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February 9th Coastal Storm Discussion


Baroclinic Zone

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know what i love about this scenario ... ?

 

there should be too more in the next 8 -14 days or so and those are probably slower movers with even more moisture to work with earlier in their dynamic interplay ... much less hand wringing... 

maybe not maybe so...but at least this isn't March 15 staring down the barrel of an April pattern right after ;)

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Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

hahaha, I first read this as:  "Euro is a bomb at 30 mb deeper ...." 

Ha that would be in the 950s! Hurricane status.

But man that 30 hour panel is amazing. Near a 980 just SE of the BM with almost an inch of liquid in 6 hours for coastal CT LI and RI with all snow for almost everyone, doesn't get too much better than that look.

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And while everyone loves to look at the pretty qpf maps...this run is absolutely breathtaking in the upper/mid levels. That's where it's all at...the model tries to figure QPF out based on those features which is why it scores lower than other parameters...but when you see that look in the mid-levels, you know it's going to be huge. You don't even need the QPF maps to tell us.

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Just now, ORH_wxman said:

And while everyone loves to look at the pretty qpf maps...this run is absolutely breathtaking in the upper/mid levels. That's where it's all at...the model tries to figure QPF out based on those features which is why it scores lower than other parameters...but when you see that look in the mid-levels, you know it's going to be huge. You don't even need the QPF maps to tell us.

No, we just need you to tell us :D

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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Closes off H7 over SNE.

Egh ...finally! 

been waiting for a model to have the balls to throw that call out there - ... 

that being said, I wouldn't focus too much on the general QPF layout.. Once we see some things being charted that are synonymous with meso tainting, there's going to be some weirdness 

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