phil882 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 11 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: So if I understand this right, this would suggest a heavy frontogenic band fairly far inland. That is my hope with this storm as this plot you have shared suggest heavy snows up north of the Mass/ NH border Correct... there will likely be an enhanced band further inland that will be tapping into the best lift that coincides with the -12 to -18C dendritic growth zone. Thats how you can get those huge dendritic aggregates that produce the best snowfall liquid ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 When things continue to improve when we get close it usually means we're going to get clobbered. Good luck everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, weathafella said: When things continue to improve when we get close it usually means we're going to get clobbered. Good luck everyone! Good luck to you too Jerry, I think we are going to get clobbered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Folks are buried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, phil882 said: Correct... there will likely be an enhanced band further inland that will be tapping into the best lift that coincides with the -12 to -18C dendritic growth zone. Thats how you can get those huge dendritic aggregates that produce the best snowfall liquid ratios. I think there will be one that starts in the areas you mentioned and then that shifts and consolidates perhaps further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: When things continue to improve when we get close it usually means we're going to get clobbered. Good luck everyone! This is an interesting statement. I wonder the truth to this? It certainly seems true. Any duds come to mind when modeling guidance continually ramped up leading to an event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: No JP fetish here I'll do snow angels in 8" and hope for some frosting on the cake Saturday. thats the spirit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Folks are buried Malloy will issue the call. SoE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Lightning galore over Kentucky, indicative of a strengthening shortwave trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It prints out better looking (ie higher snow amounts) snow maps than the 10:1 ratio ones. That is not true there freaky man. Check out the differences in your 10-1 maps you posted the other day and the Kucheras which eliminated sleet. 8 inches was 2.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Where's Ray? Seems anomalously absent for this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think there will be one that starts in the areas you mentioned and then that shifts and consolidates perhaps further east. There's like a finger of excellent fronto that starts off to the west...even almost near ALB and S VT...esp during the early morning hours...then as the mid-levels nuke out, it congeals to the southeast over central/eastern regions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 GFS with a solid 2-4 refresher on Saturday as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 We have two separate southern stream shortwaves right now impacting the storm formation. The first lead shortwave is fueling the thunderstorm development of the storm system this afternoon over KY and then the secondary shortwave is over MO firing up the snow shield of the storm. Right now the lead shortwave is expected to phase into the secondary shortwave trough and create our monster blizzard as the northern stream trough enters the picture. there are a lot of moving pieces moving through the flow right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Morch Madness said: Where's Ray? Seems anomalously absent for this storm Thigh deep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Is it just me or does the GFS finally close off the 700mb low now just east of CHH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think there will be one that starts in the areas you mentioned and then that shifts and consolidates perhaps further east. 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There's like a finger of excellent fronto that starts off to the west...even almost near ALB and S VT...esp during the early morning hours...then as the mid-levels nuke out, it congeals to the southeast over central/eastern regions. Completely agree with you both. As the cyclone really gets cranking, the sloped frontogenesis that is further north and west at 700-600 hPa should crash east and become more aligned with lower level frontogenesis associated with the rapidly deepening cyclone. Feel like somebody in C-E Massachusetts is really going to in for some incredible snowfall rates by tomorrow midday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, Morch Madness said: Where's Ray? Seems anomalously absent for this storm He'll be on at happy hour tonight. dontuworry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Is it just me or does the GFS finally close off the 700mb low now just east of CHH? It does do that. Sweet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 http:// Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 NWS updated maps more added to 12-18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Is Kuchera the new buzz word for the season?? Like Derecho from a couple years ago.Of course it is. It gives the weenies the most snow...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: http:// Don't include the clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 BOX going balls to the wall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 This is all the result of the polar vortex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, phil882 said: Completely agree with you both. As the cyclone really gets cranking, the sloped frontogenesis that is further north and west at 700-600 hPa should crash east and become more aligned with lower level frontogenesis associated with the rapidly deepening cyclone. Feel like somebody in C-E Massachusetts is really going to in for some incredible snowfall rates by tomorrow midday. Those fronto depictions on Dr Harts site are something I don't think I recall with gray scale 24 average frontogenesis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 7 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: We have two separate southern stream shortwaves right now impacting the storm formation. The first lead shortwave is fueling the thunderstorm development of the storm system this afternoon over KY and then the secondary shortwave is over MO firing up the snow shield of the storm. Right now the lead shortwave is expected to phase into the secondary shortwave trough and create our monster blizzard as the northern stream trough enters the picture. there are a lot of moving pieces moving through the flow right now. It's really one more linear vort max stretched from IL through MO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 The clipper does look very healthy btw. just as an aside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Hazey said: Of course it is. It gives the weenies the most snow...lol. you have no clue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 If I chase this thing is anyone willing to take in a guest in the Worcester or Boston area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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