psuhoffman Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 36 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Euro ens look terrible for wave 2. Rain is the predominant theme by far with low pressure nw and over the lakes. Yea forget any of the signal from the last few runs. It's a cutter look for sure now. It pumps the war right where we want lower heights again and we pop a ridge up the east coast ahead of the system. Euro is a dumpster fire long range but the anamolies are pretty weak and it's done this flip thing several times lately while the gefs has been consistent then it flips back next run so I'm not too worried...yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Would be ironic if we finally get a PV displacement and it displaces itself into Alaska offsetting the one generally decent factor we have had all winter. Lol. We do fail well some years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 I really don't think any of the long range stuff is going to be of much help with the strat stuff messing them up. That's not to say I'm suggesting the strat action will help us, just that it is making a very difficult task even muddier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 6 minutes ago, mitchnick said: I really don't think any of the long range stuff is going to be of much help with the strat stuff messing them up. That's not to say I'm suggesting the strat action will help us, just that it is making a very difficult task even muddier. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 The problem with the super bowl storm is we are walking a tight wire and we are already on the southern edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 minute ago, RidingTheModelWithMostSnow said: The problem with the super bowl storm is we are walking a tight wire and we are already on the southern edge. But that's always the case for our location, so.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: But that's always the case for our location, so.... So, I'd feel better if it was Thursday instead of Monday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, RidingTheModelWithMostSnow said: The problem with the super bowl storm is we are walking a tight wire and we are already on the southern edge. Inland will get thumped before the changeover unless it goes way west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: But that's always the case for our location, so.... True... but we usually are not on the southern side this early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 minute ago, RidingTheModelWithMostSnow said: True... but we usually are not on the southern side this early. 3 decent runs in a row for the gfs on this storm. First time all year. Let's enjoy it for another 30 minutes. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 I see no major changes at 500 except the NS vort is slightly deeper. I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 gfs looks slightly weaker so far. Lets see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 This might be premature, but I have a bad feeling about the way this run is headed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Just now, PaEasternWX said: gfs looks slightly weaker so far. Lets see what happens. Southern stream is substantially flatter and northern stream s/w is stronger through 120hr-ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 GFS weaker with the southern vort and now stronger with the northern stream. Not going to be happy hour even if it still produces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 I have a bad feeling about this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 3 minutes ago, PaEasternWX said: I have a bad feeling about this run. Thanks, I don't need to check anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 We always have wave 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Well that went to crap. Low's taking a trip to Chicago and southern Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 0z is going to be where the action is. I swear this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Guess a 300 mile shift in the low track makes a 20 mile shift in the 850mb 0c line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Hey if you are going to get a precip hole, at least it is when it would be rain and not snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: 0z is going to be where the action is. I swear this time. At least it made it to Monday. Didn't you say it would be gone by Sunday night? Or did you mean next Sunday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 The new weeklies will be along soon to brighten everyone's spirits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 It's fairly clear there's going to be a northern stream low with the Sunday event, but it can't be so strong as to overwhelm the southern stream. Ideally we want to keep the southern stream separate and let it amplify a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Hey if you are going to get a precip hole, at least it is when it would be rain and not snow! Now that is an impressive dryslot. You can't make this s_ _ _ up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 flow at 500 doesnt support a low going from chicago to quebec. Seems wonky to me eh? Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: Now that is an impressive dryslot. You can't make this s_ _ _ up. Downsloping. Look at the low location and out wind trajectory. Straight off the 4500 ft mountains to our southwest. That's no good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 hour ago, leesburg 04 said: Says the Vikings fan lol Bitter experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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