usedtobe Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 I used to have a figure of the GEFS probability of 1.00 about 4 or 5 days out in advance of the storm but no longer can find it. Does anyone have it or have a good one for last years big snowstorm several days out. If so please gie it to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 6 minutes ago, usedtobe said: I used to have a figure of the GEFS probability of 1.00 about 4 or 5 days out in advance of the storm but no longer can find it. Does anyone have it or have a good one for last years big snowstorm several days out. If so please gie it to me. Assuming you have weather bell hope this helps. Don't have any maps saved from the last years blizzard though, sorry. http://models.weatherbell.com/gefs/gefs_probs_conus.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 If you get desperate it might be in one of the storm threads. If you sort the board by most viewed you'll find a few. Here's one: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 I know this isn't exactly what you're looking for, but there's a Euro ensemble probability of >12" for last year's storm in this article you co-wrote: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2016/01/19/forecasts-converging-on-serious-friday-saturday-snowstorm/?utm_term=.0a0b5b29b643 And here, a day later: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2016/01/20/blizzard-watch-severe-snowstorm-likely-friday-through-sunday/?utm_term=.67395414869c Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 26, 2017 Author Share Posted January 26, 2017 2 hours ago, gymengineer said: I know this isn't exactly what you're looking for, but there's a Euro ensemble probability of >12" for last year's storm in this article you co-wrote: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2016/01/19/forecasts-converging-on-serious-friday-saturday-snowstorm/?utm_term=.0a0b5b29b643 And here, a day later: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2016/01/20/blizzard-watch-severe-snowstorm-likely-friday-through-sunday/?utm_term=.67395414869c Thanks, I found the Euro one on last years storm stashed away on my PC and used it. I'd still like to find the Feb 5-6 2010 storm as I know I have used it in a snow talk but can't find it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 On 1/26/2017 at 10:36 AM, usedtobe said: Thanks, I found the Euro one on last years storm stashed away on my PC and used it. I'd still like to find the Feb 5-6 2010 storm as I know I have used it in a snow talk but can't find it. How about the srefs? Publication source: http://cms.met.psu.edu/sref/severe/2010/05Feb2010.pdf or the gefs 2.00 probability animated gif...http://cstar.cestm.albany.edu/PostMortems/CSTARPostMortems/2010/feb5-6/2010 February5.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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