EasternLI Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 9 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said: If you or whoever is the proper owner wouldn't mind sharing them, I'd love to add them to my 2/78 page: http://www.northshorewx.com/19780207.asp I doubt very much there was any rain in Riverhead. A coastal front affected parts of the south shore out to Montauk overnight, but that was transient and I think just resulted in a wetter snow for a time. Possibly some rain could have mixed at Montauk, but there is no evidence of it. The north shore was basically low - mid 20's during the storm. The other big northeast snow storm that winter 1/20/78, ended as a light frozen mix, but started as snow. Unfortunately, I'm not the owner of the photos and I had a bit of a falling out with the owner so it may prove to be a tall order to gain access once again. However, if that changes or I come across anything else from that storm I would absolutely share them with you. I would have loved to share them here as they were impressive. Thank you for clarifying for me the coastal front situation. I was totally unsure of that and I trust your input greatly. Lastly, great page there!!! Love the photos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Next 8 days are a sensible +3-4degs. Then it is really ugly till after the 23rd. We could see a +25 degree day and then a quick turn around to a - 25 degree day and a storm threat at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 51° here. Major over-performer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 8 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: 51° here. Major over-performer. Temperatures are overperforming here today as well.. up to 50F. Predicted high was 46F.. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 We hit a high of 43 around noon. Temp is down to 41 at 3PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 It's only 43 here right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 21 in BOS damn cold north of there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, Dan76 said: 21 in BOS damn cold north of there Incredible... didn't even know it was that cold up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 11 in maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 59 minutes ago, nesussxwx said: Temperatures are overperforming here today as well.. up to 50F. Predicted high was 46F.. lol And combined with the sun the snow is vanishing. Grass/pavement showing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 31 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: And combined with the sun the snow is vanishing. Grass/pavement showing up. Ah, I was wondering why you guys were warmer. We've only had a few peeks of sunshine here and it's been overcast for a few hours now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 1 hour ago, JerseyWx said: And combined with the sun the snow is vanishing. Grass/pavement showing up. Definitely a lot melting here on the south shore. In a few days we'll just have dirt piles left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 38 minutes ago, Paragon said: Ah, I was wondering why you guys were warmer. We've only had a few peeks of sunshine here and it's been overcast for a few hours now. Yeah, lot of sun here today. Towards sunset it got overcast though. 10 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Definitely a lot melting here on the south shore. In a few days we'll just have dirt piles left. The snowpack took a big hit today for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 2nd winter in a row where blocking originating near the Kara-Barents Seas lead to a blizzard for our area. Many studies linking the record low sea ice in that region with these strong blocking patterns. Would be nice to have a custom KB blocking index to add to the NAO and AO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Temp seems to be dropping pretty steadily, down to 41 after a high of 47 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 50 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Yeah, lot of sun here today. Towards sunset it got overcast though. The snowpack took a big hit today for sure. Not as much out here. It's been cloudy and low 40s. The cold is east right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 With the AO now increasingly looking like it's going to go positive after mid-month in combination with an EPO+, it appears that the window of opportunity for snowfall will close shortly thereafter. Despite what seems like a nice 500 mb pattern on paper for the Wednesday-Friday period next week, it looks as if the proverbial pieces (shortwaves) won't be in position for a phased storm to impact the region with a significant snowfall. Instead, the storm will likely develop too far offshore for such an outcome. A smaller snowfall remains possible. Before then, parts of the region north of NYC could see measurable snowfall tomorrow into Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 5 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Not as much out here. It's been cloudy and low 40s. The cold is east right now. Impressive temperature gradient across the northeast today. Lot of cold in New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Temp down to 36 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 3 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: With the AO now increasingly looking like it's going to go positive after mid-month in combination with an EPO+, it appears that the window of opportunity for snowfall will close shortly thereafter. Despite what seems like a nice 500 mb pattern on paper for the Wednesday-Friday period next week, it looks as if the proverbial pieces (shortwaves) won't be in position for a phased storm to impact the region with a significant snowfall. Instead, the storm will likely develop too far offshore for such an outcome. A smaller snowfall remains possible. Before then, parts of the region north of NYC could see measurable snowfall tomorrow into Monday. What about end of February into early March? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 15 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: What about end of February into early March? At least right now, I think there could be renewed opportunities beginning during the last week of February. March may also have some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: At least right now, I think there could be renewed opportunities beginning during the last week of February. March may also have some. Thank you. I suspect at least one more major snow event during that time for the northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 6 hours ago, bluewave said: 2nd winter in a row where blocking originating near the Kara-Barents Seas lead to a blizzard for our area. Many studies linking the record low sea ice in that region with these strong blocking patterns. Would be nice to have a custom KB blocking index to add to the NAO and AO. Maybe this is the reason why we're getting above normal snowfall with above normal temps. This might be typical for us for awhile until the warmth overwhelms our latitude like it has done in the Arctic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 5 hours ago, JerseyWx said: Impressive temperature gradient across the northeast today. Lot of cold in New England. It's about the only cold area in the entire country Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Temp has actually risen to 38 from 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Temp has dropped back down to 36 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Here's an observation...... it's 34 at JFK while it's 36 at Wilkes Barre. Lowest temp I can find in our local area is 24 at Groton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Temp has fallen to 34 here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 12 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: With the AO now increasingly looking like it's going to go positive after mid-month in combination with an EPO+, it appears that the window of opportunity for snowfall will close shortly thereafter. Despite what seems like a nice 500 mb pattern on paper for the Wednesday-Friday period next week, it looks as if the proverbial pieces (shortwaves) won't be in position for a phased storm to impact the region with a significant snowfall. Instead, the storm will likely develop too far offshore for such an outcome. A smaller snowfall remains possible. Before then, parts of the region north of NYC could see measurable snowfall tomorrow into Monday. Don, this reminds me of what happened last winter. The two main events in late January and early February trended north and west closer to our area delivering heavier snows than the longer range models were showing. The same thing happened with the blizzard a few days ago. Last winter that was the signal that everything would start trending south or more suppressed. We can remember how many lows stayed south instead of coming north Feb-Mar. The storm today and tomorrow trended south breaking the recent pattern. Now it appears that the southern stream will stay more suppressed for the storm this week. Hopefully, we can put together some more measurable snows near the end of Feb into Mar following the well advertised February thaw beginning around next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 7 hours ago, Paragon said: Maybe this is the reason why we're getting above normal snowfall with above normal temps. This might be typical for us for awhile until the warmth overwhelms our latitude like it has done in the Arctic. It's the second winter in a row for the snowfall to get saved by the KB block. Just shows how powerful these blocks can be to produce blizzards during mild winter patterns. That has been the dominant area of winter blocking in the means during the 2000's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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