40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Euro is 1-2"...mainly n of the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 What's the duration of the clipper? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Congrats ACY http://www.atlanticcitywebcam.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Snowy next 2 weeks or so. Tomorrow's solid event and SuperBowl Sunday night / Monday for starters. Should be extended period of nice snowcover and then we'll see what happens after the 15th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Snowy next 2 weeks or so. Tomorrow's solid event and SuperBowl Sunday night / Monday for starters. Should be extended period of nice snowcover and then we'll see what happens after the 15th Morch?? Seriously, though looking forward to this extended period of snow cover. Brown is boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: then we'll see what happens after the 15th oh how we pray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 4 minutes ago, metagraphica said: Morch?? Seriously, though looking forward to this extended period of snow cover. Brown is boring. Well there's conflicting signals on guidance. Probably Iean towards normal temps and active pattern continuing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Split thread off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 SB Sunday night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: SB Sunday night? Not a bad look this far out. Looks a bit slower than the 06z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 I'm impressed how consistent the gfs has had the feb 6th storm. It's track or qpf hasn't drastically change much over the past serveral cycles. It looked like a 4-8 inch event for a while now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Congrats ACY http://www.atlanticcitywebcam.com/ Saw 2.2" and still snowing nicely from a Cape May peep on the Philly subforum a couple hours ago. My #2 granddaughter turned 9 yesterday and loves snow - would've made a nice present. However, they're 2 counties north of the cape and too far inland, probably got weenie flakes at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 30, 2017 Author Share Posted January 30, 2017 It's fascinating ...albeit tedious to note, that the the Euro of all model types is the one that fails much amplitude in the east in the late middle range/ext period - at least less than the GFS operational. Usually the opposite is true. heh. In any event... the culprit dynamics appears to be a southern stream system that gets forced back into the flow as a opening close low of the west coast. It comes in through southern California and through the SW (similar actually to the even that turned into a kitchen sink Noreaster a little while back), then... the million dollar question. The GFS and a few of it's ensemble members like the idea of interacting Canadian jet energy ... offering a partial phase. NCEP notes this too - This was/is the signal I mentioned when this thread started... It's actually Fe 5 - 7 but... we could argue that another is out there in the very nebular vision of D11-14 and so forth. Anyway, for me a lot of this will come down to two keys: one, the ambient heights and wind velocities int he deep south, prior to the trough ejection in the west, need to remain closer to nominal relative to normal or that southern stream component of all that will have trouble maintaining a coherent signature/mechanical presence as it whisks east across the south; two, the ejection out of the Pacific needs to be of sufficient strength, both to over come said limitations from the deep south; but for phasing interests a stronger southern wave can "entice" the N-stream to dig more and ...that get's into a subsume scenario. The 00z GFS shows more of the latter in both regards. The Euro...heh, no so much. But, there's time to correct either way. With the PNA rising so well in all agencies that monitor the thing .. combined with antecedent -EPO to load cold... the table is set for larger synoptic -scaled events. So I'm actually less inclined to lean toward a blase' Euro notion of damping out the southern stream all but totally...and just bringing in a strong N-stream cold front. Not impossible...no, but there is growing support for more. Damn heights in the deep south though - they can persist either way and smear things up . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 I was informed by friends of ours that is a school teacher that the last time the Pats won the SB we had a decent storm and she had no school on Monday up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 16 minutes ago, dryslot said: I was informed by friends of ours that is a school teacher that the last time the Pats won the SB we had a decent storm and she had no school on Monday up here. Mega-SWFE 2K15. Loved that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 5 minutes ago, Hoth said: Mega-SWFE 2K15. Loved that storm. Maybe a good Oman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Maybe a good Oman Nah. Theyre part of the travel ban too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 I'll take the GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 24 minutes ago, dendrite said: Nah. Theyre part of the travel ban too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'll take the GEFS. Showing some decent possibilities??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Showing some decent possibilities??? They were pretty active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 That post SB system has some legs. It's been showing up on guidance across multiple models now for a few days. Track has been pretty consistent all things considered for the lead time. I'd be shocked if it didn't pan out. Sure to be some waffling between now and then but its got my attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 SNE Weenies aren't going to like me but regarding the post SB storm I think ptype issues will be the story for much of SNE ex the far interior of the region. Deep shortwave over the Central CONUS, -PNA + NAO, with poor high position. We've seen this before....A better antecedent airmass is the only thing keeping this slightly interesting for most of SNE right now imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 6 minutes ago, jbenedet said: SNE Weenies aren't going to like me but regarding the post SB storm I think ptype issues will be the story for much of SNE ex the far interior of the region. Deep shortwave over the Central CONUS, -PNA + NAO, with poor high position. We've seen this before....A better antecedent airmass is the only thing keeping this slightly interesting for most of SNE right now imo. -PNA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 EC not impressed with SB system. D7 applies i know but gfs has been consistent with it but it will be another 48-72hrs to know if it was consistenly....wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: EC not impressed with SB system. D7 applies i know but gfs has been consistent with it but it will be another 48-72hrs to know if it was consistenly....wrong. Cold, cold, cold, whiff, cutter. 98% chance of verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 I'd rather have the euro a bit right than left at this juncture. It's right where we want it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Well the pattern looks ok for snow. If we don't have anything to show for it in 2 weeks I'd say pack it in. Of course that's what we said in 1960.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 minute ago, weathafella said: I'd say pack it in. Of course that's what she said... well played Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 the Euro actually looks like a prolonged icing event in lala range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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