dryslot Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 0z Nam is going to play games with us, Initialized and has been stuck at 8z for about 10 mins on SV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 On 2/8/2017 at 1:19 AM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: This is such a monster storm, just five millibars deeper throughout the 00z runs suite, then I will forecast up to 24" regionwide. Expand please define "regionwide". because i feel like "that ain't happening, James" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 On 2/8/2017 at 1:28 AM, OceanStWx said: Look at 12/29-30. Tucked a sub-980 mb low into the coast and couldn't get snow back to the CT River in NH. Sometimes these late bloomers don't have time to expand the forcing west and everything stays tighter to the low track. A possible caution flag. Expand It's sort of interesting that we never even close off a 700hpa low but we get a somewhat diffuse but large zone of convergence and frontogenesis there. Not really that classic pivot sig as the storm bombs out but enough to keep things interesting even well NW of the SLP track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 On 2/6/2017 at 3:16 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: 84h map. Expand The fact that you guys are always thinking of me Even when I'm in LA warms my heart. On a week where I'm on cloud 999. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 On 2/8/2017 at 1:34 AM, Baroclinic Zone said: Nice discussion that you're adding here with the forcing. This is why the 00z runs are important. Really looks like the track has narrowed to around the BM. We can start delving into the details to look at where he best banding will set up. Expand Bob, I have been meaning to say this for a while , I find you one of the best posters on the board . While not a met , your skill at reading models and keeping things real is much appreciated . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Eastern MA region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just updated my blog in case anyone's interested --> http://www.nbcconnecticut.com/weather/stories/Thursday-Snowstorm-413101843.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 On 2/8/2017 at 1:52 AM, dryslot said: 0z Nam is going to play games with us, Initialized and has been stuck at 8z for about 10 mins on SV Expand Yup. Para is rolling through now hour 19. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 NAM seems to be broken - it's stuck on hour 8 on one site and on another it's out to hour 8 and then has some random panels out from 13, 16 and 18 but only a couple of different maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 James broke the NAM by having multiple ports into the FTP server. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 NAM is at hour 15 on the NCEP site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 She is running now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Out to hr 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 On 2/8/2017 at 1:55 AM, CT Rain said: It's sort of interesting that we never even close off a 700hpa low but we get a somewhat diffuse but large zone of convergence and frontogenesis there. Not really that classic pivot sig as the storm bombs out but enough to keep things interesting even well NW of the SLP track. Expand Yeah, that's where I see a rapidly developing band forming. Maybe not the rates of 12/29-30, but in a similar style. 850 mb low is also forecast to be much better developed in this case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Trough digging further south in the midwest then the 18z run so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 This happens during major storms. Weenies hammering the site. Ncep site faltered before the Jan 8th storm too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Out to 23 - it's definitely slower so far with the system vs 18z. Looks better organized and digging more as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 dryslot, if the NAM digs the shortwave further south, then the northern stream will indeed phase sooner with the southern stream and this storm will end up in the 970s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 It's early in the run, but it looks like this one may be more amped than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Wow Will, more amped than 18z? I got over 12" of snow from that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 This should be good, Heights are higher off the NE coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Storm is forming precip faster than 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 take cover? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Stuck hr 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Might come in a tic or two stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Stronger and much more organized at hour 27. We may get NAMed here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Def more wrapped up than the previous run...but it is early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 High and tight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 I now only have hour 33 out for whatever reason, but it's 2mb stronger and a bit more wrapped up than the 18z run. Strong band out over eastern PA into ALB area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 New data... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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