PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 26, 2017 Share Posted February 26, 2017 3 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: Has to be a microclimate in that region that makes for more favorable TOR conditions, no? I think that's been discussed around here before. Yeah it's not bad luck- Charles County is a climatologically favored spot, I believe due to the effects of the Potomac (red tagger can correct me if I'm wrong). But it definitely gets hit more often than other areas around here based on my observations over the years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 26, 2017 Share Posted February 26, 2017 6 hours ago, andyhb said: Large tornado from the Scranton/Wilkes-Barre area earlier (near Dupont, PA to be precise). Not too sure on damage yet. 6 hours ago, andyhb said: Large tornado from the Scranton/Wilkes-Barre area earlier (near Dupont, PA to be precise). Not too sure on damage yet. Crazy stuff for Feb.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 26, 2017 Share Posted February 26, 2017 Coming off a pretty active severe weather day yesterday, it's worth noting that our area has been placed in a SVR outlook already for Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 26, 2017 Share Posted February 26, 2017 8 hours ago, high risk said: Coming off a pretty active severe weather day yesterday, it's worth noting that our area has been placed in a SVR outlook already for Wednesday. Yup, just saw this as well... looks fun ETA: Just took a peek at the 18z NAM soundings for Wednesday afternoon into the evening... looks like we could be dealing with a tornado threat with 1km SRH over 200 m2s2 and decent curvature of the hodograph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 26, 2017 Share Posted February 26, 2017 75 yesterday, 44 today. Did a nice hike today at Tuckahoe. Was brisk. Nice greening on the forest floor with the recent warmth. Quite pretty along the river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 26, 2017 Share Posted February 26, 2017 35 minutes ago, yoda said: Yup, just saw this as well... looks fun ETA: Just took a peek at the 18z NAM soundings for Wednesday afternoon into the evening... looks like we could be dealing with a tornado threat with 1km SRH over 200 m2s2 and decent curvature of the hodograph Yeah now 76 is the forecast high here for Wednesday. Looked like mid 60s a couple days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 26, 2017 Share Posted February 26, 2017 Perfect outside right now. I like late winter days when the seasons are confused between longer days and Canadian cold. It's been a great day except that I finished the last of my Copper Fox whiskey from my trip to Old Rag in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 00z NAM soundings are showing a nasty afternoon from 18z Wednesday to 06z Thursday... potential is certainly there for tornadoes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 You know what, I will NOT be upset about having no real snow this year after moving from Louisiana if we get decent severe. Wednesday is looking really promising. Can't wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 Awesome storms yesterday. I was planning on heading down to OCMD to visit some friends for the night. I decided to have a little fun with the drive. I timed my departure with the line of storms. It was awesome. The shelf cloud followed me as far as Cambridge when I finally gained on it. It rolled through OC around 6pm (about a hour after i got there). I got some great views of the storm and saw lots of good lightning. Chilly and boring outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 21 minutes ago, yoda said: 00z NAM soundings are showing a nasty afternoon from 18z Wednesday to 06z Thursday... potential is certainly there for tornadoes NWS forecast for our area for now has lots of showery conditions around during the day. If that happens say goodbye to much severe threat. But we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 13 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: NWS forecast for our area for now has lots of showery conditions around during the day. If that happens say goodbye to much severe threat. But we shall see. I am not so sure that even a showery morning would say goodbye to severe... with the strength of the system and mid level trough... decent ML LRs... and pretty strong SWrly flow aloft, a squall line is almost a given Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 25 degrees this morning. Good to get at least one winter morning this month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 7 hours ago, Kmlwx said: NWS forecast for our area for now has lots of showery conditions around during the day. If that happens say goodbye to much severe threat. But we shall see. Given the strong LLJ ahead of the trough axis, stout H5 forcing and corresponding height falls for the area, the squall should remain in tact even with the loss of peak diurnal heating. Could be a nocturnal wind event given the timing of the squall. Another interesting setup for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 32 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Given the strong LLJ ahead of the trough axis, stout H5 forcing and corresponding height falls for the area, the squall should remain in tact even with the loss of peak diurnal heating. Could be a nocturnal wind event given the timing of the squall. Another interesting setup for sure. Hope you're right! And I hope this bodes well for a decent severe season after such a yawner of a winter. SREF maps look pretty good already over on the SPC site for Wednesday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 LWX disco says we could see some 80s on Wednesday - wow. Could be a wild afternoon if things set up right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 too cold. i was adjusting to early spring temps. bring them back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 Jeezus, looked at my point and click and now see almost 80F on Wed. WTF? Looks like I might be mowing this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 I'm getting a tingly feeling for Wednesday. Could be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: I'm getting a tingly feeling for Wednesday. Could be interesting. Two bullish events in a row for you? What's wrong with you?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 Think its about time for someone to start the severe wx thread, since we've already had two decent events and are seeking a third. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 1 minute ago, Kmlwx said: Two bullish events in a row for you? What's wrong with you?! I like large scale, dynamic systems. This looks to be one of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 Wednesday call: Gust to 22 mph five minutes before a broken line of storms produces 0.08" in Burke, with just enough thunder to give my dog fits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 Will I beat my recorded OBS of zero drops from Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 well, hello! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 46 minutes ago, high risk said: well, hello! Hard now to get excited when you get the low to pass just to your north. Wish I could see more, but work has now blocked many of the model sites as suggested porn because of the word "models". Been a 2 week fight with IT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Hard now to get excited when you get the low to pass just to your north. Wish I could see more, but work has now blocked many of the model sites as suggested porn because of the word "models". Been a 2 week fight with IT. Don't know how much trouble you'd get in, but as a student I'm a professional at getting to websites blocked by the IT department. If you are using chrome, try downloading a VPN off the webstore. If the webstore is blocked, there are other "extreme" options. Good luck in your fight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Don't know how much trouble you'd get in, but as a student I'm a professional at getting to websites blocked by the IT department. If you are using chrome, try downloading a VPN off the webstore. If the webstore is blocked, there are other "extreme" options. Good luck in your fight. I'd be fired in 20 seconds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: I'd be fired in 20 seconds. Tried the good old' https:// trick? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 27, 2017 Share Posted February 27, 2017 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Tried the good old' https:// trick? Yes and that didn't work. That's enough sidebar ITT...back to this event. There's timing issues for WED, but but it's a potent system slamming into anomalous warmth so there's potential. I'm in on this event until otherwise stated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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