BristowWx Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Just now, H2O said: Just want a nice little snow That might be expecting too much this year. HRRR is somewhat troubling depending on your zip code Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 17 minutes ago, NinjaWarrior2 said: 12z UKIE looks good for D.C., maybe 0.3" QPF. Looks like 8mm or so... DC is in the green zone on the meteogram map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 20 minutes ago, CoastalBecs said: So NW of DC is screw zone this go around? We've heard that before. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 8 minutes ago, BTRWx said: We've heard that before. lol I've basically got a dusting for the season. This one is not for us out here. Enjoy folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 18 minutes ago, Clueless said: I've basically got a dusting for the season. This one is not for us out here. Enjoy folks. I meant it's coming north last minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On rt. 3 and rt. 4 and it's 48 on car thermometer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 4 minutes ago, BTRWx said: I meant it's coming north last minute. Ahh, yes, the olden days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 So what does the Euro say for tonight and tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 1 minute ago, RidingTheModelWithMostSnow said: So what does the Euro say for tonight and tomorrow? meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Euro has a max 1 inch band south of DC over to the lower E Shore, then 2-3" for S DE to SNJ. Everywhere else a dusting to a half inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 13 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Euro has a max 1 inch band south of DC over to the lower E Shore, then 2-3" for S DE to SNJ. Everywhere else a dusting to a half inch. I'd just as soon have none. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 26 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Euro has a max 1 inch band south of DC over to the lower E Shore, then 2-3" for S DE to SNJ. Everywhere else a dusting to a half inch. EURO has sucked for the past two small events. I'm fully on the HRRR train, I take what it says as the gold standard even if it sucks for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I'd just as soon have none. It appears that any decent accumulation is going to be very localized, so way more losers than winners lol. Difficult to pinpoint, but for now I think the enhanced band will most likely be to my south and SE, although mild surface temps will have to be overcome initially. Congrats Lewes and Rehoboth folks, this looks like your winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 I'm rooting for the experimental HRRR but in reality since is has me in the band it will end up either to my north or south like the majority of the models are showing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 9 minutes ago, usedtobe said: I'm rooting for the experimental HRRR but in reality since is has me in the band it will end up either to my north or south like the majority of the models are showing RAP and HRRR look pretty good for your area. Things seem to have trended south. 12z Euro looked drier overall but it was also south with the better band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Winter Weather Advisory issued for I-95 on East Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 I'm laying 8:1 against me looking out my window at 630am tomorrow and seeing either snow on the ground or snow falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 44/23. HRRR/RAP have the good banding well to the south of DC. 0.05" liquid isn't going to do much with such borderline temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 DCZ001-MDZ013-014-016>018-504-VAZ052>056-502-300315- /O.EXB.KLWX.WW.Y.0007.170130T0300Z-170130T1200Z/ DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES- ST. MARYS-CALVERT-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MONTGOMERY- PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX- ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA- SOUTHERN FAUQUIER- 209 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2017 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST MONDAY. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...A COATING TO 1 INCH. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 66 IN VIRGINIA AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 95 IN MARYLAND. * TIMING...SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA BETWEEN 7 AND 10 PM THIS EVENING. THE STEADIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 11 PM AND 4 AM. SNOW WILL END BY 6 AM ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS. * IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE MAINLY WET THIS EVENING WITH TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING. UNTREATED SURFACES WILL BECOME SLIPPERY AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING. * WINDS...NORTH TO NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH TOWARD MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...MID TO UPPER 30S THIS EVENING...FALLING INTO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 I'll take these odds I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 The 18z NAM is super aggressive, but I just don't trust it at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Damn was just going to post that. Looks reallly nice. Really nice from JYO to EZF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Just now, Deck Pic said: The 18z NAM is super aggressive, but I just don't trust it at all. Wise. HRRR looks awful unless you are in lower southern MD/lower eastern shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 8 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Is that a QPF map or a snow accum map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 4k NAM has a really nasty band running through EZF or somewhere just north. I wouldn't be surprised if some localized areas report 4-6". It also has a period of some heavy precip moving through DC around 6-7 pm. Might be rain though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Just now, yoda said: Is that a QPF map or a snow accum map? QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 The mountains might feast on this one. Hope I'm wrong bc I'm ready for snow but radar looks disorganized and scattered at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: QPF .1 to .25 I guess? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 1 minute ago, yoda said: .1 to .25 I guess? That would be my guess. Can't be .25 to .50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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