yoda Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, mitchnick said: 850 RH at 12z Thursday....WOW! http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/fx/gen-fxctr.cgi?re=at&id=&zoom=.6&ti=UTC&pg=web&ge=1024x768&mo=ecmwf&le=850&va=rhum&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h48&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=&le=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest 700mb RH same time http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/fx/gen-fxctr.cgi?re=at&id=&zoom=.6&ti=UTC&pg=web&ge=1024x768&mo=ecmwf&le=700&va=rhum&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h48&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=&le=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Northern tier special this run. Cities get some snow but plenty of the precip is lost to rain/melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EB89 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Damn I wish we had some cold air around because the 500mb and surface maps at 48hrs make me want to go have some me time alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Looks like inside the DC beltway, Euro temps never fall below the 34 to 35 degree range. Maybe on grass if it snows with huge , ginormous flakes but otherwise, just snow confetti. Still could have some accumulations towards the PA line. Seems to me that the Eruo temps have crept up since yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Northern tier special this run. Cities get some snow but plenty of the precip is lost to rain/melting. no surprise there sadly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Looks like a partial cave to the NAM...no? Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, yoda said: hmmmmm.... congrats mappy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 I'm honestly not happy with this run. It's still just barely ok for the metro but the trend isn't what we want to see. If it holds, it'll be ok, but one more shift like that and we're toast(y). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 what falls after 48 hrs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Looks like the Philly area gets pummeled, along with NE MD lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 NOT saying this will be like it... but didn't commutageddon have temps at 34 or so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Good post. It was deceptive but correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 I can't wait for this thing to finally be here. We're 1-2 degrees away from this thing being something real nice. I'm going to hold onto hope until the last minute. I've seen this setup go both ways before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 12z Panasonic agrees with Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I'm honestly not happy with this run. It's still just barely ok for the metro but the trend isn't what we want to see. If it holds, it'll be ok, but one more shift like that and we're toast(y). Its waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay better than the GFS edit: or not. meh, its a close one that will tease many and nut on others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, usedtobe said: Looks like inside the DC beltway, Euro temps never fall below the 34 to 35 degree range. Maybe on grass if it snows with huge , ginormous flakes but otherwise, just snow confetti. Still could have some accumulations towards the PA line. Seems to me that the Eruo temps have crept up since yesterday. Yea, it was a step towards the warmer/rainier camp. Considering how marginal it is already, that type of move is not nice to see. One more of those and it's all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: I'm honestly not happy with this run. It's still just barely ok for the metro but the trend isn't what we want to see. If it holds, it'll be ok, but one more shift like that and we're toast(y). Dude....we're done. Best case scenario for DC is like an inch or two of slop. Everyone from Elkton --> Boston crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, yoda said: NOT saying this will be like it... but didn't commutageddon have temps at 34 or so? pretty much all day before the flip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, C.A.P.E. said: Looks like the Philly area gets pummeled, along with NE MD lol. Its a pretty big beat down out this way too. Interesting differences between the euro and GFS. But the GFS definitely amped uo this run and seems to be moving towards the euro. Game on now I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 <ducking for cover> Hey, Euro has support from the Canadian <ducking for cover> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, H2O said: Its waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay better than the GFS Yeah but... 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Yea, it was a step towards the warmer/rainier camp. Considering how marginal it is already, that type of move is not nice to see. One more of those and it's all rain. I'm not saying I wouldn't la-la-lock it up, but by all means its not a good run IMHO when we are still searching for trends. If this was the last run before the storm, I'd take it and run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Commuteageddon is the storm I keep thinking of with this one, or maybe hoping for. I think I got something like 6-8 inches of heavy, wet snow in a short period of time and some people did much better. Could be wrong, but I thought that was a total model failure up in NYC and NE and they ended up getting like 2 feet of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, yoda said: NOT saying this will be like it... but didn't commutageddon have temps at 34 or so? Yes. I got 7.5" that night and my temp never got below 34. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Yeah but... I'm not saying I wouldn't la-la-lock it up, but by all means its not a good run IMHO when we are still searching for trends. If this was the last run before the storm, I'd take it and run. I know. The pros are saying its a dumper of a run but even if I get what it shows it would double my total for the season of 1.25" goddamn, thats sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, yoda said: NOT saying this will be like it... but didn't commutageddon have temps at 34 or so? I'd imagine the airmass pre-commutageddon was colder... Can't imagine that snowfall would have been as big an issue as it was if it was 60 the day before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Should I come home from NY early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, mitchnick said: <ducking for cover> Hey, Euro has support from the Canadian <ducking for cover> Euro has inched northward and ticked warmer the last 2 runs. Need that to halt. Its juicier though, so rates lol. It has had 3-4" imby for 3 straight runs. I will not be expecting that to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 This thread is awful. It should be closed and another started....without the off topic stuff. It's unusual for me to say something like that, but when this discussion went from the storm to which group of posters would have their panties in a wad it convinced me that we need to start over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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