Squid1225 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 I'm taking the NAM to the bank. It's been consistent run after run and everything has caved to it.. no reason not to hang your hat on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 WPC is still 50/50 for at least 8" and 10% for at least 12" in NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, bluewave said: The 2010's continues to be the greatest era in modern history for KU storms. If you can find it, Dr. Joe posted a bar graph for each decade with the 2010's towering overall the rest. Wouldn't rank that high without BWI and DCA in on the fun though, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 12z RGEM (Kuchera Ratio) through 33 hours: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUMG11 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Squid1225 said: I'm taking the NAM to the bank. It's been consistent run after run and everything has caved to it.. no reason not to hang your hat on it Man, 3-5 years ago this would have been a crazy thing to say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, bluewave said: The 2010's continues to be the greatest era in modern history for KU storms. If you can find it, Dr.Dewpoint posted a bar graph for each decade with the 2010's towering over all the rest. I recall seeing it. The 2010s have been a golden era for big snowstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 RGEM nailed the last storm out here...to the inch. No reason to doubt it now. Thinking 15 is possible in Suffolk and Nassau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, donsutherland1 said: 12z RGEM (Kuchera Ratio) through 33 hours: Lol. HECS for the island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, psv88 said: RGEM nailed the last storm out here...to the inch. No reason to doubt it now. Thinking 15 is possible in Suffolk and Nassau. It's all relative... RGEM nailed Long Island, but NAM has crushed it for SNY, NNJ and NEPA... spot on every storm this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, bluewave said: The 2010's continues to be the greatest era in modern history for KU storms. If you can find it, Dr.Dewpoint posted a bar graph for each decade with the 2010's towering over all the rest. Agree Chris . Check out the RGEM with ratio`s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, psv88 said: RGEM nailed the last storm out here...to the inch. No reason to doubt it now. Thinking 15 is possible in Suffolk and Nassau. Its had a good winter in most of the Eastern US. The one region its struggled in is right near BWI/DCA/RIC for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, psv88 said: RGEM nailed the last storm out here...to the inch. No reason to doubt it now. Thinking 15 is possible in Suffolk and Nassau. Should be a crazy 6 hours here to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: I recall seeing it. The 2010s have been a golden era for big snowstorms. I keep my own in a spreadsheet. I can post here if you'd like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squid1225 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, RUMG11 said: Man, 3-5 years ago this would have been a crazy thing to say I know right!? It's been preforming pretty well this winter.. nailed that sleet storm two weeks ago when everyone thought it was crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 I'm liking the RGEM's consistency on blitzing us here on the coast. Usually this close in it's pretty accurate. With the kind of rates it shows there should definitely be places over a foot and maybe approaching 18". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 COBB METHOD NAM 16" WITH 1.2" OF LIQUID COBB METHOD GFS 13" WITH 1.0" OF LIQUID THIS IS A QUICK 12 HOUR EVENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, yhbrooklyn said: I keep my own in a spreadsheet. I can post here if you'd like. Keep in mind, I count the first season of the decade as the 0-1 season. So the 2000s was 2000-01 to 2009-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 12z GFS also looks to be coming in further NW than 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 12z GFS is about 3 hours slower than 06z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 GFS is 3mb stronger this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, yhbrooklyn said: Keep in mind, I count the first season of the decade as the 0-1 season. So the 2000s was 2000-01 to 2009-10. Wonderful graph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 12z GFS matches the RGEM. CNJ, NE NJ, NYC and LI jackpot. 50 miles further NW than 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Heaviest snows on the GFS are after 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Still snowing back to NE PA at 15z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Wonderful graph. Thanks. I like these, too. Which show how much we've lost in December, March and April, but how beefy Jan-Feb have been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Snow ending in NE NJ and NYC around 18z. 979mb SE of the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 7 minutes ago, yhbrooklyn said: Keep in mind, I count the first season of the decade as the 0-1 season. So the 2000s was 2000-01 to 2009-10. Greath graph, thanks yh. Glad youre outta hibernationz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 15 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: I recall seeing it. The 2010s have been a golden era for big snowstorms. since 2000 it's been a great ride with only a few bumps in the road...10" or more storms... 1870's...5 1880's...1 1890's...5 1900's...4 1910's...5 1920's...5 1930's...3 1940's...4 1950's...3 1960's...6 1970's...3 1980's...1 1990's...5 2000's...7 2010's...8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Just now, NJwx85 said: Still snowing back to NE PA at 15z. Here's what I'm noticing, RGEM imo is too confined with the heavier swath of snow, the track/intensity looks in line with guidance but really confines its mod/heavy band... GFS and Nam both extend that banding about 50 miles further than RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Looks like NJ Jackpot on the GFS. 10"+ for nearly the entire state except coastal SNJ. NYC and LI are 8"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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