Joe4alb Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Blizzard Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 317 PM EST Wed Feb 8 2017 ...Powerful Winter Storm Late Tonight and Thursday... NYZ078>081-090500- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.W.0002.170209T0500Z-170209T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.BZ.W.0001.170209T0800Z-170209T2300Z/ Northwestern Suffolk-Northeastern Suffolk-Southwestern Suffolk- Southeastern Suffolk- 317 PM EST Wed Feb 8 2017 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM EST THURSDAY... The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Blizzard Warning...which is in effect from 3 AM to 6 PM EST Thursday. The Winter Storm Warning is no longer in effect. * Snow Accumulations...10 to 14 inches...locally higher. * Locations...Suffolk County. * Hazard type...Heavy snow. * Timing...Late tonight through Thursday. * Impacts...Hazardous/dangerous travel due to snow covered roads and poor visibilities. Blowing and drifting snow is likely. Local power outages with downed trees and powerlines possible. * Winds...North 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * Visibilities...one quarter mile or less at times. * Temperatures...Falling into the 20s. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions...making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel...have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded...stay with your vehicle. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: Thats the 14z HRRR, I was looking at the 18Z run at 11-12Z tomorrow They're different resolutions but the LP looks spot on almost identical actual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Blizzard warning just issued for eastern long island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 13 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Posts without specifics are going to be deleted. Includes posts that say "metro" without an understanding of what that actually means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: The 4 km NAM has the heaviest snow totals somewhat to the south and east of the 12 km version. Both versions of the NAM are to the north and west of the RGEM. The differences likely have much to do where the models anticipate the banding will develop. At this time, I think a widespread 8"-14" forecast is probably reasonable without worrying too much about where the heaviest amounts will be located. It will be interesting to see where the 18z RGEM places the axis of heaviest snow. The 4 km NAM through 27 hours (2/9 21z) is below (Kuchera Ratio), as the 12 km version was posted earlier in this thread. That's almost double the snow for NYC than the regular NAM. These bands are gonna play havoc with the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, Zelocita Weather said: Blizzard warning just issued for eastern long island Yeh they had to . Do not be shocked if that expands west tomorrow . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, yhbrooklyn said: That's almost double the snow for NYC than the regular NAM. These bands are gonna play havoc with the models. I agree. Some of the amounts may be on the high side, but we'll see. The dynamics should be incredible at the height of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 17 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Orange County jackpot... Harriman area? Lol My Sleet base still lives despite today's warmth. Locked in into March after tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Off topic, but is the storm for next week still on the table? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBlitzkrieg Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Zelocita Weather said: Blizzard warning just issued for eastern long island all of suffolk county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: I agree. Some of the amounts may be on the high side, but we'll see. The dynamics should be incredible at the height of the storm. I just hope it sets up over all of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 3k NAM at 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, West Mtn NY said: My Sleet base still lives despite today's warmth. Locked in into March after tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, snow1 said: Off topic, but is the storm for next week still on the table? Yes. The latest Euro was just south of NE, but had rain for the MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Blizzard warning and this lawyer still wont adjourn haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, yhbrooklyn said: I just hope it sets up over all of us. I agree. It will be a fun storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Blizzard warning and this lawyer still wont adjourn haha If the Court closes you don't have to worry about an appearance anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: Blizzard warning and this lawyer still wont adjourn haha Another reason I didn't choose law.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, NYCGreg said: If the Court closes you don't have to worry about an appearance anyway. Nassau and Suffolk definitely will close. Not sure about Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUMG11 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Mt. Holly adjusted everything a little further south across all 3 maps... hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, RUMG11 said: Mt. Holly adjusted everything a little further south across all 3 maps... hmmm Looks like mt holly is liking their NW zones to jackpot. Not matching up with Uptons map at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 The latest HRRR is pretty hairy ptype wise at 11-12Z still for ERN LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triniiphone Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, snywx said: Looks like mt holly is liking their NW zones to jackpot. Not matching up with Uptons map at all. That's potential not most likely. Here is Upton's 'potential' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: That's potential not most likely. Here is Upton's 'potential' I misread it.. thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemost Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: That's potential not most likely. Here is Upton's 'potential' That's from 11:19am, they released a new set of maps at 3:14pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: That's potential not most likely. Here is Upton's 'potential' So most likely for NYC is 11" but the potential exists for 12". That's a pretty narrow band of probabilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 This was a huge NW shift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, mikemost said: That's from 11:19am, they released a new set of maps at 3:14pm Yeah I guess I need to update my cache. I copied the newest one but it has the old time stamp. The amounts look the same to me though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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