NJwx85 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 12z PARA GFS is more tucked in than the rest of the guidance. Well over a foot for NE PA and places like Sullivan County NY. 12"+ for mostly everyone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: 12z PARA GFS is more tucked in than the rest of the guidance. Well over a foot for NE PA and places like Sullivan County NY. 12"+ for mostly everyone else. I'll be nail hitting up here, as usually the folks up here will be on the cusp, still 6" here on GFS but very close to 3" lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 GFS precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 12z JMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, UlsterCountySnowZ said: I'd rather never see snow than move towards jersey or NYC Come down to where we get the epic CCBs and heavy snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 I cant believe people are bickering in here. Everyone in here will see at least 4-6" of snow, some up to 15". Enjoy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 the 12 hour precip panel puts nyc,cnj and l.i in the pink,this is the brams model. the most dryest of all models and yet n.y.c still gets crushed!!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 16 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Stop with the bickering, we're all getting snow, and a lot of it. If you're too selfish to accept 10" when someone else might get 15", you should be embarrased. I get the sentiment for sure. In winters past I'd be nail biting borderline and probably ultimately seeing a few inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Breene Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 These fast movers always seem to start earlier than predicted and then I think we have more mixing issues at the start than is being discussed. With counting on temps dropping so quickly, for a fast moving storm, its like every 30 minutes really counts for grand totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Anything more than 8 inches and the plows and shovels get going. I'm so freaking excited to play with my 2 year old in the snow! If you guys have children, go take 'em to a park and play with them! Snowmen, snowballs, you name it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 So, what do we call this exactly? It's starting to seem a bit Miller B like to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, TriPol said: Anything more than 8 inches and the plows and shovels get going. I'm so freaking excited to play with my 2 year old in the snow! If you guys have children, go take 'em to a park and play with them! Snowmen, snowballs, you name it! Uh more like 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 OK. NO more bickering. Next person who lobs an unwarranted attack gets 33 and rain or dry slotted. Don't give a f*ck if you are above 1000' ASL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 8 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: How bout this - we'll keep our snow for about 6 hours (which is the avg time it remains tolerable in the city), and then we can ship it your way. How does that sound? He won't be happy with grey and black snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, pazzo83 said: OK. NO more bickering. Next person who lobs an unwarranted attack gets 33 and rain or dry slotted. Don't give a f*ck if you are above 1000' ASL. or a eastward shift and a coastal scraper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, RedSky said: He won't be happy with grey and black snow Beggars can't be choosers, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 I'd be nervous of jynxing yourselves 30+ hours out plenty of time left, this thing ain't coming tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: I'd be nervous of jynxing yourselves 30+ hours out plenty of time left, this thing ain't coming tonight I agree, especially when I remember that not to be named bust of a storm in SB week in 2015. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Cut Off Line will break you!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemost Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, Doorman said: Cut Off Line will break you!!!! The return of Doorman! Just a result of the forecast offices not communicating yet... It should be more uniform by tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 22 minutes ago, Doorman said: Cut Off Line will break you!!!! Tommy. Good to see you man . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 I get the sentiment for sure. In winters past I'd be nail biting borderline and probably ultimately seeing a few inches. Uh more like 2"uh yeah! 8" wtf plowing funs almost over!!Sent from my P027 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just to put the swing in perspective - tomorrow's forecast high of 62 would be a record for the date for NYC. From a record high to this in 12 hours. Geez. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 This has deform band special written all over it. The kind of deal that reminds me off feb 06. Not saying those totals happen but somewhere some 2-3" hour rates are going to crank and add up quick. A general 10" smoothed out looks good with that sweet spot in the 18" range. If this thing were slower you would be looking at yet another one of the greats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Doorman! Welcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, NortheastPAWx said: Just to put the swing in perspective - tomorrow's forecast high of 62 would be a record for the date for NYC. From a record high to this in 12 hours. Geez. I've mentioned this one before but Albany has the record for transitions that I've ever seen. NYC actually joined in on this event too in April 2000. It was 80 the day before and they had 14-16 inches of snow the next morning. I think NYC had about 1 inch and it was around 65-70 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: I've mentioned this one before but Albany has the record for transitions that I've ever seen. NYC actually joined in on this event too in April 2000. It was 80 the day before and they had 14-16 inches of snow the next morning. I think NYC had about 1 inch and it was around 65-70 here The biggest turnaround from high temperature to measurable snow for NYC occurred on February 25-26, 1930. On February 25, the temperature hit 75°. On February 26, 0.4" snow fell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: This has deform band special written all over it. The kind of deal that reminds me off feb 06. Not saying those totals happen but somewhere some 2-3" hour rates are going to crank and add up quick. A general 10" smoothed out looks good with that sweet spot in the 18" range. If this thing were slower you would be looking at yet another one of the greats novice here----is there any reason to think this storm could or might slow down or stall ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 9 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: novice here----is there any reason to think this storm could or might slow down or stall ? The flow is too progressive. It can slow down but not much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Any word on gefs?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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