BristowWx Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 2 minutes ago, PennQuakerGirl said: Please tell me we go to a penalty shootout if there's a tie. Certainly. I don't think it will come to that. Closest tenth of inch without going over like the Price is Right. I haven't thought of all the details. But it could be fun if there is some scratch in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 11 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Certainly. I don't think it will come to that. Closest tenth of inch without going over like the Price is Right. I haven't thought of all the details. But it could be fun if there is some scratch in the game. I like this idea. In. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 3 minutes ago, CARDC79 said: I like this idea. In. If the board leadership agrees I would send it to one of them for safe keeping and make it legit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 29 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: And let's not overlook what I was yapping about earlier. The euro changes at 12z were big, especially with the cold in the ne quadrant. I don't see any way for an organized low to pass under us until after the front comes through. I think you agree with that but are thinking we can take advantage of the departing high before it rains right? If so, then I agree it's possible. But I really don't see much upside potential. Maybe a light event at best. Maybe we get lucky with some sort of respectable overrunning deal before an organized low passes by to the north. Overall the chances look really low right now but who knows. Maybe something breaks right for once. I suppose it's our first shot at something so worth keeping a lookout but it's a really bad setup either way. Which is a bit of a shame. Because we have good temps for days leading in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 8 minutes ago, BristowWx said: If the board leadership agrees I would send it to one of them for safe keeping and make it legit. I'd be down for a pool with meager entry fee. Like 2-5 bucks a head through paypal or something. Get 20 of us in on that and it would be pretty fun. I'm 100% in. I love pools of all sorts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 5 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I'd be down for a pool with meager entry fee. Like 2-5 bucks a head through paypal or something. Get 20 of us in on that and it would be pretty fun. I'm 100% in. I love pools of all sorts. That's fine too. I was going to just donate a $50 gift card. 5 bucks a head via PayPal works too. I'd bet almost everyone in the forum that is not morally opposed would be in for 5 bucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 57 minutes ago, BristowWx said: I'd be willing to put up a gift card for a snow contest. Total snowfall at DCA by 28 Feb. just to make it interesting. Not sure if that would be permissible. Tie breaker any other regional airport. If it's zero at every airport then no winner I guess. Heh! Well a pool like that would make things more fun! I still say technically my (humorous) prediction for the first warning criteria snow in that poll a couple months ago is still in the running... I said December 5. Of 2017! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 5 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Heh! Well a pool like that would make things more fun! I still say technically my (humorous) prediction for the first warning criteria snow in that poll a couple months ago is still in the running... I said December 5. Of 2017! Easy criteria. The total final total of all 4 airports at 2359 28 Feb. incluiding what has already been recorded. To the nearest tenth of inch. Tie splits the pool evenly. Unless someone has a better idea. Not sure how to do the PayPal part of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 5 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Easy criteria. The total final total of all 4 airports at 2359 28 Feb. incluiding what has already been recorded. To the nearest tenth of inch. Tie splits the pool evenly. Unless someone has a better idea. Not sure how to do the PayPal part of it. Would we give a total for each airport or a total for all airports put together? Also what are your 4 airports... I only know of 3 public airports in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 1 minute ago, RidingTheModelWithMostSnow said: Would we give a total for each airport or a total for all airports put together? Also what are your 4 airports... I only know of 3 public airports in the area. I was including RIC...they are in our sub forum. Total of all 4. Keeps it simple in my mind. Since the pool would be split if 5 people pick 22.5 then they split it if that's the number. Again if someone has a better idea ok. I'll go with whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 1 hour ago, Bob Chill said: 18z gefs actually looks pretty good. Enough members with versions of the op's front end light event to take notice and actually an increased number from 12z with follow up potential. Are we talking about another 1-2 from the GEFS front end light event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 15 minutes ago, yoda said: Are we talking about another 1-2 from the GEFS front end light event? That's probably top end potential. My guess is zero for now but some accumulation is not out of the question. Just keep hoping for stronger hp and fast precip onset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 25 minutes ago, yoda said: Are we talking about another 1-2 from the GEFS front end light event? You already declared it dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: You already declared it dead. Yes, I did... just checking to see if it needs CPR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 17 minutes ago, yoda said: Yes, I did... just checking to see if it needs CPR You might be able to revive it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 84 hr nam is actually... encouraging? But...84 hr nam... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 3 minutes ago, eurojosh said: 84 hr nam is actually... encouraging? But...84 hr nam... Saw that but didn't want to mention. Glad you did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 9 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Saw that but didn't want to mention. Glad you did It's very light precip anyways. Baby steps i suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 Loop it's sim radar. Woohoo. But, 84 NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 19 minutes ago, eurojosh said: 84 hr nam is actually... encouraging? But...84 hr nam... At least it keeps it interesting to track. Light snow way down in NE GA and NW SC at Hr 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 Yeah, GFS looks nothing like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 12z para was a pretty good hit on Tuesday. Wnwxluvr approves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 I get a snowshower in sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 I'm surprised Ji didn't bring up the para gfs. Leesburg jack 4-5". More snow later on. It was a weenie run that we all missed. We're getting rusty. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 We may see that high for Tuesday hang in longer over Quebec if the Canadian low which ultimately sabotaged the Sunday event blows up enough over the Maritimes and acts as a 50/50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowsux Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 8 hours ago, psuhoffman said: Hate to agree. Back in the day he was more grounded. He is completely off the rails now and it has to be by design. He isn't stupid. Just this winter he started with a cold snowy December call. Then edited to cold coming in January. Then jan 25-march. Then feb and march. And I kid you not I just saw a post today he said "like I have thought all along the cold locks in the second half of February and march." Lol. And he has the gall to say like I've said all along after each new different forecast. I don't think he is that stupid or crazy. It's a methodology like you said. Keep em strung along another month. For every person like me who uses the site for the data some weenie is on there just to read his snow hype. He declares it over and tomorrow 300 people cancel. That's 7500 he loses next month. He isn't dumb. I say this knowing I don't have the pressures of issuing a high stakes forecast. I did say back early this year was probably bad and it was a matter of how bad. But there were times I was fooled and thought a colder period was coming. I busted. But I edit and correct my thinking as I go and don't just sell one can of beans all winter. Jb probably could be a good forecaster but he would rather make more money. Can't fault him I guess. My theory (and it's just a theory), is that the JB issue goes way beyond the notion that he's only trying to promote a website. Social media is an incalculably multi-dimensional tool when it comes to it's ability to influence markets. In an age where weather itself has become a marketable commodity, what we've been witnessing from JB in recent years shouldn't come as much of a surprise. The capitalist in me gives him a standing ovation, though it's not without an ever-so-slight simultaneous cringe. To be blunt (there's really no other way to say it), I think that it's highly likely that there's some sort of energy futures-based incentive for him to be as cold biased as he is. Again, this is just my theory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 0z GFS has that trailing wave on Feb 10 off the SE coast in South Carolina that I'm going to track. That storm may be the reason the GEFS looked pretty good yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 Well at least we got the groundhog on our side for 6 more weeks of winter. Let test his skill vs the various indices, models, etc.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 5 minutes ago, GATECH said: Well at least we got the groundhog on our side for 6 more weeks of winter. Let test his skill vs the various indices, models, etc.... Groundhog will be proven wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 I note the GFS currently isn't threatening me through the period. BUT there is the rest of Febrrary to get through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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