jm1220 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, NYCGreg said: You flipped quickly. The SW end=The Philly area, which I mentioned earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, RU848789 said: I think Middlesex is also good for 8-10", maybe up to 12" in Carteret (far NE part of the county), lol, as most of the models are still showing a relatively quick changeover and enough precip (close to 1") total. However, precip amounts look less for Somerset, Hunterdon, and Mercer and there looks to be more rain SE of us in Monmouth, especially near the coast, so all of those locations could end up with 6-8" for total precip and/or mixing reasons. That's if the GFS/NAM are correct. I think you and I get 10" or more if we changeover by 5 am - going to set my alarm for about 4 am, after going to sleep after the Euro, lol. Lee Goldberg and Nick Gregory still bullish on 8-12" for all of CNJ/NNJ (north of about 195) and they're usually pretty good. TWC also has us in their 8-12" swath. Hey, given where we were 2 days ago, 6" will be great, although I'll be bummed a bit, given what was looking to be possible earlier today. Agreed. Gregory and Goldberg are solid. Didn't we pull 5 for that event in Jan? And today WAS a beautiful day, so let's enjoy the snow. I'd like as much as we can get, but hey8 is fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, RU848789 said: I think Middlesex is also good for 8-10", maybe up to 12" in Carteret (far NE part of the county), lol, as most of the models are still showing a relatively quick changeover and enough precip (close to 1") total. However, precip amounts look less for Somerset, Hunterdon, and Mercer and there looks to be more rain SE of us in Monmouth, especially near the coast, so all of those locations could end up with 6-8" for total precip and/or mixing reasons. That's if the GFS/NAM are correct. I think you and I get 10" or more if we changeover by 5 am - going to set my alarm for about 4 am, after going to sleep after the Euro, lol. Lee Goldberg and Nick Gregory still bullish on 8-12" for all of CNJ/NNJ (north of about 195) and they're usually pretty good. TWC also has us in their 8-12" swath. Hey, given where we were 2 days ago, 6" will be great, although I'll be bummed a bit, given what was looking to be possible earlier today. From the Driscoll Bridge on north has the best chance of seeing 12" or possibly a little more but a widespread 8-12" snowfall is likely countywide depending on location. I am going with a magic number of 11.0" in the Woodbridge/Carteret area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 How was the ukie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 ahem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 HRRR still flips the city to all snow around 4:30 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: ahem But but my QPF went down 0.12"!? Stop living and dying by snow maps, people - mid levels look as good as can be! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shadowsintherain Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 MOTHER OF GOD. That's pretty!!!Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 The normally conservative Rap is a bomb, the Long Island/ LHV band is real Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, forkyfork said: ahem Does the latest version show that the best banding should happen over the immediate metro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 4 minutes ago, forkyfork said: ahem Forky... take a look at that same graphic for the GFS... the trough is impressive on the GFS thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 The GFS, NAM, and RGEM show awesome mid-levels. VVs are great. Don't worry about QPF with this setup at 700mb. GFS RGEM NAM edit: forky ninja'd me haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 5 minutes ago, forkyfork said: ahem Will admit that looks pretty sexy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 4 minutes ago, Morris said: HRRR still flips the city to all snow around 4:30 am. How Much does the latest hrrr give NYC metro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Just now, weatherfreeeeak said: How Much does the latest hrrr give NYC metro? 8-9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 00z UKMET, regional version isn't out yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Those maps above are why NYC/NNJ and east increased on the snow maps if anything while SW of that decreased. If the storm evolves like this, trust me, practically everyone in this subforum will be very happy. And it's practically nowcast time-it's as good or better to just watch your own conditions vs a model besides the very short range ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BobbyHolikWillFindYou Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 9 minutes ago, forkyfork said: ahem Winds South of LI pick up nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richm20 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 4 minutes ago, Morris said: 8-9 Care to post the map you are seeing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BobbyHolikWillFindYou Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: You have the "total possible" map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Just now, BobbyHolikWillFindYou said: You have the "total possible" map? Strange, the one posted earlier by milliman , same time 849 pm, had those 9 areas in 8-12....was a most likely map IIRC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 44/30 in the park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 00z UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Convection screaming in from the SW...here we go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 14 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 6 minutes ago, BobbyHolikWillFindYou said: You have the "total possible" map? Here's the link to the snowfall maps from Mt. Holly - I don't like posting the "total possible" map, as it's easy to get confused by, if you don't notice the title. http://www.weather.gov/phi/winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Not surprising giving the upper air evolution we've seen today which is increasingly better for New England. The problem is the slower creep of the cold air and more amped low which keeps the warm air longer on the SW end of it. The freak outs are going too far but no use in denying this turning more into a 1/12/11 or Nemo kind of event. Nemo. Yes sir. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Hrrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, RU848789 said: Here's the link to the snowfall maps from Mt. Holly - I don't like posting the "total possible" map, as it's easy to get confused by, if you don't notice the title. http://www.weather.gov/phi/winter Upton's lastest snow map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.