CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: I would love to see an accumulation forecast out of you someday I do them, and I mentioned in multiple posts this evening about where my favorite spots are for this storm are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 There's nothing wrong with QPF charts if you know how to use then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Somewhere near Ginx, Bob, or Blizz, someone could get 24" Finally..We're due! 32.5/30 Smells like snow outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Crazy uncle mid-levels: Nudity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Somewhere near Ginx, Bob, or Blizz, someone could get 24" I definitely wouldn't forecast it... but it wouldn't surprise me if where the heaviest band sets up and picots if someone's pulled 24". Hard to beleive in such a fast moving system... but if it's 3/4" per hour... anything is possible I suppose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 that is a bomb on gfs for monday wow several closed contours at 5h n of pike cne maine special back to tmrws storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 10 to 16 CT with lollies to 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Just watched Harv's full 11pm weather segment...he really laid it out nicely. Still the best in the biz all these years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nope. I rather see that, then the Kuchera crap. agree. Just easier for most to ween on numbers. I would love more in depth posts like OceanWX does with all the zig and the zags, youve done it before too...I'm actually looking at tons of stuff right now but I am not quite there yet with the thought process. Would like to learn more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I do them, and I mentioned in multiple posts this evening about where my favorite spots are for this storm are. Amounts please, tia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: that is a bomb on gfs for monday wow Yeah it's been trying to trend that way for like three cycles now ... thinking about bringing it up but obviously with tomorrow's shenanigans it makes it kind a futile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: There's nothing wrong with QPF charts if you know how to use then. Too many don't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I do them, and I mentioned in multiple posts this evening about where my favorite spots are for this storm are. Ginxy is poking the bear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Just watched Harv's full 11pm weather segment...he really laid it out nicely. Still the best in the biz all these years. Yeah when Harvey jumps in with both feet it's I get goose bumps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Just watched Harv's full 11pm weather segment...he really laid it out nicely. Still the best in the biz all these years. It's Harvey L.... Then everyone else... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 He didn't do well in the Blizzard of 2015 though, 10-18" throughout the entire storm without switching it, and we got 33". Never let him live that one down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah it's been trying to trend that way for like three cycles now ... thinking about bringing it up but obviously with tomorrow's shenanigans it makes it kind a futile Tip is this trending better in regards to snow for SNE? I thought it more for C/NNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Just watched Harv's full 11pm weather segment...he really laid it out nicely. Still the best in the biz all these years. Yeah and he was excited too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 I honestly wouldn't be shocked to see a lot of schools closed Friday as well... especially east. Models now have it snowing into the evening here and given the rates... not much cleanup will be happening before it stops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 I do know that this is really good lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Just now, 8611Blizz said: Yeah when Harvey jumps in with both feet it's I get goose bumps. I remember feeling pretty good when he was still gung ho in the mid-level magic storm in Feb 2015...everyone else panicked and cut amounts but he stayed big and IU felt better about my own forecast staying big in that one. He rarely screws up. The experience definitely helps...esp forecasting in New England. This one has all the trademarks of a classic nuke...there aren't a lot of Bruce Willis caution flags for cutting amounts. The only real limiting factor is speed...everything else is total gangbusters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: Ginxy is poking the bear Nah he talks trash all the time on the court, just want him to put up, ya know show us how it's done since he's Tom Brady in his mind lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I remember feeling pretty good when he was still gung ho in the mid-level magic storm in Feb 2015...everyone else panicked and cut amounts but he stayed big and IU felt better about my own forecast staying big in that one. He rarely screws up. The experience definitely helps...esp forecasting in New England. This one has all the trademarks of a classic nuke...there aren't a lot of Bruce Willis caution flags for cutting amounts. The only real limiting factor is speed...everything else is total gangbusters. Will is this storm getting longer in duration? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I remember feeling pretty good when he was still gung ho in the mid-level magic storm in Feb 2015...everyone else panicked and cut amounts but he stayed big and IU felt better about my own forecast staying big in that one. He rarely screws up. The experience definitely helps...esp forecasting in New England. This one has all the trademarks of a classic nuke...there aren't a lot of Bruce Willis caution flags for cutting amounts. The only real limiting factor is speed...everything else is total gangbusters. Yeah only a couple of times, last Feb being one he undersold up to game time. Harvey is an institution. He knows things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: Will is this storm getting longer in duration? Not really...I mean the NAM trended toward the Euro which lasted a bit longer because the NAM was whisking out faster being less amped. But it's still generally about a 10-12 hour storm...maybe a couple hours longer if you count weenie snow at the end along the coast. If we tighten up everything even more, then we could maybe buy another hour or two...but that's about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Not really...I mean the NAM trended toward the Euro which lasted a bit longer because the NAM was whisking out faster being less amped. But it's still generally about a 10-12 hour storm...maybe a couple hours longer if you count weenie snow at the end along the coast. If we tighten up everything even more, then we could maybe buy another hour or two...but that's about it. Thanks. Very impressive if most area's get those amounts in that time span. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: agree. Just easier for most to ween on numbers. I would love more in depth posts like OceanWX does with all the zig and the zags, youve done it before too...I'm actually looking at tons of stuff right now but I am not quite there yet with the thought process. Would like to learn more. I know...I used to do more in-depth posts...but it's just easy on the phone sometimes and tough to do that. Ok, here is some stuff. So we talk about frontogenesis and all that stuff. Basically it is a term that describes tightening up the temp gradient over a given horizontal space. What you have is strong convergence as you see and those winds coming up from the S and SE at 40-50 kts basically stopped like a brick wall. This means air will rise. Notice the wind convergence on either side of that H7 boundary. Also, while theta-e (the combo of temp and humidity) is better for showing thermal packing..you can see how we have warm air advection from the SE of H7 and then cold ae advection on the other side of the H7 low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Just watched Harv's full 11pm weather segment...he really laid it out nicely. Still the best in the biz all these years. I showed my wife and daughter that segment and then played the boyish Harvey forecasting the blizzard of '78. He is superb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: I showed my wife and daughter that segment and then played the boyish Harvey forecasting the blizzard of '78. He is superb. Get some rest young man, long day of weenie dom. 16 plus for you and I Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Cool, thx. So in the convergence zone, the best surface precip will be just the nw side since the air now has to sink downwards...correct? but then how do you determine how wide the sunk air would be? dumb question maybe lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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