stormtracker Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 7 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Easy D! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 4 minutes ago, MD Mad Man said: New thread about next week's threat? Too soon? Can't tell if serious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Has the para been right at ALL this winter? Have any of them when they have forecasted snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Has the para been right at ALL this winter? And it's not even a current run. It's the 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: And it's not even a current run. It's the 6z But the 12z could be better!!!!! Buckle up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Seems the Euro weeklies have been pointless this season. Am I missing something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 1 minute ago, mattie g said: Seems the Euro weeklies have been pointless this season. Am I missing something? Snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
motsco Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 today , tomorrow, look to be the last remaining long term 32- days do you think there's a substantial amount of temperature to support a snow storm in the next 30 days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Driving around near the Pentagon, I saw not only forsythia and snowdrops, but pink buds on a couple of trees. And daffodil shoots poking out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 sun angle season is here boys and girls , Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 she's hot the same way toast is hot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Mitch has firmly taken control of the pissing-in-cornflakes machine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 15 hours ago, mattie g said: I think you mixed up my daughter with yours. Oh good, I'm glad I am not alone. My therapist (yes, I see one, I encourage all people to see one, its the best ever) suggested a calendar type thing where we list the things she needs to do daily. Like, brush her teeth 2x a day, clean up her toys, put her dirty clothes away, go to bed on time (a new battle we are dealing with). Then give her stickers for each task she completes without issue. After so many days of completing all tasks, she gets a reward. Whether its an extra hour on her ipad, or a new toy, or an extra cookie for dessert. Just something to get her to realize what the things we ask her to do have rewarding outcomes. Going to give it a shot and see how it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 16 minutes ago, mappy said: Oh good, I'm glad I am not alone. My therapist (yes, I see one, I encourage all people to see one, its the best ever) suggested a calendar type thing where we list the things she needs to do daily. Like, brush her teeth 2x a day, clean up her toys, put her dirty clothes away, go to bed on time (a new battle we are dealing with). Then give her stickers for each task she completes without issue. After so many days of completing all tasks, she gets a reward. Whether its an extra hour on her ipad, or a new toy, or an extra cookie for dessert. Just something to get her to realize what the things we ask her to do have rewarding outcomes. Going to give it a shot and see how it goes. We have friends who have gone with the calendar/responsibility/reward thing, and it's seemed to work for many of them. Others have said that their kids scoff at the notion out of pure spite. We have little things that B's responsible for. We don't load her up with too much, but we try to find things that are reasonable requests that she can have some pride in. It's working alright, though there's no doubt she's a little sh*t at times. But she's just so sweet and cute the rest of the time that it's hard to be upset with her for too long! Honestly, when it all comes down to it, I think kids that age are going to be defiant pain in the ass at times. We just have to deal with it! Good luck on the new approach with K! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 19 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Had to add him to the watch list. I have banned myself from posting in the long range thread. There is nothing positive for me to add. I generally never have anything useful at all to add, so welcome to my world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 1 minute ago, mattie g said: We have friends who have gone with the calendar/responsibility/reward thing, and it's seemed to work for many of them. Others have said that their kids scoff at the notion out of pure spite. We have little things that B's responsible for. We don't load her up with too much, but we try to find things that are reasonable requests that she can have some pride in. It's working alright, though there's no doubt she's a little sh*t at times. But she's just so sweet and cute the rest of the time that it's hard to be upset with her for too long! Honestly, when it all comes down to it, I think kids that age are going to be defiant pain in the ass at times. We just have to deal with it! Good luck on the new approach with K! Thanks! She loves stickers, so I mean, what could go wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 14 minutes ago, mappy said: Thanks! She loves stickers, so I mean, what could go wrong? Nothing at all...as long as she doesn't love Sharpies, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Just now, mattie g said: Nothing at all...as long as she doesn't love Sharpies, too. I say this, and knock on every piece of wood I can find, she has never ever colored, drawn, painted, etc, on anything she shouldn't. Other than herself, and her bed sheets (one time). I've never had to clean stuff of the walls, or table and all that. I think i put the fear of god into her early on that when she colors/paints, it stays on the paper and playmat we give her. Nothing more. I've never walked in the bathroom to find her unrolling a thing of TP, or emptying trash cans, or playing in cabinets and all that. Other than a few instances of her dumping out every single toy she possible could onto her bedroom floor... she's been a really easy going kid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 I have two tables that got ink on them cause my kids decided to color with sharpies instead of their markers....that dont' stain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Seems that BOX is a bit looser with how they verify blizzards than our understanding down here: PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 800 PM EST THU FEB 09 2017 ...SUMMARY OF BLIZZARD ON FEBRUARY 9 2017... NOTE...NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WERE STILL OCCURRING ON PARTS OF CAPE COD AND NANTUCKET AT THIS TIME. IF ANYTHING NEEDS ADJUSTING IN THIS REPORT IT WILL BE ISSUED FRIDAY MORNING. A BLIZZARD OCCURRED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FROM THE LATE MORNING THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON ON FEBRUARY 9TH 2017. THE DEFINITION OF A BLIZZARD IS THAT FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW REDUCES VISIBILITY TO BELOW 1/4 MILE ALONG WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OR WINDS THAT FREQUENTLY GUST TO 35 MPH OR MORE...AND THAT THESE ARE THE PREDOMINANT REPORTED CONDITIONS FOR 3 CONSECUTIVE HOURS. WHEN REVIEWING WHETHER A PARTICULAR OBSERVATION LOCATION HAD BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...WE COUNTED VISIBILITIES EQUAL TO 1/4 MILE SINCE THAT IS QUITE LOW FOR AN AUTOMATED VISIBILITY SENSOR TO DETECT. AT BOSTON MA...BLIZZARD CRITERIA WERE MET FOR 4 HOURS AND 34 MINUTES...FROM 1220 PM TO 454 PM. 09 16:54 N 16 G 28 0.25 Heavy Snow Freezing Fog VV007 18 16 92% 3 NA 29.51 999.2 0.05 09 15:54 N 21 G 30 0.06 Heavy Snow Freezing Fog and Breezy VV006 19 17 92% 3 NA 29.48 998.2 0.06 0.20 09 14:54 N 24 G 38 0.06 Heavy Snow Freezing Fog and Breezy VV003 20 18 92% 3 NA 29.46 997.3 0.10 09 13:54 N 23 G 37 0.06 Heavy Snow Freezing Fog and Breezy VV004 21 19 92% 5 NA 29.47 997.8 0.04 09 12:54 N 28 G 35 0.50 Snow Freezing Fog and Windy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 I'm adding this in banter because so many people seem to want to lean pessimistic for the period. The mjo rages into 8 next week while teleconnections have the best look we've seen all winter. Ensembles don't look the most favorable right now, but they have a week to sort it all out. The long-range teleconnections all back off at the end of the month, but they've been so inconsistent at range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 17 minutes ago, mappy said: I say this, and knock on every piece of wood I can find, she has never ever colored, drawn, painted, etc, on anything she shouldn't. Other than herself, and her bed sheets (one time). I've never had to clean stuff of the walls, or table and all that. I think i put the fear of god into her early on that when she colors/paints, it stays on the paper and playmat we give her. Nothing more. I've never walked in the bathroom to find her unrolling a thing of TP, or emptying trash cans, or playing in cabinets and all that. Other than a few instances of her dumping out every single toy she possible could onto her bedroom floor... she's been a really easy going kid You're lucky! B hasn't caused any permanent damage, but she does like to wreck house. Loves to dump out her toys and animals and "rearrange" them, has a tendency to spill when she's playing with water or paint, and had a blast making "spider webs" out of thread around Halloween. Other than one time when she was about 2, she's been good about not coloring on things she shouldn't - she knows better. But other than frustration at having to clean stuff up, it's not a huge deal. She's also the messiest eater in the history of the world. Has been since the day she started eating solid food. Dog loves it, though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Hopefully this doesn't come across as anything but sour grapes, but... 7 minutes ago, gymengineer said: Seems that BOX is a bit looser with how they verify blizzards than our understanding down here: PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 800 PM EST THU FEB 09 2017 ...SUMMARY OF BLIZZARD ON FEBRUARY 9 2017... NOTE...NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WERE STILL OCCURRING ON PARTS OF CAPE COD AND NANTUCKET AT THIS TIME. IF ANYTHING NEEDS ADJUSTING IN THIS REPORT IT WILL BE ISSUED FRIDAY MORNING. A BLIZZARD OCCURRED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FROM THE LATE MORNING THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON ON FEBRUARY 9TH 2017. THE DEFINITION OF A BLIZZARD IS THAT FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW REDUCES VISIBILITY TO BELOW 1/4 MILE ALONG WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OR WINDS THAT FREQUENTLY GUST TO 35 MPH OR MORE...AND THAT THESE ARE THE PREDOMINANT REPORTED CONDITIONS FOR 3 CONSECUTIVE HOURS. WHEN REVIEWING WHETHER A PARTICULAR OBSERVATION LOCATION HAD BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...WE COUNTED VISIBILITIES EQUAL TO 1/4 MILE SINCE THAT IS QUITE LOW FOR AN AUTOMATED VISIBILITY SENSOR TO DETECT. AT BOSTON MA...BLIZZARD CRITERIA WERE MET FOR 4 HOURS AND 34 MINUTES...FROM 1220 PM TO 454 PM. 09 16:54 N 16 G 28 0.25 Heavy Snow Freezing Fog VV007 18 16 92% 3 NA 29.51 999.2 0.05 09 15:54 N 21 G 30 0.06 Heavy Snow Freezing Fog and Breezy VV006 19 17 92% 3 NA 29.48 998.2 0.06 0.20 09 14:54 N 24 G 38 0.06 Heavy Snow Freezing Fog and Breezy VV003 20 18 92% 3 NA 29.46 997.3 0.10 09 13:54 N 23 G 37 0.06 Heavy Snow Freezing Fog and Breezy VV004 21 19 92% 5 NA 29.47 997.8 0.04 09 12:54 N 28 G 35 0.50 Snow Freezing Fog and Windy Blizzard, schmizzard. They got smoked and we got light rain and a cold, dry wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: ? Am I missing something? They had 35+ gusts three straight hours from what I can see. BlizzardGate17 Region's going to bust them a new one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 19 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: ? Am I missing something? They had 35+ gusts three straight hours from what I can see. Mainly, using 0.25 mile visibility as "less than quarter mile" in some of the other sites they verified the blizzard at. As for Boston, the 30 mph gust observation at 3:54 pm would have given people (like the CWG) pause in matching the "frequent gusts" and "predominant condition" part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 10, 2017 Author Share Posted February 10, 2017 15 hours ago, stormtracker said: Easy D! Winter '16 - '17: Sucks an Easy D™ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 22 minutes ago, mattie g said: Hopefully this doesn't come across as anything but sour grapes, but... Blizzard, schmizzard. They got smoked and we got light rain and a cold, dry wind. LOL, I knew it would come across like that. I'm actually never upset at Boston getting snow (went to college there), only NYC Edited: The only reason I brought it up in the first place was because there was a discussion *in our region* after 2/5-6/10 about how LWX was being loose with their blizzard verification. We didn't think the observations at the sites they verified matched the definition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 23 minutes ago, mattie g said: You're lucky! B hasn't caused any permanent damage, but she does like to wreck house. Loves to dump out her toys and animals and "rearrange" them, has a tendency to spill when she's playing with water or paint, and had a blast making "spider webs" out of thread around Halloween. Other than one time when she was about 2, she's been good about not coloring on things she shouldn't - she knows better. But other than frustration at having to clean stuff up, it's not a huge deal. She's also the messiest eater in the history of the world. Has been since the day she started eating solid food. Dog loves it, though! I cannot get K to eat meat. She won't even look at it. Even mcdonalds nuggets, she won't touch. weirdest kid ever. 22 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: ? Am I missing something? They had 35+ gusts three straight hours from what I can see. isn't it gusts and visibility? i honestly don't know.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 34 minutes ago, kurtstack said: ensembles and ops are all pretty dry in the 10 day period. No real signals for a storm at all. Anybody predicting any snow at this point for next week is really out on a limb, a dead and rotted limb holding on by a thread. We suck? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 15 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: Has the para been right at ALL this winter? My maps were moved to banter because of why exactly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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