OceanStWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS was big CAD too. Actually had a strong cold tuck for eastern areas too. Our 2 m temps from the GFS definitely show the cold tuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: Our 2 m temps from the GFS definitely show the cold tuck. The CAD is really deep up in your CWA. That's a good amount of snow on the front...or at least prolonged snow. Not particularly heavy this run but that's a trend that has started to show the last couple cycles. The more strung out look is returning. That's probably advisory snow for a good chunk of SNE as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: The CAD is really deep up in your CWA. That's a good amount of snow on the front...or at least prolonged snow. Not particularly heavy this run but that's a trend that has started to show the last couple cycles. The more strung out look is returning. That's probably advisory snow for a good chunk of SNE as well. It's weird, the GFS and NAM are night and day different on the CAD lately. The GFS always seems to have a better 2 m temp depiction in GFE, when it always used to be the opposite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Good time for the long lost weenie tag... Sure.....why not.....garbage Winter.......again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: It's weird, the GFS and NAM are night and day different on the CAD lately. The GFS always seems to have a better 2 m temp depiction in GFE, when it always used to be the opposite. They did something to the GFS 2m temps a couple of years ago. It goes wild with rad cooling sometimes and bottoms the valleys out like the moon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, ice1972 said: Sure.....why not.....garbage Winter.......again Yes ok we get it man. Add a little something to the discussion or banter your emotions away in the...banter thread. thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 4 minutes ago, ice1972 said: Sure.....why not.....garbage Winter.......again Hot diggity dog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 16 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: nice improvement for that follow up late week/next wknd. thought the faux cutoff drift to bermuda looked suspicious. still need the west ridge to flex more obv but theres enuff energy in the flow to spark something. Yes. I'm definitely interested in that one... low probability I'm sure... but it looks like the cold would be in place. clips Nantucket on this run. We watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2017 Author Share Posted February 5, 2017 There's actually more southern stream vorticity dynamics on this version too. I mean any more dpva and we got a bit more than just a hydrostatic inflection along a CAD boundary to deal with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 They should make a device when you have had to many it locks your keyboard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 CMC looks still fairly strong with the primary... and also doesn't have the follow up wave next Thursday like the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 I wonder if that triple point idea might be coming back into play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2017 Author Share Posted February 5, 2017 8 minutes ago, Hazey said: I wonder if that triple point idea might be coming back into play. It really never should have left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 CAD signal is just a little bit too weak back down this way but definitely still needs to be watched. If those sfc temps stay another 3-4F cooler we could see some decent icing across interior and SW CT. Seems like though a more easterly component instead of a more northerly component is just enough to transport a marine influence from off the Atlantic. The good cold is more to the north as opposed to northeast. Unless we see some big changes with a few features we may get "lucky" (I want an ice storm) and be just a couple degrees too warm for any big icing issues here in CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Nice 6z gfs. Some snow, wedge, then follow up snowstorm. Hopefully not fantasy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Nice 6z gfs. Some snow, wedge, then follow up snowstorm. Hopefully not fantasy.You would think inside 120hrs would add some weight to the solution. Nice to see that energy spawn something more robust. Perhaps this would help rinse the bitter taste from weenies mouths if it comes to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Nice 6z gfs. Some snow, wedge, then follow up snowstorm. Hopefully not fantasy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Euro now has a nice hit for the wave on Thursday..might be low end warning stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euro now has a nice hit for the wave on Thursday..might be low end warning stuff. It wasn't verbatim. Gfs would be. Anyways might have legs as ensembles all have it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: It wasn't verbatim. Gfs would be. Anyways might have legs as ensembles all have it too. I thought it looked pretty good with that trof sharpening up like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Hopefully that follow up waves pans out and brings some snow down south. Looked good on the GFS but still has some work to do on the EURO (though does get enough forcing inland to get 0.1" QPF back to BOS-TOL-HFD). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Pure fantasy at Day 10 but this is the type of Alberta Clipper we haven't seen in a long time. Whatever happened to these like high end Advisory clippers...its been a while it seems for a decent system to move through an all snow column everywhere. The type that leave a swath of like 3-6/4-8" from like Detroit to the New England Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 yup, follow up wave is there on 6z (pats himself on back). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 I started a thread for Tuesday's mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 31 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Pure fantasy at Day 10 but this is the type of Alberta Clipper we haven't seen in a long time. Whatever happened to these like high end Advisory clippers...its been a while it seems for a decent system to move through an all snow column everywhere. The type that leave a swath of like 3-6/4-8" from like Detroit to the New England Coast. Can we get that to the DelMarVa? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 We probably have room for a couple of chances before it gets a little more hostile in the 11-15 day. That pna spike will help. Of course nothing is guaranteed this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Gefs looking alot better for Thursday some members are a pretty big event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We probably have room for a couple of chances before it gets a little more hostile in the 11-15 day. That pna spike will help. Of course nothing is guaranteed this far out. PNA spike coinciding with the Day 4-5 potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 I'd lock up the 6z GFS.... pretty cold for event 1 and a snowstorm for event 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: PNA spike coinciding with the Day 4-5 potential? Yes, but that is brief and transient so I have some reserves with that follow up event. Not sure how far west it can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.