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February 9th Coastal Storm Discussion


Baroclinic Zone

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2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

grow a pair. what else do you need here to go 10-16" ? 

Another set of runs. Really no need to go huge right away... I'm acknowledging it could get to that point though.

this could also be a deal where most people are 6-10" and someone in a localized area scores 18"

lots to figure out still

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43 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

170209/1600Z  52  02013KT  24.7F  SNOW   15:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.016   15:1|  0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.02  
170209/1700Z  53  02012KT  24.9F  SNOW   18:1| 1.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.067   18:1|  1.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.08  
170209/1800Z  54  02012KT  24.7F  SNOW   18:1| 1.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.106   18:1|  3.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.19  
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
170209/1900Z  55  01013KT  23.4F  SNOW   14:1| 3.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.217   16:1|  6.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.41 
170209/2000Z  56  36014KT  21.3F  SNOW   13:1| 2.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.177   15:1|  8.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.58  
170209/2100Z  57  36015KT  19.5F  SNOW    9:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.087   14:1|  9.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.67  
170209/2200Z  58  35015KT  18.2F  SNOW   30:1| 1.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.054   15:1| 11.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.72  
170209/2300Z  59  34015KT  17.7F  SNOW   26:1| 0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.022   16:1| 11.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.75  
170210/0000Z  60  34014KT  18.2F  SNOW   22:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.010   16:1| 11.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.76  
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
170210/0100Z  61  34014KT  18.4F  SNOW   18:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.006   16:1| 12.0|                 0.77

Date/hour    FHr  Wind    SfcT   Ptype   SR |Snow||Sleet|| FZRA|| QPF    CumSR|TotSN||TotPL||TotZR|| TQPF   

That's like 18:1

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14 minutes ago, Powderboy413 said:

Nam has done well this year under 24 hours, and it was the first one to really stand its ground with this system. I'm looking to see what the nam does

16 hours ago, 78Blizzard said:

This could be the one rare instance that the NAM schools the big boys this winter.

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9 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

It's been a rough winter for snow cover down here for sure.

We haven't had much, but with the exception of an 11 day stretch last month and a few days in between, I've had snow on the ground in some form since 12/12 for the most part.  A lot of those days are traces though which doesn't help much, but at least I've had that.

This storm might extend the current stretch of 16 days...lol.

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1 minute ago, MetHerb said:

We haven't had much, but with the exception of an 11 day stretch last month and a few days in between, I've had snow on the ground in some form since 12/12 for the most part.  A lot of those days are traces though which doesn't help much, but at least I've had that.

This storm might extend the current stretch of 16 days...lol.

I should clarify that I mean full cover. I have some snow OTG still, but plenty of bare ground too.

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Just now, JC-CT said:

I couldn't read any of what you posted on mobile. Sorry, appreciate you trying and posting that but I was hoping for a summary...which you have since provided. Thank you.

Oh the mobile disaster, no problem, yea seems 16-1 cumulative looks to be the ratio the models are putting out in Bufkit

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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Taunton MA
251 PM EST Tue Feb 7 2017

MAZ013-015>023-RIZ002>008-080400-
/O.NEW.KBOX.WS.A.0002.170209T0300Z-170210T0700Z/
Western Norfolk MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-
Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
Including the cities of Foxborough, Norwood, Boston, Quincy,
Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Fall River, New Bedford,
Mattapoisett, Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, Vineyard Haven,
Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, EAST GREENWICH, WARWICK,
WEST WARWICK, Bristol, Narragansett, Westerly, Newport,
and BLOCK ISLAND
251 PM EST Tue Feb 7 2017

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Taunton has issued a Winter Storm
Watch...which is in effect from Wednesday evening through late
Thursday night.

* LOCATIONS...Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island.

* HAZARD TYPES...Heavy snow.

* Accumulations...Snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches.

* TIMING...Snow will begin early Thursday morning and last through
  much of the day before ending Thursday evening. Snow could fall
  heavy at times and impact both the morning and evening commutes.

* IMPACTS...Hazardous travel due to snow covered roads and poor
  visibilities. Blowing and drifting snow is possible.

* Winds...North 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.
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