WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Anyone with better knowledge... can the clippers redevelop into a Miller B storm give us at least 1-3 inches of the white stufF Discuss away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 has to dig more and reappear at least off the NJ coast and intensify - no indication of that yet - watch for trends and if there is support from the NAM beginning at 18Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Euro around a inch for the area with this at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveTinNY Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 OKX was hinting it may redevelop near 40/70 instead of further northeast. For now, model consensus is to the east of Cape Cod. However, given strength and amount of digging with trough, would not be surprised if the coastal low ended up forming south of Long Island instead. For now, confidence in this is not high enough to modify the forecast in this direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: That's for Monday AM. Thread title should include this event as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 5 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: That's for Monday AM. Thread title should include this event as well I'm not really sold on anything Tuesday morning. Surface temps are marginal with low rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 This has Philly/South jersey written all over it, might pull NE, and get E Long Island... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Nams close for Li Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Hi res nams very weak and confined swath of snow, red flag if hi res is weaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 0z GGEM tonight gives 1 to 2 inches for Tuesday's clipper, but we know GGEM tends to be overly bullish on snow. GFS gives just a light coating Tuesday. We'll need it to come in early with the borderline temps. We'll see. At least we have 2 chances at light accumulations with the clippers. Not much time left for Monday's morning's clipper to trend far enough north for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 6z NAM and GFS is now a bit north for tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 14 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: 6z NAM and GFS is now a bit north for tomorrow Inverted troughs always needs to be watched. They have a tendency to bump north at the last minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Nams further south, extreme southern jersey sees snow.. NAM and RGEM agree...deadly combo this year, 2nd clipper looks like our only shot with these 2 waves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 22 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Nams further south, extreme southern jersey sees snow.. NAM and RGEM agree...deadly combo this year, 2nd clipper looks like our only shot with these 2 waves weaker first wave potentially equals a stronger second wave further south because of more room in the atmosphere to develop...... time will tell and then we'll know......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Despite what looked like a stronger 2nd wave, Nam still to weak and dry, dusting to 1" for most both waves....dry air won't help either, could see virga for a while too. See if we can get a last min trend, but we're gonna a need a big Nam shift... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 1 minute ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Despite what looked like a stronger 2nd wave, Nam still to weak and dry, dusting to 1" for most both waves....dry air won't help either, could see virga for a while too. See if we can get a last min trend, but we're gonna a need a big Nam shift... The NAM is still fairly far north with the 2nd wave while most other models are south. It looks like the RGEM may have won for Monday morning, it never really shifted north when all others did and now the the 12z NAM moved south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: The NAM is still fairly far north with the 2nd wave while most other models are south. It looks like the RGEM may have won for Monday morning, it never really shifted north when all others did and now the the 12z NAM moved south Yea greed, also tail end of RGEM has the second clipper pretty far south, albeit pretty weak also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 11 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Yea greed, also tail end of RGEM has the second clipper pretty far south, albeit pretty weak also I wouldn't expect any more than 1-2 inches with the clipper at most, but after the last 3 weeks that'll seem like a blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 12z RGEM still south, looks like 12z Nam, Long Island might get a snow shower ^ first clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 RGEM again looks good on the tail end for second clipper, south and fairly strong, compared to other guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Tonight's clipper blowing up is going to force the second clipper further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 GFS is still weak and north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Sucker hole on the gfs between clippers NYC metro to ulster county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Weak clipper dropping from the lakes trying to saturate and displace some cold dry air... Dew points in the single digits in some spots before precip arrives, sounds like a virga storm on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 29, 2017 Author Share Posted January 29, 2017 Not so encouraging for these two little events unless you believe the cmc and ukie they look okay for the second clipper. I'm not really hyped about it because most times these clippers get eaten alive by the mountains to our west but hopefully we get some redevelopment otherwise we're screwed. Also the dew points like ulster said are going to be low so hopefully we don't get a virga fest! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 25 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: Not so encouraging for these two little events unless you believe the cmc and ukie they look okay for the second clipper. I'm not really hyped about it because most times these clippers get eaten alive by the mountains to our west but hopefully we get some redevelopment otherwise we're screwed. Also the dew points like ulster said are going to be low so hopefully we don't get a virga fest! Ggem isn't even an inch either... the first waves DOA... second.m wave has time for improvement, but isnt looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Euro is very light with clipper Tuesday. Around .05. For NYC. Less north. Comes in the middle of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Nams a couple inches for Tuesday clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 RGEM looks a little bit north for tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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