JC-CT Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Jimmy.. the Cape will start as rain, but you'll flip to heavy , wet snow To be clear, that was just one weenie member of the 06 gefs. Most don't give him major mixing issues, or anyone a blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Yup. A lot of moving pieces. Yes there is a lot of moving parts but getting that wave on shore is key. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: To be clear, that was just one weenie member of the 06 gefs. Most don't give him major mixing issues, or anyone a blizzard. The NAM and Ukie start that area as rain but flip over to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: The NAM and Ukie start that area as rain but flip over to snow The ukmet was impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 One more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 We like JC better once he warms up to the idea and posts good stuff. hes like an 1957 chevy, angry and rough to sit on but once the oil is warmed up and you take it out of park, it drives well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 31 minutes ago, CTWeatherFreak said: Canadian still without a clue? Doesn't matter really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 11 minutes ago, dryslot said: Doesn't matter really Only to reinforce that its even a worse model than the GFS in situations like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apm Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 44 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: http://models.weatherbell.com/gefs/gefs_precipitation.php Thanks, appreciate it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 NAM out to hour 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Looks good so far, and consistent with the NAM run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 someone let me know when the nam is out to 42hr. thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, dendrite said: someone let me know when the nam is out to 42hr. thanks LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, dendrite said: someone let me know when the nam is out to 42hr. thanks It's at hr 39 now so.....Get Ready!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 gonna come a tick se of its insane previous nw envelope which will crush sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: gonna come a tick se of its insane previous nw envelope which will crush sne. It looks stronger if anything is different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Looks like it ticked a bit SE on this run but still in a good spot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 NAM ticked SE.... still will be a good hit though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 A tick SE is great for all of SNE, including the Cape and Islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: NAM ticked SE.... still will be a good hit though thats what most of us needed on nam as it was too far nw last night. it moves se now we need gfs euro tick nw, narrow the posts. anyway, nam is a crusher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 best banding is still eny into berks with a seconday max over taunton of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 6mb weaker at hr 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Also seems to have backed off a bit on totals in CT...not a huge difference but notable difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 12 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: It looks stronger if anything is different. And its not its 2 mb+ weaker then the 06z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Not surprising it went a bit more tame...was the outlier the past day or so in how amped it was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 990mb low at the benchmark at hour 54 is quite formidable regardless of what the 6z run had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Looks like it gets kicked NE as gets to this lat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 This run is definitely a bit more disjointed from the best upper level support...the storm is northeast of the good vortmax....so we see more of a fleeting burst of steady precip rather than a more zonked up CCB. Prob would be more like a high end advisory to low end warning event in that scenario...and that does match a lot of other guidance right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Overall.....still a good and somewhat consistent run!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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