dendrite Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: This is from OKX AFD... Operational models are in decent agreement with the track and timing, with the 00Z GFS faster than the others. QPF is also in good agreement, with generally between 0.60"-1.00" of liquid equivalent. This translates to 6"-10" of snow across the area. I wonder why they are going with a straight 10:1 across the area. Seems a bit lazy forecasting? I don't expect crazy 20 or 22:1 but 12-14:1 sounds reasonable especially inland, id like to take a look at bufkit later this afternoon. I'd say you have a decent period tomorrow of better than 10:1 based on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: This is from OKX AFD... Operational models are in decent agreement with the track and timing, with the 00Z GFS faster than the others. QPF is also in good agreement, with generally between 0.60"-1.00" of liquid equivalent. This translates to 6"-10" of snow across the area. I wonder why they are going with a straight 10:1 across the area. Seems a bit lazy forecasting? I don't expect crazy 20 or 22:1 but 12-14:1 sounds reasonable especially inland, id like to take a look at bufkit later this afternoon. That was also from the 0z model runs. That may change when they update later this afternoon...after looking at the 12z model runs??? Or maybe I'm wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: This is from OKX AFD... Operational models are in decent agreement with the track and timing, with the 00Z GFS faster than the others. QPF is also in good agreement, with generally between 0.60"-1.00" of liquid equivalent. This translates to 6"-10" of snow across the area. I wonder why they are going with a straight 10:1 across the area. Seems a bit lazy forecasting? I don't expect crazy 20 or 22:1 but 12-14:1 sounds reasonable especially inland, id like to take a look at bufkit later this afternoon. after jan 15 bust, they scared. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 What are the chances of Blizzard Warning verses Winter Storm Warnings for Eastern areas? With heavy snow coming in mid morning the impact on the population are greater than say a late evening start time. I would guess you would want to hit the potential harder? Lots to consider as there is a big difference in the public's eye between the 2 types of warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: is that good? is that the far interior band that was being discussed yesterday? The NAM is our best bet and that's never a good thing. lol Maybe we can get a stray mid to upper level band up here. Sometimes we can pull that off when the best banding sig is located over N MA which gives S NH the meso screwgie. I don't have high hopes for this though. I'm leaning 3-6" for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 63f at BDR! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Blizzard warnings are up for Barnstable, Dukes, and Plymouth counties. going for 8-14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: What are the chances of Blizzard Warning verses Winter Storm Warnings for Eastern areas? With heavy snow coming in mid morning the impact on the population are greater than say a late evening start time. I would guess you would want to hit the potential harder? Lots to consider as there is a big difference in the public's eye between the 2 types of warnings. CarverWX just answered your question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 lol nantucket went from nothing not even a watch or adv to a blizzard warning for 6-12. BOX uped all amounts from 8-12 to 8-14 or 7-14 is most places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 37 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: agreed 100 pct, worst kool aid ever and I remember saying to myself it had a 1/22/05 kinda feel to it that morning but even the normally conservative local stations were going 15-22 and higher! the other thing I thought about was what were the odds of the bowels of death valley having a third (jan 11, feb 13) gargantuan event in five years? unheard of relative to climo Worst bust ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: 63f at BDR! gonna be one fantastic swing from today to tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 6 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: 63f at BDR! "these weatherman are clueless. no way it snows tomorrow." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: "these weatherman are clueless. no way it snows tomorrow." lol. Yeah, with the warm ground and high sun angle...it probably won't stick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 ok peoples, weve gone overboard now...lets get back on the ship before the gulf stream sweeps you away to Halifax and Hazey has to pluck your body from the boat yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Early guesses for some select locations: BOS 13" ORH 12" Ray 12" Tolland 14" PVD 15" PYM 18" TAN 16" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Early guesses for some select locations: BOS 13" ORH 12" Ray 12" Tolland 14" PVD 15" PYM 18" TAN 16" Double em!! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Early guesses for some select locations: BOS 13" ORH 12" Ray 12" Tolland 14" PVD 15" PYM 18" TAN 16" Very reasonable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Winter storm warning is up in my hood. 20-30cms with winds gusting to 100km/h. Time to stock up at the booze store. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Early guesses for some select locations: BOS 13" ORH 12" Ray 12" Tolland 14" PVD 15" PYM 18" TAN 16" might go up 2-3 for ORH due to orthographic factor. Course if we get a superband... (ignoring any negative bust potential, of course) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 16 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: lol nantucket went from nothing not even a watch or adv to a blizzard warning for 6-12. BOX uped all amounts from 8-12 to 8-14 or 7-14 is most places. BOX map looks the same as this morning to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Early guesses for some select locations: I'll take a stab BOS 10" ORH 12" Ray 11" Tolland 13" PVD 15" PYM 14" TAN 15" KMPM 7" KGreenfield 9" KHubb 10" KFIT 12" KGinx 15" KScooter 14" KGillette 17" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 hour ago, Johnno said: Feb 13 had some serious qpf in it man snow Not up my way, it was pure fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: BOX map looks the same as this morning to me. Yeah. But the narratives on the "detailed forecast" page have gone up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: BOX map looks the same as this morning to me. They will prob update the maps at 4PM Maybe he is referring to the WSW or Point n clicks or zones Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: BOX map looks the same as this morning to me. I was referring to WSW text products not the map. the WSWs just got updated at 2:17PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Blizzard Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Taunton MA 217 PM EST Wed Feb 8 2017 MAZ019-022-023-RIZ008-090330- /O.UPG.KBOX.WS.W.0002.170209T1100Z-170210T0500Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.BZ.W.0002.170209T1400Z-170210T0100Z/ Eastern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Block Island RI- Including the cities of Plymouth, Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, Vineyard Haven, and BLOCK ISLAND 217 PM EST Wed Feb 8 2017 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM EST THURSDAY... The National Weather Service in Taunton has issued a Blizzard Warning...which is in effect from 9 AM to 8 PM EST Thursday. The Winter Storm Warning is no longer in effect. * LOCATIONS...Eastern Plymouth County...Cape Cod...Marthas Vineyard and Block Island. * HAZARD TYPES...Heavy snow and Blizzard conditions. * Accumulations...Snow accumulation of 8 to 14 inches. * TIMING...Precipitation will overspread the region between 6 and 9 am Thursday morning and may begin as a brief period of rain. Any rain will change to snow by late morning. The snow will then fall heavy at times Thursday afternoon before tapering off to snow showers Thursday evening. * IMPACTS...Heavy snow and strong winds will result in blizzard conditions Thursday afternoon and early evening. Snowfall rates of 2 to 3 inches per hour will be possible at times Thursday afternoon. Strong winds will create blowing and drifting snow and near-white out conditions at times. Travel is not recommended Thursday afternoon and evening. * Winds...North 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * Visibilities...one quarter mile or less at times. * Temperatures...In the mid 20s. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Blizzard Warning is issued when sustained winds or frequent gusts over 35 mph are expected with considerable falling and/or blowing snow. Visibilities will become poor with whiteout conditions at times. Those venturing outdoors may become lost or disoriented. So persons in the warning area are strongly advised to stay indoors. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Continuing to tickle down at the Pit. 39.9*. I can't afford wasting any of my qpf on melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 The HRRR would rip a few hearts out along the 95 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 cod has to move. The Pioneer Valley is shadowed all the time by hills to the east and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 NAM is very tucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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