PB GFI Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 8 minutes ago, sferic said: Is that 3 inches LE just of the south shore of LI? 40 mm 1.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 I've been telling everyone not to try and go to work tomorrow if they can work from home. This could get bad based on timing of heaviest snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 UKIE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: I've been telling everyone not to try and go to work tomorrow if they can work from home. This could get bad based on timing of heaviest snow NYC has to close schools tomorrow. Maybe Cuomo should even announce another travel ban. Snow during the rush will be coming down at 2-3" per hour if not even heavier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Looks like the Ukie shows around 35 mm of liquid for NYC. That's near 1.4 inches. So that would be 14 inches of snow plus depending on ratios. Maybe we loose an inch due to the warm ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mriceyman Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: NYC has to close schools tomorrow. Maybe Cuomo should even announce another travel ban. Snow during the rush will be coming down at 2-3" per hour if not even heavier. The problem is with most storms plows can stay on top of the snow and cars are driving over a minimal amount lf snow on the roads. The plows will not keep up at 2-3" per hour rates.. cars will be stuck everywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 All things being equal does 1.5 inches of QPF in a 6 hours yield the same amount of snow as 1.5 inches of qpf in 12 hours ? During a summer thunderstorm, 15 minutes can yield an inch of rain. Assuming a ten to one ratio and the right temperature There can't be 10 inches of snow in 15 minutes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 6 minutes ago, NortheastPAWx said: My school I know has a number of teachers who are from upstate, out of state, LI, further away areas of NYC...if they do hold school I can safely say teacher attendance would be low. I'm a SETTS/special ed tutor at Calhoun. I do mostly one-on-one tutoring with kids that need extra help. I already told the students I am cancelling tomorrow regardless of what the school does. I live in the Bronx and would have to commute in by elevated train (and a 20 min walk to the 2/5 train) at 9am during the height of the storm with possibly 3"/hr snow rates, 30mph north winds, and dropping temps. No way I can risk that. I'm staying home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 8 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: I've been telling everyone not to try and go to work tomorrow if they can work from home. This could get bad based on timing of heaviest snow Me too, 2-3" hour rates and rush hour is a disaster waiting to happen. I have a feeling this will be a much higher impact event then allot of the recent blizzards as people will/aren't taking this seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1/4 mile vis reported just from our s/w out west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted February 8, 2017 Author Share Posted February 8, 2017 The weather channel just raised their totals for NYC to 8-12 inches! they used to be very conservative and bust low all the time but not the last few years. I think their call is good at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: The weather channel just raised their totals for NYC to 8-12 inches! they used to be very conservative and bust low all the time but not the last few years. I think their call is good at this point Every model now shows that if not more in some places so that's the wise move. Many people don't believe this is happening because of how quiet and warm today is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 7 minutes ago, sferic said: All things being equal does 1.5 inches of QPF in a 6 hours yield the same amount of snow as 1.5 inches of qpf in 12 hours ? During a summer thunderstorm, 15 minutes can yield an inch of rain. Assuming a ten to one ratio and the right temperature There can't be 10 inches of snow in 15 minutes? Impossible due to PWAT constraints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: The weather channel just raised their totals for NYC to 8-12 inches! they used to be very conservative and bust low all the time but not the last few years. I think their call is good at this point I've found Weather Channel forecasts overall to be the most reliable over the last yr or so. No in depth analysis, just based on personal observations..not the generic TV one but via the app based on exact location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Its 61 degrees at JFK right now. Possible foot of snow on the ground in 24 hours. I just find that amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUMG11 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, tdp146 said: Its 61 degrees at JFK right now. Possible foot of snow on the ground in 24 hours. I just find that amazing. We had hit 70 at ACY (new record), but are now creeping downward. 69 now... insanity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, RUMG11 said: We had hit 70 at ACY (new record), but are now creeping downward. 69 now... insanity. Wow, that's an April day. 58° here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted February 8, 2017 Author Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 hour ago, USCG RS said: For once I think you may not be that far off. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk 1 hour ago, Metsfan said: Please stop with wishcasting. 59 minutes ago, Snow88 said: He might be right based off the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 I think most people will be aware of this storm as everyone has social media today. Still the combo of today's warm weather and the rush hour impact may still be significant. Looks like winds will play a factor as well and the near freezing temps could cause outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 60 in the park. Gonna be quite the crash in temps soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Tomorrow should be a fun day at work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Far out but HRRR matches most models at 10Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 12z Euro is up to hour 30....better than last nights 0z!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, KeithB said: 12z Euro is up to hour 30....better than last nights 0z!! Yea euro is even more amped than 00z, looks like ukie... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Eyeballing, I'd say euro is close to 12-18" especially coastal sections, SENY, and SECT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I think most people will be aware of this storm as everyone has social media today. Still the combo of today's warm weather and the rush hour impact may still be significant. Looks like winds will play a factor as well and the near freezing temps could cause outages. The snows going to cake to everything at first. But as temps crash a more powdery snow should limit any real damage. That and winds aren't going to even meet advisory thresholds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Reading the NE forum, the Euro appears to be thermonuclear this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Long islands sees 20+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBlitzkrieg Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 euro drops an inch of liquid between 12z and 18z in NYC and LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: The snows going to cake to everything at first. But as temps crash a more powdery snow should limit any real damage. That and winds aren't going to even meet advisory thresholds Agree-the winds won't really get going until eastern Suffolk and the New England coast. Still should be drifting though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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