RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Anyway, besides micro analyzing the little e ticks overnight, unless 12z continues it....i see no reason to change the 8-12" call for sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 42 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I would not be expecting more than 6" if I were you. 29 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Agreed. 7" for you 8" for me. That kind of deal Caveat...watching for more SE shifts Agreed. This smells of something that can exit stage right. No difference for in the southern and the further east areas. But it continues the series of winters without a major hit for GC. If I can get 7, I'll break 50 on the pretty meh season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Anyway, besides micro analyzing the little e ticks overnight, unless 12z continues it....i see no reason to change the 8-12" call for sne. I remember when Danbury used to crush on more tucked in lows that would cause him mixing issues but we don't see those tracks anymore, anyways so far 6z is okay and hopefully there are no more "noise" adj se later today and hopefully it warms up bc everything is a sheet of ice here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 6z NAM is slower with the departure of the storm than 00z run. Also longer duration snows dump around 1.75-2.00" of QPF just south of Nantucket Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Agreed. This smells of something that can exit stage right. No difference for in the southern and the further east areas. But it continues the series of winters without a major hit for GC. If I can get 7, I'll break 50 on the pretty meh season. yup, Albany out of the picture again you have done better this winter but it is mostly smaller overrunning events, I would love to see a coastal hugger bury you guys with no worry about taint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 hour ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Short range models show the same as the NAM 32KM and GFS. I didnt think anyone bothers with the 32k when you have higher resolutions at your disposal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: I remember when Danbury used to crush on more tucked in lows that would cause him mixing issues but we don't see those tracks anymore, anyways so far 6z is okay and hopefully there are no more "noise" adj se later today and hopefully it warms up bc everything is a sheet of ice here Yea, those where the days. *tear*. they will return though, we will get back to a stretch of 5/6 winters of tucky tuckies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I didnt think anyone bothers with the 32k when you have higher resolutions at your disposal. what that hell is the 32k? do they run that off the 5150? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Curious if anyone can post the latest RPM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 When's the last time a decent storm like this ticked North West?? I feel like everytime we get a nice hit on guidance, it ticks South East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 hours ago, dendrite said: Just need a few SE ticks to whiff up here. Hopefully it happens. I don't feel like cleaning up 3" of crap twice in 3 days. far interior banding FTS? slow pack building for a big week next week? trying to melt for the 3rd time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 hours ago, dendrite said: Just need a few SE ticks to whiff up here. Hopefully it happens. I don't feel like cleaning up 3" of crap twice in 3 days. It may happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 30 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: yup, Albany out of the picture again you have done better this winter but it is mostly smaller overrunning events, I would love to see a coastal hugger bury you guys with no worry about taint We're not out (well, Albany is), but it's now looking much less exciting out here than it did 18 hours ago. At the risk of sounding like Leo Durocher, there's always next season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Jerry, Bastardi mentioned Feb 5-7 1967 as the analog, the one you said 3 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: We're not out (well, Albany is), but it's now looking much less exciting out here than it did 18 hours ago. At the risk of sounding like Leo Durocher, there's always next season. More like, "there's always next week". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Jerry, Bastardi mentioned Feb 5-7 1967 as the analog, the one you said 3 days ago. I really despise that look....... Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: More like, "there's always next week". Not this year..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: We're not out (well, Albany is), but it's now looking much less exciting out here than it did 18 hours ago. At the risk of sounding like Leo Durocher, there's always next season. Seasonal trend has been for these systems to shift east so don't think this one should be any different, We would need some change in the track orientation up here with more of a NNE trajectory rather then the ENE that's happening when it gets to this lat, It gets the boot at the BM and that's not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Jerry, Bastardi mentioned Feb 5-7 1967 as the analog, the one you said 3 days ago. Thanks for posting that Steve. Yeah I thought of that system as soon as I saw the setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I really despise that look....... Not this year..... God is punishing you for calling your area only, God's Country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Thanks for posting that Steve. Yeah I thought of that system as soon as I saw the setup. uncle W 6,101 posts Location:staten island ID: 7 Posted January 17, 2011 · Report post I remember that year very well...It was mild on Sunday 2/5/67..It was 58 on 2/2 with wet snow after a cold front passed...The temperature was on a roller coaster ride that week...Monday morning there was a quick 2-3" of snow and much colder temperatures...The snow ended before noon and the Sun was visible in the Afternoon and at least half of it melted...By midnight it was cloudy again and snow started after midnight...The temperatures were in the low teens most of the time and was nine when the storm ended...The temperature dropped to six the next morning...Then it got milder before another arctic shot hit...The roller coaster continued as temperatures thawed to 60 a few days later... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: We're not out (well, Albany is), but it's now looking much less exciting out here than it did 18 hours ago. At the risk of sounding like Leo Durocher, there's always next season. We were never really in it, but good luck to everyone over there. I'm impressed you've managed 50" this season...I've had significantly less just to your NW. I've been splitting time the past several years between here and CT(where I was born and raised) so that's where I've been getting my snow fix. You should still do fine, even if it's less than the E MA snow belt. I'll be stuck in NYS for this one, but I still expect maybe an inch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 10 minutes ago, Stash said: We were never really in it, but good luck to everyone over there. I'm impressed you've managed 50" this season...I've had significantly less just to your NW. I've been splitting time the past several years between here and CT(where I was born and raised) so that's where I've been getting my snow fix. You should still do fine, even if it's less than the E MA snow belt. I'll be stuck in NYS for this one, but I still expect maybe an inch or two. Hold on their, Hoss. I only have 50 IF I get 7" from this. I'm at 43". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Heading into a couple meetings now.....I hope to return to a rosier picture (for me) than I'm seeing now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: Heading into a couple meetings now.....I hope to return to a rosier picture (for me) than I'm seeing now. Oh man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Hold on their, Hoss. I only have 50 IF I get 7" from this. I'm at 43". Ahh, my apologies then. Still not bad all things considered. Good luck nevertheless! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 8, 2017 Author Share Posted February 8, 2017 Man do the 06z models NAM, GFS, RGEM have a firehose look into SE MA. Venry confident on 8-12" now. Maybe even higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 If the far NW band sets up in the Litchtfield Hills into the Eastern Berkshires, Albany might have trouble hitting 2" as subsidence to the NW of the band eats our snow. Looking for a sharper northwest cutoff than what is modelled. If the decade continues as it has, it will be interesting to see how much Alb avg. snowfall drops again in 2020. It's been ticking down ever since I've moved up here as the new SNE snowbelt develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 14 minutes ago, Stash said: We were never really in it, but good luck to everyone over there. I'm impressed you've managed 50" this season...I've had significantly less just to your NW. I've been splitting time the past several years between here and CT(where I was born and raised) so that's where I've been getting my snow fix. You should still do fine, even if it's less than the E MA snow belt. I'll be stuck in NYS for this one, but I still expect maybe an inch or two. We only need 18" to bring us up to normal. All it takes is like a 150 mile tick NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 i dont have that much confidence in this system nw of a s ct ri south shore and SE line. 12z needs to not shift east there will be a nw band yes we know, lets keep that band from shifting inside 128/495 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 I'm going to wait until blizzard24 comes in a sets us straight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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