CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 In addition to what was mentioned re squalls....you can also look for low level wind maxes at 925 and 850. Sometimes you get subtle conv along the nose of these wind maxes to help with lift...but that looks to be missing as well. You want a good s/w with height falls to move in...not some linear flow with lack of a good lifting mechanism. By definition SHSN are convective so one or two could be heavy, but when I think of a snow squall pattern..Wed isn't exactly ideal to me. One plus is good RH with the steep low level lapse rates..we at least have that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Feb '78 (if we mean 5-7th that year/month/days) zygote mechanics were only impart a clipper. The clipper was the trigger, so to speak. What actually took place is that the western end of a SPV fragment over southern Canada was hanging around ...then, the interloping weak clipper rippled by to the south and gave it a tug (so to speak) and down it came. This feature entirely subsumed the clipper vestige and it lost any identity when that happened, altogether. Moreover, there was weak wave on an old boundary sitting out over the lower Gulf and it get foisted up and really helped to infuse the whole structure with a deep moisture source. Heh, in a metaphoric sense, ... the southern Canada SPV fragment and the wave off the Carolina's would have never met if it wasn't for that Match.com weak rippling impulse in between. But, it wasn't clipper? not per se no way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: lol says the dude with 200K posts, lol ya killin me here Potshot Ha, there is really no need to inflate his post count. The reality is impressive enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: lol says the dude with 200K posts, lol ya killin me here Potshot See below. I also run out of space for attachments...might have to shake down eek or dendrite. Or donate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Just now, JC-CT said: Ha, there is really no need to inflate his post count. The reality is impressive enough. lol figured he would hit 200k by next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: See below. I also run out of space for attachments...might have to shake down eek or dendrite. Or donate. I donated and still had to delete attachments and that sucks because you can only delete one at a time but I cleared out a crap load, we kid bro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Updated BOX map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Did James make that map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajisai Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Wow I was expecting 1-2 based on the talk here in the thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 minute ago, 8611Blizz said: Did James make that map? No because he's outside the darkest blue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Just now, MJOatleast7 said: No because he's outside the darkest blue lol beat me to it. It does look a lot like his map...other than the Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Just now, JC-CT said: lol beat me to it. It does look a lot like his map...other than the Cape Yeah I didn't pay much attention to the cape area but damn that does have his finger prints on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 I think I'd probably shave about 1-2" off that map, but there's def going to be spots that see over 4" in the favored bands and IVT....the IVT is really the wildcard. It isn't just a naked IVT by itself...it occurs on the heels of the synoptic snow, so sometimes they can be more widespread in their wealth in that setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 thats a good map by BOX though id shave a bit on the cape and extend the 4-6 into NCT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2017 Author Share Posted January 30, 2017 5 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Snow advisories should be up with PM afd. And some small area will be upgraded to WSW after the snow is well underway. You can already envision it. WSW will go up after the snow has started tomorrow in the zone that sees the 6" amounts..wherever that may be CTZ002>004-MAZ002>005-008>013-017-026-RIZ001>004-310600- /O.NEW.KBOX.WW.Y.0006.170131T1600Z-170201T0900Z/ HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA- WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA- EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA- NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI- SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION... VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD... ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...CHESTERFIELD... BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD... WORCESTER...FOXBOROUGH...NORWOOD...TAUNTON...AYER...FOSTER... SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...COVENTRY...WEST GREENWICH... EAST GREENWICH...WARWICK...WEST WARWICK 341 PM EST MON JAN 30 2017 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY. * LOCATIONS...MOST OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE SOUTH COAST. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES. * TIMING...BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL OCCURRING AROUND THE EVENING COMMUTE. SNOW WILL CONTINUE IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Or the rgem is right and it is meh city for all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 31 minutes ago, dryslot said: These clippers more times then not end up developing a tad to late for most of us but there have been several that have hammered DE Maine and the Maritime's in the past Beat me to it. Recall a number dropping 2-3" here, 6-8" EPO, more in NB/NS. Can pop earlier on occasion - my all time favorite clipper will turn 50 this coming St. Pattie's Day. Forecast an inch or two, got 6" in 5 hours that morning, with strong winds, drifting, and temps sliding from 13 down to 8 during the storm, an obscenely low temp for mid-March snow in NNJ. Next day's high of 20 was NYC's latest in season to top out at 20 or colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Those box 4-6 amounts are really 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Blizz called this one a while back saying it could over produce, props to him! I'll take 4" from an Alberta Clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Those box 4-6 amounts are really 4 Yup! The 6" range is falls more into the "Potential For Up To..." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 lol, doesnt a range always include the "potential up to". thats why its a range right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 That first BOX map is a bit overdone I still like my widespread 1-2" call. Maybe if ratios are sick we can pull 3" or 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: lol, doesnt a range always include the "potential up to". thats why its a range right? We can all deliberate and discuss these NWS likely, min, max, range, point maps until the cows come home...bottom line is they are still confusing as hell. Proceed with caution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 only uber weenies think a 4-6" range means the potential is there for 12". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: We can all deliberate and discuss these NWS likely, min, max, range, point maps until the cows come home...bottom line is they are still confusing as hell. Proceed with caution. Agreed. How can Most Likely be 4" AND 4-6" Dumb. Bring back the old maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: only uber weenies think a 4-6" range means the potential is there for 12". Start high and adjust higher as needed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: only uber weenies think a 4-6" range means the potential is there for 12". If everything breaks right there is the potential for 20" mostly nearly Harwich. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Agreed. How can Most Likely be 4" AND 4-6" Dumb. Bring back the old maps I always read a range as the lower amount is most likely and the highest amount is max potential. Not sure what is confusing about it tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I always read a range as the lower amount is most likely and the highest amount is max potential. Not sure what is confusing about it tbh. Then why is there a range of 4-6 but the max map shows 7" amounts? wouldnt the max be 6" then? See what im sayin.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: Then why is there a range of 4-6 but the max map shows 7" amounts? wouldnt the max be 6" then? See what im sayin.. whats an inch amongst friends? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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