40/70 Benchmark Posted November 7, 2017 Share Posted November 7, 2017 20 minutes ago, uncle W said: mei should update on Nov. 10th... https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/enso/mei/table.html Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 My biggest takeaway: Looking at the nearest 12 rankings (+6/-6) in this season, and allowing only for cases that showed both one-month and three-month drops in the MEI, eliminates all but six cases: 1960, 1985, 1995, 1996, 1998, and 2008. None of these cases are included in the comparison figure, perhaps illustrating how unusual the current situation is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 I'm hard at work, boys...damned gf slowed me down, but back to plugging away on the laptop now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm hard at work, boys...damned gf slowed me down, but back to plugging away on the laptop now. Get rid of her....just temporary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Get rid of her....just temporary. She had to work.....but I think concealing my glee was more difficult than composing the outlook. She saw right through that like a coating of March snow on a windshield under sunny skies- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 Euro seasonal totally front end loaded ,winter over mid Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 34 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Euro seasonal totally front end loaded ,winter over mid Feb Its probably killing off la nina more slowly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 45 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Euro seasonal totally front end loaded ,winter over mid Feb Tough job charging for data nowadays. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 7 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Tough job charging for data nowadays. lol. Jorge pays for it and distributes it free under his license Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Jorge pays for it and distributes it free under his license Yeah I saw it on twitter. Sweet. Cool that there's so much free stuff available nowdays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 would say Jan could be very snowy SNE and Feb March a strong gradient with NNE cashing in based on that model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 Did it weaken la Nina more slowly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 Looks like it has my +PNA Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 Steve, where is the link for that? I don't see it in westher.us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 4 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Steve, where is the link for that? I don't see it in westher.us. I'm peeking onto the German portion of their site now. I'm guessing some maps are left off the US version? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: I'm peeking onto the German portion of their site now. I'm guessing some maps are left off the US version? They actually look pretty similar...so idk. Maybe it's available via subscription. I guess if it's out there Steve-O will find it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 Earthlight, Dsnow and Miguel with a bang up job at NYmetrowx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 23 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Earthlight, Dsnow and Miguel with a bang up job at NYmetrowx Not sure I buy Albany getting 175 percent of normal snow. That would be a blockbuster year for all of NNE. Very doubtful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 36 minutes ago, LoveSN+ said: Not sure I buy Albany getting 175 percent of normal snow. That would be a blockbuster year for all of NNE. Very doubtful. I wouldn't be surprised Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Earthlight, Dsnow and Miguel with a bang up job at NYmetrowx I look forward to reading it after I release mine. I will not read the outlooks of the mets whom I respect the most until I have released for fear of biasing my analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 12 hours ago, LoveSN+ said: Not sure I buy Albany getting 175 percent of normal snow. That would be a blockbuster year for all of NNE. Very doubtful. 11 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: I wouldn't be surprised I saw the 175% up in NNE and just sort of shrugged. I get that it’s a blanket number, but we’ve talked about it before on the forum – with the large annual snowfall numbers and tighter variance up here, deviations that large are just not that practical. At 175% of average annual snowfall we’d be pushing 300” here in the valley, and the resorts would be nearing 600”. It’s certainly not “impossible” (Jay Peak recorded 581” in 2000-2001, presumably using their standard measuring methods), but using my data set it would be around 3 S.D. above the mean, which should represent less than 1% of seasons. It would no doubt be fun to experience 175% of average snowfall around here, that would simply obliterate 2007-2008 with respect to the top spot, but we’d basically have to go bell to bell sort of like 2000-2001. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 4 minutes ago, J.Spin said: I saw the 175% up in NNE and just sort of shrugged. I get that it’s a blanket number, but we’ve talked about it before on the forum – with the large annual snowfall numbers and tighter variance up here, deviations that large are just not that practical. At 175% of average annual snowfall we’d be pushing 300” here in the valley, and the resorts would be nearing 600”. It’s certainly not “impossible” (Jay Peak recorded 581” in 2000-2001, presumably using their standard measuring methods), but using my data set it would be around 3 S.D. above the mean, which should represent less than 1% of seasons. It would no doubt be fun to experience 175% of average snowfall around here, that would simply obliterate 2007-2008 with respect to the top spot, but we’d basically have to go bell to bell sort of like 2000-2001. I have little doubt being a N.Y. metro based forecast they spent little time on analyzing VT elevations but maybe not, it has happened before so it's not historical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I have little doubt being a N.Y. metro based forecast they spent little time on analyzing VT elevations but maybe not, it has happened before so it's not historical. In and up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: In and up? Looks like they think so, 70/71 55/56 66/67 68/69 00/01 07/08 ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Looks like they think so, 70/71 55/56 66/67 68/69 00/01 07/08 ish Oh boy, the NNE weenies are stirring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 4 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Oh boy, the NNE weenies are stirring. Actually the are skiing and early too. Still can't believe Wawa is opened today when I was raking in shorts Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 It’s a nice write up but they wer careless as heck 175% contour. Areas in that would have to exceed 400 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 7 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Actually the are skiing and early too. Still can't believe Wawa is opened today when I was raking in shorts Monday They were not spinning lifts today. That happens Sunday. I do think NNE will do well this year. Sunday River in March could be amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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