40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 I'm bullish on Thursday...should be plowable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: precip issues for the gold coast, as feared. this has I84 sn/mix line written all over it. Yeah i dunno about that, everything is on the table at this point, i would say an all snow event is just as much on the table as a CT Mix with R/S line at 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2017 Author Share Posted February 6, 2017 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: precip issues for the gold coast, as feared. this has I84 sn/mix line written all over it. Keep in mind those are also based on climate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 18 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said: If verified (huge emphasis on "if") what parts of SNE/CNE/NNE will really benefit. Odd that this close in it is so much up in the air. Is this all due to the Tues/Wed non-event? get your skills up kid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Sweet....another C NH boning from SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Sweet....another C NH boning from SNE. I'm counting on some win tomorrow and into the night, to counteract the late week whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 13 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Yeah i dunno about that, everything is on the table at this point, i would say an all snow event is just as much on the table as a CT Mix with R/S line at 84. Yes, we lay the options on the table but then you look at all the info at your disposal and go with a call at d3...speaking from my persoective where its just a hobby of mine, this is what I think the most likely outcome is. i dont need to tread carefullyand slowly reveal myself like pros do. if i see it, which i did several days ago, i pounce. this aint done coming nw imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Euro is going to be flatter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yes, we lay the options on the table but then you look at all the info at your disposal and go with a call at d3...speaking from my persoective where its just a hobby of mine, this is what I think the most likely outcome is. i dont need to tread carefullyand slowly reveal myself like pros do. if i see it, which i did several days ago, i pounce. this aint done coming nw imo. lol tell us how you really feel. That's fine to make a call like that i just don't think any one option is more likely than another right now, a flat solution/complete whiff is just as likely imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro is going to be flatter. Yeah, that's not what I wanted to see. Step in the wrong direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro is going to be flatter. NAM and GFS tossed if the euro is flat... I'm also not ready to discount the GGEM... it may be more correct than a product like the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Yeah it was apparent early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: lol tell us how you really feel. That's fine to make a call like that i just don't think any one option is more likely than another right now, a flat solution/complete whiff is just as likely imo. ha, Its all fun here with me. I get the whole "what can go wrong" and "any solution is out there" thought process esp if you do this for a living. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2017 Author Share Posted February 6, 2017 Not a bad trajectory based on the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Scraper this run...nobody gets more than maybe 2-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: NAM and GFS tossed lol always go with the worst solution then meh your way to jacks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: NAM and GFS tossed No way......EURO has been too progressive all season . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: lol always go with the worst solution then meh your way to jacks. I said I'd wait for the euro... and it's meh... I'm not betting against it. People can ride the NAM if they'd like Not mehing...just going with most reliable guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 I'm very interested to see where the NWS goes with this for the PM shift GGEM remains a flat whiff, GFS NAM go in one direction, EC goes in the other, my guess would pops stay at high chance/low likely and play it safe until next cycle/shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: No way......EURO has been too progressive all season . He never gonna learn. Him and Jeff Gordon should join MPM in a circle jerk of anxious weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I said I'd wait for the euro... and it's meh... I'm not betting against it. People can ride the NAM if they'd like Not mehing...just going with most reliable guidance you ride OP solutions way too much man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2017 Author Share Posted February 6, 2017 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I said I'd wait for the euro... and it's meh... I'm not betting against it. People can ride the NAM if they'd like You're meh'ing what's been the seasonal trend. No major storms, save for 1 that got only our area. This one may end up that way as well. Do I think it misses us? No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: you ride OP solutions way too much man. We're 3 days out... what else should I ride? Aren't ensembles pretty much useless now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: you ride OP solutions way too much man. It's 72 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Euro doesn't carry a ton of weight with me right now, relatively speaking....EPS prob more amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: I'm very interested to see where the NWS goes with this for the PM shift GGEM remains a flat whiff, GFS NAM go in one direction, EC goes in the other, my guess would pops stay at high chance/low likely and play it safe until next cycle/shift. I think you play it middle...the GEM is the only model that gives nothing. You probably aren't issuing any watches this early with the confidence levels where they're at right now. But definitely have high pops in the forecast and emphasize snow could accumulate. Hopefully 00z tonight is a clearer picture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: We're 3 days out... what else should I ride? Aren't ensembles pretty much useless now Euro has given me a few snow events at close leads that ended up crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Trough not as sharp this run, Scraper on the 12z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Just now, dryslot said: Trough not as sharp this run, Scraper on the 12z Euro Thanks bud Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2017 Author Share Posted February 6, 2017 Ensm very much still in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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