Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 5 minutes ago, CT Rain said: One day you'll understand the difference between posting about what a model shows in a ... wait for it ... model mayhem thread... and what is actually forecast or expected. What about when a met tweets a torch is likely next week and shows a model image 6 days out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 6 minutes ago, eyewall said: Looks like crap here. 1-3 front ender followed by rain essentially. The end result will probably be the same for most people... whatever wintry precip falls... it will probably all be a distant memory shortly after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 What a CONUS inferno on the euro at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What a CONUS inferno on the euro at the end. No kidding. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: No kidding. Ugh. Probably overdone, but impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 A plastering slop fest is still better than a cutter to Detroit but that's just me. As a Weather junkie I find the front end loaders fun because they get me plenty of exercise and then I can have an IPA and go walk around with the dog in the misty snowy landscape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 yea but with that ridge out west, wud be short lived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 Fire up the 2017-2018 thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What about when a met tweets a torch is likely next week and shows a model image 6 days out? LOL @ you thinking that's a forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 2, 2017 Author Share Posted February 2, 2017 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What a CONUS inferno on the euro at the end. interesting you mentioned... I posted tongue-in-cheek about the quasi-sonoran release look the Euro had on yesterday's 12z run. It actually carried that on the 00z, now this run... although, the magnitude of the 850 md warm layer is attenuated perhaps a little - a trend I suspect continues. It's probably a model lark ..obviously... but, sufficed it is to say, if that panned out ...that's your first day of spring folks. Yes it could snow after that of course - but it would be no different than the first cool shot across the bow in August - but the first warm shot across the bow going the other direction... Anyway, the PNA may correct that if not probably so - See ...there's reality autumn and spring every year; and then there is the Julian calendar and the Meteorological ones... People just don't like to admit to the former (usually) when it's patently obvious that seasons begin to modulate when they do. interesting.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: yea but with that ridge out west, wud be short lived. A lot of guidance is showing a developing western ridge in that time frame, so we may have a favorable period coming up in mid-month and perhaps beyond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What about when a met tweets a torch is likely next week and shows a model image 6 days out? Aged well. Models still have that today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 8 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: LOL @ you thinking that's a forecast. He does the job...getting weenies to be fred up and scared. I do admit..it's fun trolling them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 11 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: LOL @ you thinking that's a forecast. That was one of several. Then he blogged about it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: That was one of several. Then he blogged about it lol http://www.nbcconnecticut.com/weather/stories/Stormy-Week-Ahead-412452473.html relevant paragraph after the lede was about snow/ice threat. The main storm is still likely to cut to our west bringing in warmth on Wednesday with a period of rain. Temperatures in the 50s would be possible - especially away from the CT River Valley north of Hartford that tends to see cold air get trapped between the hills west and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He does the job...getting weenies to be fred up and scared. I do admit..it's fun trolling them. And exactly. If models shows temperatures 30F below average 7 days from now it would be posted about 10,000,000 times. +30F and barely gets a mention and people just attack you for trolling and being a heat miser. People take this stuff way too seriously - weather is what it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: And exactly. If models shows temperatures 30F below average 7 days from now it would be posted about 10,000,000 times. +30F and barely gets a mention and people just attack you for trolling and being a heat miser. People take this stuff way too seriously - weather is what it is. The weenies are terrible on social media. With all the crap they give...eff 'em. Let their hopes be dashed. In a sick way..the meltdowns are funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 2, 2017 Author Share Posted February 2, 2017 besides, that canadia thickness tapestry is deep and rich in cold...man... Hey, first it gets warm ...then it gets cold, then ...BOOM! we almost want a warm surge so that when that cold gets tapped by +PNA you get a couple of correction events that you write about - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 Anyways, my guess is the op gone wild with that...at least for us. Even if there is a relaxation, it looks to be short as ridge rebuilds out west. For once I would like something to give 4-6" and dryslot rather than go to 60 with parakeets landing on my arm...but such is this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Anyways, my guess is the op gone wild with that...at least for us. Even if there is a relaxation, it looks to be short as ridge rebuilds out west. For once I would like something to give 4-6" and dryslot rather than go to 60 with parakeets landing on my arm...but such is this winter. We need to squeeze a triple point below SNE. We weren't able to do that in the 12/17 event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 2, 2017 Author Share Posted February 2, 2017 Yeah ... I just read that blog entry and I don't see anything amiss or biased or agenda owning of any sort with that. Perhaps (as other's have noted) there is a content displeasure ...and that sort of brings the crack pots out as though, because he (Ryan or whomever) said x-y-z, and they don't like x-y-z, it's discussion fault, and the author most be admonished. It really at times more than merely seems to be mentalities that are (fercockta nut bag+pettiness)/2 sometimes ... probably because it really is. It's not just here and about the weather. regardless.. . society offers sites for special interests regardless of WHY the contributors are interested. That's the problem. Open to the public means openly matriculating just about anything and any one; particularly because when this or any other Internet site owners decided to go down the advertising route, those sites are about profit. They are not about to cut into their business/profit potential, by screening out contribution when they make money on mouse clicks. duh. Sorry for the digress... but it's part in parcel why Eastern was better prior to the 'scandal' ... and there's a whole slew of evidences to support that for those more into science and wonder, and less shinanegans. Anyway, good discussion Ryan. Solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 25 minutes ago, CT Rain said: And exactly. If models shows temperatures 30F below average 7 days from now it would be posted about 10,000,000 times. +30F and barely gets a mention and people just attack you for trolling and being a heat miser. People take this stuff way too seriously - weather is what it is. Going to DFW anytime soon? We need another 2/2/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 Odds on Tip making that post were 1-6000, pay up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 2, 2017 Author Share Posted February 2, 2017 12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Odds on Tip making that post were 1-6000, pay up So long as you are in present company - slam dunk needed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 I would take 3-5" in a heartbeat if we don't get a big rain right after... alas, it does not appear to be the case right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 It's 5-6 days away...this thing will change at least a half dozen times. This year seems notorious for big changes close in...and we aren't even close to being close in yet. Long way to go with this, and many more solutions to come for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 2, 2017 Author Share Posted February 2, 2017 25 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We need to squeeze a triple point below SNE. We weren't able to do that in the 12/17 event. It seems a battle the models like to set up really frequently doesn't it? Like high pressure situates perfectly for protracted mix/ice (to mention front side snow), but WAIT ....not THIS time - we're to believe that the immense power of the low going west will be the first in history to overcome the fluid viscosity and physical limiations of the boundary layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 OK, so Tip are you saying that you think this High to the north is going to hold longer and stronger to squeeze this low south/east?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 32 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Going to DFW anytime soon? We need another 2/2/15 lol no kidding, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 Does the GGEM have any model support for the Thursday and Saturday minor coastals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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