Stormlover74 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Binghamton the first office to put out some watches ...for Sullivan and a few counties in PA so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 When is Upton's next update? 4pm? 5pm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 5 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: No guidance that's come out today so far indicates any rain. The GFS is warm at the onset on the coast. It definitely cuts back accums there for rain/sleet. It's probably too warm but it's one possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, TriPol said: When is Upton's next update? 4pm? 5pm? Taunton and BGM put watches out-I'm sure Upton will shortly areawide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, TriPol said: When is Upton's next update? 4pm? 5pm? Probably around 4/430. Seems to be the case when there's a storm coming and they're figuring out where to put watches up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 EPS is in line with most guidance, widespread 6-12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: The GFS is warm at the onset on the coast. It definitely cuts back accums there for rain/sleet. It's probably too warm but it's one possibility. Ask me how much I believe the GFS surface temps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Most models have a 1-2 hour period of mix/slush for the coast before the main banding and heavier precip comes in. I think coast loses .10"-.20" of precip to low ratio stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 33 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Euro is closer to 06z and 12z for the real stuff Yes, definitely. Completely over and out of here by 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: I don't believe that! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Upton just updated my forecast to 5-10" and heavy snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Classic 95 dumping on the eps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Nam looks like it will tick east this run more in line with the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBlitzkrieg Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, Allsnow said: Classic 95 dumping on the eps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, Zelocita Weather said: Upton just updated my forecast to 5-10" and heavy snow... Really? I didn't see any updates yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, SnowBlitzkrieg said: Those maps are awful.... kuchera is 17:1... EPS is 6-12" areawide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 WSW just went up 6-10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, UlsterCountySnowZ said: WSW just went up 6-10" URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 322 PM EST Tue Feb 7 2017 ...Winter Storm Watch Late Wednesday Night and Thursday... CTZ007>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ069>075-078>081-176>179- 080500- /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0002.170209T0500Z-170209T2300Z/ Northern Middlesex-Northern New London-Southern Fairfield- Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-Southern New London- Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen- Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union- Eastern Union-Rockland-Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester- New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)- Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwestern Suffolk-Northeastern Suffolk- Southwestern Suffolk-Southeastern Suffolk-Northern Queens- Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 322 PM EST Tue Feb 7 2017 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Winter Storm Watch...which is in effect from late Wednesday night through Thursday afternoon. * Accumulations...Snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches...locally higher. * Locations...Long Island...New York City...Northeast New Jersey...the Lower Hudson Valley of New York...and Southern Connecticut. * Hazard types...Heavy snow. * Timing...Late Wednesday night through Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Those maps are awful.... kuchera is 17:1... EPS is 6-12" areawide It's a standard 10-1. Just shows the heaviest over 95 area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBlitzkrieg Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Those maps are awful.... kuchera is 17:1... EPS is 6-12" areawide agreed, i just posted it as an example of a robust signal. it says 10:1 on the map so it's not misleading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 As expected, WSWatches just posted for 6-10" for essentially the entire NYC CWA. I'm sure Mt. Holly is drafting theirs as we speak... http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=phi&wwa=winter storm watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 18z NAM is weaker again at the mid levels, and by 15z Thursday the mid-level centers are well East. The end result is that NNJ, NYC and Western LI are jackpotted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, SnowBlitzkrieg said: agreed, i just posted it as an example of a robust signal. it says 10:1 on the map so it's not misleading. Yea I was just saying before some weenie took for the Tap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 WSW just hoisted area wide by Upton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Nam ticked east. Classic CCB over the metro area. Forky nailed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: 18z NAM is weaker again at the mid levels, and by 15z Thursday the mid-level centers are well East. The end result is that NNJ, NYC and Western LI are jackpotted. Looks in line with all other guidance, everyone here should see 6-12"... what the burbs lose in QPF, they will make up for in outstanding ratios and snowgrowth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Snow is gone by mid-morning on the 18z NAM, comes in like a wall around 2AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Model concensus 30 hours out? not possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: Snow is gone by mid-morning on the 18z NAM, comes in like a wall around 2AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Everyone is around an inch of LE on the 18z NAM, a hair less in Suffolk County. Highest totals are in the LHV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.