UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 29, 2017 Author Share Posted January 29, 2017 GFS never really phases, and trough stays positive, GGEM has a phase but it's too late edit: the difference at 500 between GFS and ggem are pretty significant, the northern piece of energy never dives down and is very strong, pushes east on GGEM, on GFS its weaker and drops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 29, 2017 Author Share Posted January 29, 2017 Ggem GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 29, 2017 Author Share Posted January 29, 2017 GEFS aren't really all that eye popping for Feb 6storm, all but 2 members are pretty weak systems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 29, 2017 Author Share Posted January 29, 2017 Euros bupkis for all events lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 EPS keeps some GL ridging through day 10. Can't see passed that. Anyone care to elaborate after day 10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 0z gfs pretty nice for the "super bowl" storm NYC north stays all snow low ends up in the bm at 997 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 This one is gonna be fun... bomb incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 GFS almost pulls off a one two punch like 1983, if system #2 didn't run inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 This setup is very volatile still. I don't like the high positioning. Would rather have it more north, it dips too far south into the CONUS. The setup out west and in the plains isn't bad. My main concern would be too much Canada energy phasing in and driving this well north and west of here. If that northern energy stays away though I'm not worried too much about this overamplifying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 30, 2017 Author Share Posted January 30, 2017 Euro wants nothing to do with Feb 6 storm, has yet to show a snowstorm for anyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 5 hours ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Euro wants nothing to do with Feb 6 storm, has yet to show a snowstorm for anyone The EPS wants no part of 2/6 either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 30, 2017 Author Share Posted January 30, 2017 13 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The EPS wants no part of 2/6 either Gefs like Sullivan county jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 30, 2017 Author Share Posted January 30, 2017 What's alarming to me is that the euro and GS are vastly different as is their Ens members....something's gotta give of the eps 51 members, about 3 show a decent storm if anything, whereas the majority of GFS members atleast show a 3-6" snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 30, 2017 Author Share Posted January 30, 2017 18 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The EPS wants no part of 2/6 either Euro favors an interior snowfall a couple days later wed/Thursday, as oppose to feb 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 30, 2017 Author Share Posted January 30, 2017 8 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: This one is gonna be fun... bomb incoming All rain, No cold to work with, less then the sleetfest recently for that matter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 26 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: All rain, No cold to work with, less then the sleetfest recently for that matter I knew that it would be rain that run, but there was still a bomb. I like that window for a significant storm on the east coast, rain or snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Nice front end dump for the interior on Sunday night into Monday on the 06z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 More amplified solution incoming on the 12z GFS. The ridging looks better out West and the blocking is stronger over NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERBUFF Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 3 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: I knew that it would be rain that run, but there was still a bomb. I like that window for a significant storm on the east coast, rain or snow. euro warm bias comes into play especially this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 3-6, or 4-8" for the area on Sunday night into Monday on the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 30, 2017 Author Share Posted January 30, 2017 I'd like to see the GFS develop a bit earlier, never really goes negative, and crappy half a** phase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squid1225 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: 3-6, or 4-8" for the area on Sunday night into Monday on the 12z GFS. Liking the potential for this, I just wish the storm would develop a little quicker on the 12z run...seems to develop a little later on after the majority of the precip is out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 You can forgot the second storm on the GFS. Completely disjointed and out to lunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 30, 2017 Author Share Posted January 30, 2017 Precip amounts for Feb 6 only, clippers aren't included General 3-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: You can forgot the second storm on the GFS. Completely disjointed and out to lunch. The differences between the GFS and Euro are comical. The Euro wants nothing to do with the first storm and likes the 2nd one and the GFS is just the opposite. Obviously one model or the other is going to be dead wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Well the GFS does eventually wrap up a big storm days 9-10 but it's OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 8 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The differences between the GFS and Euro are comical. The Euro wants nothing to do with the first storm and likes the 2nd one and the GFS is just the opposite. Obviously one model or the other is going to be dead wrong The Euro and GFS have liked Day 10 storms all winter so I'm ignoring both models when it comes to that event right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 hour ago, SnowGoose69 said: The Euro and GFS have liked Day 10 storms all winter so I'm ignoring both models when it comes to that event right now True, between the Euro and GFS fantasy day 10 snowstorms this winter we should have over 100 inches by now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 The Euro was weak for the day 7 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Big cutter on the Euro day 10. Rain to some snow at the tail end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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