UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Also hi res RGEM was a crush job for everyone, including interior... 24hrs is hi res RGEM wheelhouse hi res would be widespread 10-14" with parts of LHV, NNJ and Long Island possibley seeing 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 30 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: RGEM pumps breaks on those insane totals it was showing earlier .5-.75 for burbs, less north of 84 .75- -1.25 for city and Long Island It was overall a bit SE. Places from TTN up through NYC actually did better than the 00z run. LI has lower totals overall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 GFS looks identical to RGEM.... .5- 1.0" for most... I'd say a good call is 8-12", whoever sets under CCB and cranks will see higher end obv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 I'll take his in a heartbeat, ratios would see interior still over 8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Great Pics thanks Billy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Winter Storm Warning for NYC. 6-12 inches of snow expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 From 09z to 18z should be a absolute mauling with snow rates in the metro. I like a jackpot between Monmouth county to Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: From 09z to 18z should be a absolute mauling with snow rates in the metro. I like a jackpot between Monmouth county to Long Island I like a westchester jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Euro is a mini Nemo with 9 inches for NYC , 12 inches for my area and 14 + for LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: I like a westchester jackpot Models are starting to point to a eastern Long Island Jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Models are starting to point to a eastern Long Island Jackpot I'm basing off hi res guidance... RGEM/Nam its obviously gonna be nowcast, somewhere between westchester and Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 3k Nam, and hi res RGEM are near identical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Area wide 6-12 can't ask for much more after this disaster of a winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Srefs are loaded with precip.... 1.11" up to swf lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 9 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Srefs are loaded with precip.... 1.11" up to swf lol Kind of goes along with the westchester jackpot. Is there a Sref from HPN ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 13 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Srefs are loaded with precip.... 1.11" up to swf lol New SREFs come oit in about 2 hours. Here's the old run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Wayyy out of its time frame, but the long range HRRR is absolute crushjob, all of I-95 through the LHV and NNJ/LI looks exactly like other hi res meso guidance, 4kNAM/RGEM/HRRR =identical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Morning rush crush job anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Hi res RGEM is coming out now, I'll post when it's done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 54 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Winter Storm Warning for NYC. 6-12 inches of snow expected. Yep, this is a good forecast. I like the trend of the 6z suite to place the banding just to our SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mriceyman Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Morning rush crush job anyone? And im sure everyone will go to work like a normal day. Should be a disaster for us plow guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Glad my hotel has a parking garage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 I'll take a Euro/Rgem blend please. Would be blinding snow for 6hrs starting at 12z over here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Latest kuchera is still 17:1 ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 At this point, guidance has clearly shifted southeast and favors central Long Island to the Plymouth area for heaviest banding. This is an encouraging sign for metro area folks who might have been worried last night about catching subsidence. As modeled, widespread 6-12" from PHL to BOS is likely, with that narrow 10-12 range falling somewhere between eastern LI and Westchester County. In my experience, better to be to the NW of where the heaviest band is modeled vs. SE. I like where the metro sits right now for the highest totals, but that could obviously change come 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Man the hi res RGEM takes FOR--EV--ER... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Lol Lonnie Quinn going bullish, 6-12" up to Albany Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Winter Storm Warming for Dutchess 6-12, highest in southern Dutchess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Snowpacolypse II.... lol jk... Wxbell broke apparently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 hour ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Morning rush crush job anyone? Thanks, although HRRR has the worst graphics imaginable for snow - all shades of one color is moronic... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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