NJwx85 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, nyblizz44 said: is ther an increase in QPF? previous runs were 6-10 NYC metro Less QPF for the immeidate coast than the 06z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, North and West of Town said: Yea... this storm is one that rarely gets mentioned, so it's nice to hear it get some love. Some of my other underrated ones that I've enjoyed are other February surprises like February 13, 2014, and my all-time favorite overlooked one, February 8-11, 1994. (Apologies for the banter; I just love when a good storm *somewhat* surprises us) Well it wasn't much even in central NJ, I remember that storm, my first year in a new school district. Delayed opening. Remember we had an all out blizzard the day after New Years, and this was just before the epic Match bust. I am having a hard time believing we get to 60 tomorrow and then get snow, but am watching you guys here and getting better info than on the tv. We've not had much snow so a weekday event of even 3-6 is going to cause problems on the roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Nam is bit more tame this run which makes sense considering the rest of the guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, North and West of Town said: Yea... this storm is one that rarely gets mentioned, so it's nice to hear it get some love. Some of my other underrated ones that I've enjoyed are other February surprises like February 13, 2014, and my all-time favorite overlooked one, February 8-11, 1994. (Apologies for the banter; I just love when a good storm *somewhat* surprises us) Its not as well known in and around the city or the I95 corridor but just N&W it ramped up to 9-15" and during the heart of afternoon rush Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, snywx said: 12z NAM for the most part held serve.. 6.7" for NYC, what was 06z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, weatherpruf said: Well it wasn't much even in central NJ, I remember that storm, my first year in a new school district. Delayed opening. Remember we had an all out blizzard the day after New Years, and this was just before the epic Match bust. I am having a hard time believing we get to 60 tomorrow and then get snow, but am watching you guys here and getting better info than on the tv. We've not had much snow so a weekday event of even 3-6 is going to cause problems on the roads. I wouldn't worry about what its like the day before. It was 75 the day before the March 2007 sleetfest. Snow won't stick to roads immediately but it won't affect accumulations much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, Allsnow said: Nam is bit more tame this run which makes sense considering the rest of the guidance My sentiments exactly. I'm eager to see the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, NJwx85 said: 6.7" for NYC, what was 06z? Def cut back in totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, weatherpruf said: Well it wasn't much even in central NJ, I remember that storm, my first year in a new school district. Delayed opening. Remember we had an all out blizzard the day after New Years, and this was just before the epic Match bust. I am having a hard time believing we get to 60 tomorrow and then get snow, but am watching you guys here and getting better info than on the tv. We've not had much snow so a weekday event of even 3-6 is going to cause problems on the roads. Post super bowl storm we got 7-8 and the day before it pushed 60. This was in 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 3-7 in. when all is said and done IMHO. This storm just gets its act together 6-8 hours too late for NYC metro. I am intrigued by the 180-240 hour period moreso. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: You can see the subsidence zone south of the crazy snow band in the Poconos/Catskills. Probably accurate if the band goes crazy. But the NAM is probably overdoing it a little so the difference won't be so great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, snow1 said: Def cut back in totals. For NYC maybe north and west looks about the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: 6.7" for NYC, what was 06z? Right around 10"... Like Jm said earlier look for an area of subsidence just south of the heavier band located near I-84.. The NAM shows it nicely from NYC NE through CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Post super bowl storm we got 7-8 and the day before it pushed 60. This was in 2014 Yeah that was a nice storm. Hope we can get something here, but do worry now that I have a teen driving....and no 4 wheel dive. And Rutgers does not cancel unless it is epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, snow1 said: Def cut back in totals. The reason why it cut back isn't because the storm gets going too late. It's subsidence from the band way inland. It'll be interesting to see if other models go to this. The others don't have anything like this yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 the nam is still way NW of all the other models and probably wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 If you look at the difference in the mid-level features on the 12z NAM as compared to the 06z NAM, the system is significantly weaker and less organized aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I wouldn't worry about what its like the day before. It was 75 the day before the March 2007 sleetfest. Snow won't stick to roads immediately but it won't affect accumulations much With the northern stream diving in the rates will be ridiculous and fresh cold air. Euro has decent ratios at the end. Temps below 30 and 850's -5 or greater by 12z Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: You can see the subsidence zone south of the crazy snow band in the Poconos/Catskills. Probably accurate if the band goes crazy. But the NAM is probably overdoing it a little so the difference won't be so great. That subsidence zone, if I read it correctly, still show a 3-6 event, which in this year we gotta be happy with... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 7 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Less QPF for the immeidate coast than the 06z run. NoiseNoise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 the nam shows a foot+ where the euro and gfs show 2-4. come on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, forkyfork said: the nam is still way NW of all the other models and probably wrong The Para NAM evolution looked more like the other models somewhat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: the nam shows a foot+ where the euro and gfs show 2-4. come on I'm not sure why people over analyze this model outside 24 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: the nam shows a foot+ where the euro and gfs show 2-4. come on are you thinking this comes south more where we get into the heavier snows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, weatherpruf said: That subsidence zone, if I read it correctly, still show a 3-6 event, which in this year we gotta be happy with... Its still a 6-10 inch storm for the NYC area on the Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 The 06z PARA GFS is like the more robust NAM solutions. Wicked CCB cranks from Western MD to the Gulf of Maine on Thursday. 12"+ for areas just NW of the city. 6-12" for the immediate coast. PS, this map is not accurate for LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: I'm not sure why people over analyze this model outside 24 hrs. Because it had the blizzard right and the biggest snow event this year also right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, WeatherFeen2000 said: Because it had the blizzard right and the biggest snow event this year also right! Oh okay. Well excuse me I didn't know it's Friday already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 10 minutes ago, forkyfork said: the nam is still way NW of all the other models and probably wrong Not what I want to hear and you are probably right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.