Brian5671 Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 2 hours ago, Snow88 said: Time to track the low for this weekend Could be a good thunderstorm threat for us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 40 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Could be a good thunderstorm threat for us! After that! There's a threat late Sunday night to Monday afternoon for a SWFL and it could be a snow event according to GFS 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 Has anyone seen the Euro for next week temperature wise? It's even warmer than this week, with possible widespread 70's next Tuesday through Thursday before things finally cool off around March 3rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 32 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Has anyone seen the Euro for next week temperature wise? It's even warmer than this week, with possible widespread 70's next Tuesday through Thursday before things finally cool off around March 3rd. Yea it's a major blowtorch for next week, then a cool down to near normal the following week. The Euro weeklies do the same, then they build a huge SE ridge right back up very quickly, by mid-month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 18z GFS looks like something out of mid April the next 7-10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 22, 2017 Author Share Posted February 22, 2017 2 hours ago, Brian5671 said: 18z GFS looks like something out of mid April the next 7-10 days GFS is about 1-3 days of normal to slightly below.... the rest is torch till mid march.... winters a goner and I'm ready for spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 22, 2017 Author Share Posted February 22, 2017 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: its not a torch http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=knyc Lol... only 2 daytime 30F days... and those are upper 30s... absolutely nothing below freezing from mid feb-early march.. Thats a torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 22, 2017 Author Share Posted February 22, 2017 3 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: you said torch till mid March - everyday the temp averages rise in March - everyday is supposed to be above 40 and that increases every couple of days Your still wrong... possible 70s on euro consecutive weekends and then mid week first week of march 2nd.... 70s on march 2nd is a torch... also go look at the GFS 2mt anomalies from average... +10 or greater with the exception of 2-3 days for its entire run... up to march 09 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 22, 2017 Author Share Posted February 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: 70's consecutive weekends in Late February and early March - good luck with that one............ Yea cause it's not like every model is forecasting it or anything lol... I hit 66 this last Sunday... in freaking Ulster county... in the mountains, mid Feb.... my forecasted high was 59...lol... temps have been busting high EVERY time... I guarantee someone in this forum sees close to if not hits 70 this Thursday/Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 22, 2017 Author Share Posted February 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: 70's consecutive weekends in Late February and early March - good luck with that one............ Yea totally normal temps incoming lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 22, 2017 Share Posted February 22, 2017 35 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Yea cause it's not like every model is forecasting it or anything lol... I hit 66 this last Sunday... in freaking Ulster county... in the mountains, mid Feb.... my forecasted high was 59...lol... temps have been busting high EVERY time... I guarantee someone in this forum sees close to if not hits 70 this Thursday/Friday Lol remember when he tried telling us that the storm last week was "trending" to hit NYC with snow the day before with that rogue run of the NAM? Not so much as virga. Lmao! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 22, 2017 Author Share Posted February 22, 2017 1 hour ago, NEG NAO said: Your Guarantee might require some refunds for Thursday.... NYZ072-220915- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)- 653 PM EST TUE FEB 21 2017 TONIGHT MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. WEDNESDAY MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH PATCHY DRIZZLE AND FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. THURSDAY MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH PATCHY DRIZZLE AND FOG. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. THURSDAY NIGHT MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH PATCHY DRIZZLE. A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. FRIDAY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN WITH PATCHY DRIZZLE. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. SATURDAY RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS AROUND 60. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING THEN PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. SUNDAY MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SUNDAY NIGHT PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MONDAY PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. TUESDAY MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. Manhatten isn't this "forum" bro...I also said Thursday/Friday....want me to post the point and click for this past weekends warmth? Cause that was a major bust too lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 22, 2017 Author Share Posted February 22, 2017 41 minutes ago, mriceyman said: You have to remember who is included in this forum.. not just you northern guys. In cnj we will hit 70 Thursday/friday probably fairly easy Exactly, this forum stretches from Cnj all the way up past Poughkeepsie. And if the euro is correct, up to Albany area has a chance at hitting 70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 22, 2017 Author Share Posted February 22, 2017 19 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: First fiqure out how you will get rid of the fog and drizzle Thursday then we can discuss 70 NYZ070-220915- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 948 PM EST TUE FEB 21 2017 OVERNIGHT CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN. NOT AS COOL. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. WEDNESDAY MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH PATCHY DRIZZLE AND FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. THURSDAY MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH PATCHY DRIZZLE AND FOG. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. THURSDAY NIGHT Northern westchester? How do you quote someone talking about Albany and post northern westchester? Lmao...are you just randomly cherry picking point and clicks without knowing? Lmao... hows last weeks snowstorm trending? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 22, 2017 Share Posted February 22, 2017 So, what the hell happened to 70/mostly sunny for Thursday? Now we're talking clouds and not even 60? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 22, 2017 Author Share Posted February 22, 2017 Just double checked.... my point and click on Saturday... THE DAY BEFORE feb 18th, was 52F for a high on the 19th.... I hit 66.1......NWS busted with less than 24 hours by close to 15 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 22, 2017 Share Posted February 22, 2017 9 hours ago, NortheastPAWx said: So, what the hell happened to 70/mostly sunny for Thursday? Now we're talking clouds and not even 60? Thursday will depend on whether the cloud deck clears out or now-best chances S and W of the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 22, 2017 Share Posted February 22, 2017 The HRRR still has lower 60's for most of the area later today with overnight lows in the mid-upper 40's. Tomorrow looks gorgous West of the Hudson. From the city East could get backdoored. 42 and drizzle at ISP 21z tomorrow and 68 and sunny at TTN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 22, 2017 Share Posted February 22, 2017 Snow??? Maybe??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 22, 2017 Share Posted February 22, 2017 20 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Snow??? Maybe??? Not a chance in hell for at least the next two weeks. Even though the ridge temporarily breaks down around day 9 it's already reloading by day 11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 22, 2017 Author Share Posted February 22, 2017 Why Neg Nao delete all his posts lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2017 Share Posted February 22, 2017 1 hour ago, White Gorilla said: Snow??? Maybe??? Maybe the first 2 weeks of March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 22, 2017 Author Share Posted February 22, 2017 Just now, Snow88 said: Maybe the first 2 weeks of March We would need a perfect set-up...there's maybe 1-2 days we could make it happen, up to march 10 looks wayyy too warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 22, 2017 Share Posted February 22, 2017 13 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Maybe the first 2 weeks of March You've got a window around the tenth, good luck with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 22, 2017 Share Posted February 22, 2017 35 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: You've got a window around the tenth, good luck with that. Fantasy land at this point. That's 16 days out-at this point, could be 70 and sunny or 30 and snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 22, 2017 Share Posted February 22, 2017 2 hours ago, NJwx85 said: The HRRR still has lower 60's for most of the area later today with overnight lows in the mid-upper 40's. Tomorrow looks gorgous West of the Hudson. From the city East could get backdoored. 42 and drizzle at ISP 21z tomorrow and 68 and sunny at TTN. Seems like the 12z GFS doesn't show much of the backdoor now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 22, 2017 Share Posted February 22, 2017 6 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: Seems like the 12z GFS doesn't show much of the backdoor now. Not as pronounced but still showing 55 at ISP while TTN is in the mid 60's, so about a ten degree spread. The backdoor is still very noticable on the 4k 12z NAM. Look at temperature gradient between the Lower and Central Hudson Valley and extreme Western New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 22, 2017 Share Posted February 22, 2017 The 12z Euro is much weaker with the backdoor cold front on Friday. Lower 70's from EWR to NYC on Friday afternoon. TTN, ACY and PHI are all 70+. We get into the lower 60's on Saturday ahead of the cold front. Then after a brief cool down from Sunday to Monday we're pushing the lower 50's again on Monday afternoon and then we're back into the middle 60's on Wednesday. Other than a few day transient period of colder weather and the possibilty of anothr brief cool down during the second week of March, I'm ready to pronounce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 22, 2017 Share Posted February 22, 2017 30 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The 12z Euro is much weaker with the backdoor cold front on Friday. Lower 70's from EWR to NYC on Friday afternoon. TTN, ACY and PHI are all 70+. We get into the lower 60's on Saturday ahead of the cold front. Then after a brief cool down from Sunday to Monday we're pushing the lower 50's again on Monday afternoon and then we're back into the middle 60's on Wednesday. Other than a few day transient period of colder weather and the possibilty of anothr brief cool down during the second week of March, I'm ready to pronounce. Get the pool ready Yanks. We actually have some friends who moved about 25 miles outside of the city in NJ who said we were welcome at their pool anytime this summer. I'm pretty psyched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 22, 2017 Share Posted February 22, 2017 10 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: Get the pool ready Yanks. We actually have some friends who moved about 25 miles outside of the city in NJ who said we were welcome at their pool anytime this summer. I'm pretty psyched. Where abouts if you don't mind me asking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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