch paste job. But not 5 inches like they are talking about. Same here, I hate that they don't split our county into 2 zones. Elevations in the northern part could easily get 6" while I get nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 This is probably my last post on this one unless a very unlikely shift happens. The 12z euro pretty much sealed the fate for everyone south of i70 and below 600'. I'm not talking verbatim but the simple fact that it upped temps a couple degrees and shifted the snowfall axis nw. The "improvements" in the gfs are nothing more than joining consensus. The meso's have added no hope for those in the cities/burbs in the non verbatim big picture. This isn't an urban/suburban storm. We've been down this road many times in the last 10+ years and this one has none of the characteristics that have upside surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 The NAM and the RGEM are converging on surface temps, especially by 12Z Thursday. The NAM has cooled despite the north skip while the RGEM is less aggressive with the sub-freezing surface temps (still gets the cities below freezing Thursday morning). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: This is probably my last post on this one unless a very unlikely shift happens. The 12z euro pretty much sealed the fate for everyone south of i70 and below 600'. I'm not talking verbatim but the simple fact that it upped temps a couple degrees and shifted the snowfall axis nw. The "improvements" in the gfs are nothing more than joining consensus. The meso's have added no hope for those in the cities/burbs in the non verbatim big picture. This isn't an urban/suburban storm. We've been down this road many times in the last 10+ years and this one has none of the characteristics that have upside surprise. Agreed...chase to a place like Manchester if you wanna see a good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 VDOT road temps - mid 60s in Winchester, 59-63 in Northern Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 As to be expected GFS is mostly noise so far at 30 hr....maybe slightly NE with SLP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 9 minutes ago, Paleocene said: the GOOFUS is running, amirite guys? That RGEM run look OK to me even here inside the beltway. Hang on to your hats folks, it's gonna be a fun 24 hours If your idea of fun = cold, windy rain, then I suppose you're really looking forward to this one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 GFS trended south of 18z and colder. Definite improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Amped said: GFS trended south of 18z and colder. Definite improvement. I dont see the trend south, but yes, a little colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 GFS is a disaster for anyone in DC metro. Hopefully you all well to the north and west can get some love Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 GFS def colder from 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, BaltimoreWxGuy said: I dont see the trend south, but yes, a little colder. Still sucks though 850 line did look further south with more precip at 33hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Well the NAM/RGEM/GFS is going to make this an early night for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 GFS is a nice hit. It's a shame on timing being overnight. If it was during the day. You guys could drive out for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Snow maps look no better than 18z did, less than an inch until north of Cockeysville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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