mappy Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 I think Highstakes mentioned this yesterday -- could be similar outcome to the early Feb 2014 storm (before the ice). I picked up 5" in that event, while places just south of me (like Hunt Valley) had next to nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 In March 1990, I had five days in a row of mid- to upper 80's and then picked up a couple inches of snow less than 72 hours later. Within 48 hours it was back above 70, and then 36 hours later it snowed another 4" ETA: just saw Gymengineer's post. The first snowfall after the record highs was 3/20/1990 iirc. Then we had the second one on 3/24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, mappy said: I think Highstakes mentioned this yesterday -- could be similar outcome to the early Feb 2014 storm (before the ice). I picked up 5" in that event, while places just south of me (like Hunt Valley) had next to nothing. Yeah, I also had that storm in mind. I think I got a sloppy inch in the end. Very similar to Oct 2011 with the rain/snow line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, Always in Zugzwang said: Map?? What's it look like? 06z THURS ho hum 996mb SLP C VA/NC border area.... then KABOOM 972mb SLP 200 miles NE of Ocean City at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUMG11 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 https://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/3295_100.gif 972 lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Watches hoisted along the southern PA counties along the MD/PA border, extending northeast from there...for what it's worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, WVclimo said: In March 1990, I had five days in a row of mid- to upper 80's and then picked up a couple inches of snow less than 72 hours later. Within 48 hours it was back above 70, and then 36 hours later it snowed another 4" Even DCA managed ~2" on 3/24/90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, Fozz said: Yeah, I also had that storm in mind. I think I got a sloppy inch in the end. Very similar to Oct 2011 with the rain/snow line. yeah, i knew that one was very elevation dependent. drive north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, yoda said: 06z THURS ho hum 996mb SLP C VA/NC border area.... then KABOOM 972mb SLP 200 miles NE of Ocean City at 48 So basically the bombing out won't affect us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 10 minutes ago, osfan24 said: And the plot thickens. He didn't tell you that he meant the far western VA/NC border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, mattie g said: So basically the bombing out won't affect us. I don't have 36-45 yet... patience grasshopper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Likely outcome is 3-9 inches for most of noVA, DC and MD as rates will explode in deepening phase 03z-09z. As most of the snow would fall late overnight, rapid temp drops will be best utilized (as opposed to daytime heating contaminating). If the RGEM is on to something, 20-30 inch potential for parts of southern New England, 10-15 NYC, 8-12 e PA and most of NJ north of ACY. But you guys should be in on the opening round of this rapidly intensifying storm. My ideas on point forecasts would be IAD 4.5" DCA 2.0" BWI 3.5" FDK 7.5" SBY 1.5" PHL 9.0" CHO 1.5" MGW 4.0" CXY 6.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 It's gonna be a good run still... Color maps coming out are impressive. Here is when we flip... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 5 minutes ago, mappy said: yeah, i knew that one was very elevation dependent. drive north If Scott was saying 600' and above instead of 700', I'd feel a lot better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, Roger Smith said: Likely outcome is 3-9 inches for most of noVA, DC and MD as rates will explode in deepening phase 03z-09z. As most of the snow would fall late overnight, rapid temp drops will be best utilized (as opposed to daytime heating contaminating). If the RGEM is on to something, 20-30 inch potential for parts of southern New England, 10-15 NYC, 8-12 e PA and most of NJ north of ACY. But you guys should be in on the opening round of this rapidly intensifying storm. My ideas on point forecasts would be IAD 4.5" DCA 2.0" BWI 3.5" FDK 7.5" SBY 1.5" PHL 9.0" CHO 1.5" MGW 4.0" CXY 6.5" Just gonna quote this for posterity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUMG11 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, yoda said: I don't have 36-45 yet... patience grashopper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, yoda said: Just gonna quote this for posterity Some of that is actually possible, albeit maybe unlikely, but 30 inches for Southern NE seems just physically impossible given how fast the storm moves. It would have to snow 3-4 inches an hour the entire time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUMG11 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 RGEM bombs at 972, expands colder temps further south and east as the Euro showed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 BOOM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 RGEM seems highly unlikely but what a bomb. SNE could actually get 20 or so in that scenario. We just need it to be a touch farther south and colder (if you think the RGEM is the actual result). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, RUMG11 said: RGEM bombs at 972, expands colder temps further south and east as the Euro showed. Wow. I guess that's one way to pull down the cold. A bomb. C NJ coast gets pummeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, Fozz said: BOOM Just like the January southern slider the rgem/euro will have me believing til the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 I picture the New England forum gathered around the 48h RGEM like those apes who first figured out space flight in 2001 A Space odyssey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 8 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Some of that is actually possible, albeit maybe unlikely, but 30 inches for Southern NE seems just physically impossible given how fast the storm moves. It would have to snow 3-4 inches an hour the entire time. Not impossible with the way Kevin measures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 I'm getting up at 4am if this is happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, Roger Smith said: I picture the New England forum gathered around the 48h RGEM like those apes who first figured out space flight in 2001 A Space odyssey. You wouldn't be far off with that guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, Fozz said: I'm getting up at 4am if this is happening. This would be the perfect time for an 8-10 hour stall LOL!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, Fozz said: I'm getting up at 4am if this is happening. That's something we haven't seen in a long time. Snow bands moving east to west. I could have stopped at "snow" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, BristowWx said: That's something we haven't seen in a long time. Snow bands moving east to west. I could have stopped at "snow" Yeah, you know the low is cranking up when that happens. This will be such a tough forecast, and I'm trying to keep my expectations at a bare minimum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Yeah but it is the RGEM at 42... It is out of it's wheelhouse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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