mitchnick Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Compare Nam at top link and Rgem at the bottom 850 temps at 48 hrs http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus®ion=eus&pkg=T850&runtime=2017020700&fh=48&xpos=0&ypos=0 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=rgem®ion=eus&pkg=T850&runtime=2017020700&fh=48&xpos=0&ypos=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 3:26 AM, mitchnick said: Compare Nam at top link and Rgem at the bottom 850 temps at 48 hrs http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus®ion=eus&pkg=T850&runtime=2017020700&fh=48&xpos=0&ypos=0 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=rgem®ion=eus&pkg=T850&runtime=2017020700&fh=48&xpos=0&ypos=0 Expand lol I literally just did this. Its encouraging. The NAM has been especially wonky recently, so I would be surprised if it is even close to right. Not saying failure isn't a possibility with a less amped, further south solution, because it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 3:31 AM, losetoa6 said: Nam on its own ...rgem looks to be a good hit extrapolating fwiw Expand Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 I'll break the silence as we all watch this GFS come in. If this is a Pennsylvania deck pic storm we don't want to see those photos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 0z gfs looks colder, but weaker early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 3:45 AM, Thanatos_I_Am said: I'll break the silence as we all watch this GFS come in. If this is a Pennsylvania deck pic storm we don't want to see those photos. Expand Beat me by a nose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 GFS is a bust...oh well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 3:45 AM, Deck Pic said: GFS is a bust...oh well... Expand 100% sure? eta: light snow, barely any accum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 3:48 AM, snow1 said: Bust! Expand Quite a battle we're going into! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Amazing how the models can differ so much even as we approach two days away at this point. I fear we'll see consensus tonight. When its 70 the day before, go all in on the negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 At least it's an equal opportunity fail, sucks up north too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 When has the Euro ever caved to the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 3:53 AM, Scraff said: When has the Euro ever caved to the GFS? Expand Let's hope we don't find out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Gotta say i didnt see that coming. Some model's gonna be eatin some crow. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Gfs is just transitioning to the Euro. Give it another couple runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 3:45 AM, Deck Pic said: GFS is a bust...oh well... Expand On 2/7/2017 at 3:48 AM, snow1 said: Bust! Expand That's 2 busts.....can't be all that bad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Wow, the 00z even took away the snow from Penn, NY and Boston. Horrible run for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 3:59 AM, mitchnick said: That's 2 busts.....can't be all that bad! Expand Only if they are big busts. I guess we are praying for the Euro to go downhill now as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 3:56 AM, mitchnick said: Gfs is just transitioning to the Euro. Give it another couple runs. Expand I'll expect when I wake up in the AM, I'll be reading just how great the Euro looked and that the GFS looks just as good.... Or it will be a total dumpster fire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 4:00 AM, NovaTarHeel said: Wow, the 00z even took away the snow from Penn, NY and Boston. Horrible run for everyone. Expand Yeah, just imagine if we were under the Nam's 6-10" area, then the Gfs came out....ouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 4:05 AM, WxWatcher007 said: The hell we are. The Euro is going to put up or shut here and now. It is either the King or a chump like the lot of 'em. Expand Yes sir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 GFS caves to CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 4:13 AM, WxWatcher007 said: I have no faith it'll be right but I think we'd take the Canadian. Expand Where did you get it from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 4:14 AM, yoda said: Where did you get it from? Expand Canada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 4:15 AM, mitchnick said: Canada Expand We buy... yes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 4:16 AM, yoda said: We buy... yes? Expand Looks good to me if most of that qpf falls after it gets cold. More to come after that I'd guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Canadian 850 temps at 54 & 60 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=us&pkg=T850&runtime=2017020700&fh=48&xpos=0&ypos=238 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=us&pkg=T850&runtime=2017020700&fh=48&xpos=0&ypos=238 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 CMC has low to mid 60s Wednesday...low 40s at precip onset and 33/34 at 12z Thursday when precip is ending. Freezing line is back near Cumberland/along M/D line in Frederick and Carroll counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On the plus side, paste bombs do exist here...feb 87, April 97, Jan 2011...there's others...but on the crap side it may just be a bit too mild out in front...I mean it legitimately feels like early spring. Gonna be interesting to see the trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 4:20 AM, nj2va said: CMC has low to mid 60s Wednesday...low 40s at precip onset and 33/34 at 12z Thursday. Expand Slp placement and movement similar to Gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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