Amped Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Euro surface nearly identical to the GFS at 72hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 For reference, the 0z eps had about 13 or 25% of the members give us 2"+. 7 had 6" or more through at least a portion of the region. Far from majority but that's the benchmark for the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 On 2/5/2017 at 6:12 PM, Bob Chill said: For reference, the 0z eps had about 13 or 25% of the members give us 2"+. 7 had 6" or more through at least a portion of the region. Far from majority but that's the benchmark for the 12z run. Expand Definitely nothing to ignore. Not great, but not horrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Who said the Euro doesn't flip much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 1001 Low out into ocean east of Chincoteague by a couple hundred miles at 96...somebody with paid will have to fill in the dots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Lmao! FL to Jwersy from 12z yesterday to today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 On 2/5/2017 at 6:15 PM, BaltimoreWxGuy said: 1001 Low out into ocean east of Chincoteague by a couple hundred miles at 96...somebody with paid will have to fill in the dots. Expand Wxbell not out that far yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 How on Earth are we so cold without an arctic high... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Wxbell picked a perfect time for a sunday drive. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 On 2/5/2017 at 6:15 PM, BaltimoreWxGuy said: 1001 Low out into ocean east of Chincoteague by a couple hundred miles at 96...somebody with paid will have to fill in the dots. Expand You'd think this would be decent for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Day 4 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/fx/gen-fxctr.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=UTC&pg=web&ge=1024x768&mo=ecmwf&le=850&va=temp&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h96&cu=latest&overlay=yes&mo=ecmwf&le=sfc&va=slp&in=2&pl=ln&ft=h96&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 On 2/5/2017 at 6:15 PM, BTRWx said: Lmao! FL to Jwersy from 12z yesterday to today! Expand Just wait another 12 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 On 2/5/2017 at 6:17 PM, DCTeacherman said: You'd think this would be decent for us. Expand I'd lean favorably Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 On 2/5/2017 at 6:17 PM, DCTeacherman said: You'd think this would be decent for us. Expand Track wise but I have no idea about thermals. Probably iffy Im sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 On 2/5/2017 at 6:18 PM, BTRWx said: I'd lean favorably Expand Idk, pretty far se at 96. Precip amount may be challenged Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 On 2/5/2017 at 6:19 PM, BaltimoreWxGuy said: Track wise but I have no idea about thermals. Probably iffy Im sure. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 700mb rel humidity looks dry to me http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/fx/gen-fxctr.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=UTC&pg=web&ge=1024x768&mo=ecmwf&le=700&va=rhum&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h96&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=&le=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 On 2/5/2017 at 6:20 PM, BTRWx said: Expand Yeah but what we need to know is 78-90 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 On 2/5/2017 at 6:20 PM, BTRWx said: Expand You can zoom in on the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 On 2/5/2017 at 6:20 PM, mitchnick said: Idk, pretty far se at 96. Precip amount may be challenged Expand On 2/5/2017 at 6:22 PM, RidingTheModelWithMostSnow said: You can zoom in on the region Expand We need to know how the low gets there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 I'm just pleased it's not in Ohio. Baby steps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 At 90 it's rain in most the metro, mixing up north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 On 2/5/2017 at 6:23 PM, BristowWx said: I'm just pleased it's not in Ohio YET. Baby steps Expand Fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 850 rh looks paltry too, but it is past us. http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/fx/gen-fxctr.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=UTC&pg=web&ge=1024x768&mo=ecmwf&le=850&va=rhum&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h96&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=&le=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 On 2/5/2017 at 6:24 PM, Thanatos_I_Am said: At 90 it's rain in most the metro, mixing up north Expand 93? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 My post from Friday. Sage. Not completely convinced next week is a done deal yet. Separate that little chunk of energy coming down out west from the black hole over the ne, slow it down a hair, get it to dig a little and we might get the look of the ens members that pop a storm. Did the eps have any members show a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Not a good run. Precip shield is very small and temps lag too much. Strip NW of DC around .2 - .4 @ hr90 with temps in mid/upper 30's. Then some light stuff through 96. It's a crappy run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 On 2/5/2017 at 6:24 PM, Thanatos_I_Am said: At 90 it's rain in most the metro, mixing up north Expand At 96 hours it's over, so this won't be pretty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Swing and a miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 On 2/5/2017 at 6:25 PM, Bob Chill said: Not a good run. Precip shield is very small and temps lag too much. Strip NW of DC around .2 - .4 @ hr90 with temps in mid/upper 30's. Then some light stuff through 96. It's a crappy run. Expand Could easily see this being a weakling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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