Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Looks like another good nuke for SNE/NNE. They're on fire it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Ouch! Correction... actually near 40... but still, where is the 10-15 degree temp drop going to come from? Only a phase can bring it and its not going to happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 I'm going to Boston. Eff this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, yoda said: ^ Check 2mT... 40s to near 50 Im going to take the old winterwxluvr philosophy here and say give me the precip and we can worry about temps later, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It's hanging back with the vort diving down the back of the closed ULL. The cold is there. Just need a phase. Yup. And this time we would at least be starting with temps in 40's/50......not in the 60's-70 like the other day. lol MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I'm going to Boston. Eff this ^^^This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Well, I'm not on board for anything yet but certainly intrigued by our ever-so-trusty Euro. It only takes 1 model to start a trend....saw that with yesterday's event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Correction... actually near 40... but still, where is the 10-15 degree temp drop going to come from? Only a phase can bring it and its not going to happen A full phase does happen it just happens too late. But we were awful close this run and it wasn't that far out in time when it started looking possible. Around hr114 was when the lobe is diving down behind the NS ULL. I agree that it's likely not to happen but I won't ignore how close it was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, yoda said: Correction... actually near 40... but still, where is the 10-15 degree temp drop going to come from? Only a phase can bring it and its not going to happen What time of day does the heaviest precip hit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Ultimately, it will be a pattern repeat and those that saw snow yesterday will see it again, and those that didn't won't. That's my early forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm going to Boston. Eff this Do it. Anyone who wants to experience a snowstorm should chase. Staying here and waiting for it may be futile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 1 minute ago, cae said: What time of day does the heaviest precip hit? 18z WED --> 00z THUR The heaviest precip is down in S VA to be honest... but hr 132 is the frame that has the "heaviest" precip for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm going to Boston. Eff this The mets from the NE that I follow on twitter are falling all over themselves over the set-up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 1 minute ago, yoda said: 18z WED --> 00z THUR The heaviest precip is down in S VA to be honest... but hr 132 is the frame that has the "heaviest" precip for us how "heavy" is heavy....as in qpf for 6 hr. interval? thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Just now, yoda said: 18z WED --> 00z THUR A shift in timing that causes most of the precip to fall at night could help with surface temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: A full phase does happen it just happens too late. But we were awful close this run and it wasn't that far out in time when it started looking possible. Around hr114 was when the lobe is diving down behind the NS ULL. I agree that it's likely not to happen but I won't ignore how close it was. I am willing to bet that very few EPS members, if any at all, will be even close to what the OP shows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Just now, North Balti Zen said: The mets from the NE that I follow on twitter are falling all over themselves over the set-up. no kidding, they know it happened once and the pattern will repeat it's always like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: how "heavy" is heavy....as in qpf for 6 hr. interval? thx Around 0.15 QPF for DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Congrats to NE. I believe we saw this pattern a few years ago where everything flew by us and big storm after big storm just pounded NE every few days for almost a month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: no kidding, they know it happened once and the pattern will repeat it's always like that I will not be disagreeing with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Around 0.15 QPF for DCA then why do we even care lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 No one knows what will happen next week, but it is funny that 2 hours ago the focus was on how unlikely any storm could find its way up north in this pattern. Now, the Euro blasts areas north of us again. Go figure.... MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 13 minutes ago, yoda said: ^ Check 2mT... 40s Ask the central pa crowd how the last storm worked out with 2m temps in the 50's. I was 63 on Wednesday and still have most of my 2" otg. You know better than that. 700/850s ok as wiggy showed Nut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 screw NE and us.....day 8 Euro lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: Ask the central pa crowd how the last storm worked out with 2m temps in the 50's. I was 63 on Wednesday and still have most of my 2" otg. You know better than that. 700/850s ok as wiggy showed Nut. lol... we aren't PA. This is VA/DC/MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 you all keep looking at models. gluttons Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Just now, yoda said: lol... we aren't PA. This is VA/DC/MD That doesn't change the fact that warm temperatures on the previous day don't necessarily mean that there can't be a snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Just now, Fozz said: That doesn't change the fact that warm temperatures on the previous day don't necessarily mean that there can't be a snowstorm. I don't disagree with that... I am arguing that there is no cold air around during the storm so even if we are in the 40s the day before there is nothing 2mT wise to bring us back down to the 30s to allow snow. The only thing that can possibly do that is what Bob mentioned of a full phase... which we know around here will either not happen or happen just after passing our latitude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Just now, yoda said: I don't disagree with that... I am arguing that there is no cold air around during the storm so even if we are in the 40s the day before there is nothing 2mT wise to bring us back down to the 30s to allow snow. The only thing that can possibly do that is what Bob mentioned of a full phase... which we know around here will either not happen or happen just after passing our latitude Yeah, I agree on that. At this point I'm fully expecting a phase that happens just too late for us, not just because I'm a complainer, but because persistence is a thing in the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, yoda said: lol... we aren't PA. This is VA/DC/MD It's was only a response based on your statement of 2m temps being a problem mid levels were workable verbatim we have bigger things to worry about first. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.