ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, Morch Madness said: BOX going balls to the wall It's pretty much time to do that....there is nearly unanimous agreement amongst guidance now. Some subtle differences but even the less enthusiastic scenarios are giving most of the region 8"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Don't include the clipper Didn't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Those fronto depictions on Dr Harts site are something I don't think I recall with gray scale 24 average frontogenesis. They added in the gray for 24 pretty recently...the max used to go to 16 and anything over was just shaded black. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: you have no clue I expect a higher thought process from him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, eyewall said: If I chase this thing is anyone willing to take in a guest in the Worcester or Boston area? Jerry ought to hit you up, you can walk his dog around 130 tomorrow afternoon in Blizz conditions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: It's pretty much time to do that....there is nearly unanimous agreement amongst guidance now. Some subtle differences but even the less enthusiastic scenarios are giving most of the region 8"+ I remember you had this same type of post right before October 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: They added in the gray for 24 pretty recently...the max used to go to 16 and anything over was just shaded black. That explains it, but damn thats extensive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 I do like that gfs zone for at least one favored area. Maybe the best, but at least one jack spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Didn't Did? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, eyewall said: If I chase this thing is anyone willing to take in a guest in the Worcester or Boston area? Somebody should, for your sanity. Shoot I would back here in Danbury to see you smile. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Not sure where the screw zone will be... but there will be one since a lot of this is forced through strong frontogenetic banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 6 minutes ago, JC-CT said: This is all the result of the polar vortex Fujiwara Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Not sure where the screw zone will be... but there will be one since a lot of this is forced through strong frontogenetic banding. I remember watching your weenie arse back in Feb 06 and cursing the heck out of you as I subsidized for hours. Lol still had foot though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I remember you had this same type of post right before October 2011 I mean it's hard to argue with him, I don't see anything screaming bust down in SNE. I have concerns about the northern edge, but that's a different story. F-gen max agreement from model to model is really high, especially for something so mesoscale. Right over your fanny up to just NW of BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Kuchie http:// Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Kuchie Trying to resolve Mt. Tolland there, but just doesn't have the resolution? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Kuchie http:// kuchie kuchie tickle tickle.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Kuchie http:// NYC view, cmon Kevin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: I mean it's hard to argue with him, I don't see anything screaming bust down in SNE. I have concerns about the northern edge, but that's a different story. F-gen max agreement from model to model is really high, especially for something so mesoscale. Right over your fanny up to just NW of BOS. Yup - good agreement. I'm thinking my area looks good. A bit concerned there's another bump NW and it winds up in NW CT and outside of 495 or something. But that's just me being a Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 you have no clueIt was a joke cleetus. Calm down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 My snowfall map for New England. Judge away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: That is not true there freaky man. Check out the differences in your 10-1 maps you posted the other day and the Kucheras which eliminated sleet. 8 inches was 2.3 I'm just joking...but they get used a lot more than they should, IMO. I think the 10-1 maps set expectations in the right direction and 99% of the time those maps will have higher ratios IMO. I'm just not a fan of snow maps that bank on ratios is all. I feel like it goes wild in social media and everyone is expecting 20". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: My snowfall map for New England. Judge away! The NWS has some catching up to do! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Put in your own ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 6 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Not sure where the screw zone will be... but there will be one since a lot of this is forced through strong frontogenetic banding. I agree. Although if euro is right is seems less of a banding issue. But I like my first sweet spot I mentioned earlier due to the initial fronto band staying steady state for a few hours. It would not shock me if someone had a 4-5"/hr pulled off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I'm just joking...but they get used a lot more than they should, IMO. I think the 10-1 maps set expectations in the right direction and 99% of the time those maps will have higher ratios IMO. I'm just not a fan of snow maps that bank on ratios is all. I feel like it goes wild in social media and everyone is expecting 20". Blend away and you get a good handle http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/retro_map.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: I agree. Although if euro is right is seems less of a banding issue. But I like my first sweet spot I mentioned earlier due to the initial fronto band staying steady state for a few hours. It would not shock me if someone had a 4-5"/hr pulled off. Wow we are starting to reach for the 05 Blizzard mark with 4-5"/hour rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: My snowfall map for New England. Judge away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: I agree. Although if euro is right is seems less of a banding issue. But I like my first sweet spot I mentioned earlier due to the initial fronto band staying steady state for a few hours. It would not shock me if someone had a 4-5"/hr pulled off. Kev was not far off with his Jan 11 analog it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Kev was not far off with his Jan 11 analog it seems Just had that look yesterday. That nam fronto map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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