Bob Chill Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: True dat. Good run of the EPS just now imo long range. It's a good look for our area. It's not a dry look or a warm look. Hopefully we end up on the right side of something. Mean precip panels keep things active d10-15 in the MA/SE. We've had a lot of bad luck so I'm going with the WD index right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 I'd sign up for the pattern we are going into for the next week or so. I can't even remember the last clipper we had -- probably last Feb. I know its cold and dry east of the divide, but man it works well out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 6 minutes ago, jonjon said: I'd sign up for the pattern we are going into for the next week or so. I can't even remember the last clipper we had -- probably last Feb. I know its cold and dry east of the divide, but man it works well out here. Yea thinking of taking my son out there this weekend to play in the snow. Any suggestions for parks and sledding hills in the Davis or Canaan valley area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 15 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It's a good look for our area. It's not a dry look or a warm look. Hopefully we end up on the right side of something. Mean precip panels keep things active d10-15 in the MA/SE. We've had a lot of bad luck so I'm going with the WD index right now. Yea I'm not interested in frigid cold. It's not like we keep snowpack well anyways. It's a stormy pattern and we're on the cold side of the boundary enough of the time to think it could work. I'll take that look over anything we have had so far this year. Just need of the waves to get under us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 6 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Yea thinking of taking my son out there this weekend to play in the snow. Any suggestions for parks and sledding hills in the Davis or Canaan valley area? There's one out in Blackwater Falls that's got a nice groomed area for sledding. I remember one of the locals talking about it at the park when I was there in October. That would be a great spot. Such a beautiful park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: There's one out in Blackwater Falls that's got a nice groomed area for sledding. I remember one of the locals talking about it at the park when I was there in October. That would be a great spot. Such a beautiful park. Thanks I'll look into it. That's a little further from my direction but I'm desperate and my son is bugging me daily for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 32 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: True dat. Good run of the EPS just now imo long range. Its good. Nice improvement from 0z. GEFS has been more bullish with cold and snow chances beyond day 8 so I will ride it....probably right into a lake like a sinking stone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 6 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: There's one out in Blackwater Falls that's got a nice groomed area for sledding. I remember one of the locals talking about it at the park when I was there in October. That would be a great spot. Such a beautiful park. Great suggestion. Love that park, it is a gorgeous area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 Just now, C.A.P.E. said: Its good. Nice improvement from 0z. GEFS has been more bullish with cold and snow chances beyond day 8 so I will ride it....probably right into a lake like a sinking stone. Nah, it's wait and see mode now. The chances of a big winter are all but gone. We have 6 weeks or so left to pull off an event that actually requires a shovel. This winter doesn't feel like the type to shut us out. More of a wait our turn in an overall uneventful year for most of the east. It ain't no 2011-12....yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 Just now, Bob Chill said: Nah, it's wait and see mode now. The chances of a big winter are all but gone. We have 6 weeks or so left to pull off an event that actually requires a shovel. This winter doesn't feel like the type to shut us out. More of a wait our turn in an overall uneventful year for most of the east. It ain't no 2011-12....yet. I agree, the pattern looks good enough going forward and I am not at all pessimistic, but I do feel the pain of some here. My perspective is skewed some because I did have a great couple days in Rehoboth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 25 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Yea thinking of taking my son out there this weekend to play in the snow. Any suggestions for parks and sledding hills in the Davis or Canaan valley area? Yes, as mentioned the Sled Run at Blackwater Falls State Park is great. They groom and have snow making there along with a recently upgraded magic carpet that takes you to the top. Canaan Valley State Park also has a nice tubing hill that is separate from the ski area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 17 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Thanks I'll look into it. That's a little further from my direction but I'm desperate and my son is bugging me daily for snow Blackwater Park is closer to you than Canaan Valley is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 Canaan Valley Resort and Conference Center is a great bang for the buck place to stay. Thats my go to place when I am out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 That little vort looks decent on h5 but the response on the surface is crap. Dry I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Blackwater Park is closer to you than Canaan Valley is. Yeah and its kinda negligible if you are going to drive that far. Might as well have the best experience possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 2 minutes ago, jonjon said: Yes, as mentioned the Sled Run at Blackwater Falls State Park is great. They groom and have snow making there along with a recently upgraded magic carpet that takes you to the top. Canaan Valley State Park also has a nice tubing hill that is separate from the ski area. It is a great run. Here's a vid so everyone can see that it's a legit hill: Swallow Falls State Park has a small, free sled run going through the woods right next to the nature center as well. No magic carpet or anything but sometimes they will turn on the lights in the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 Evening folks. Grab a hot beverage and jump into the Parks thread. Sexiest park? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 25 minutes ago, das said: It is a great run. Here's a vid so everyone can see that it's a legit hill: Swallow Falls State Park has a small, free sled run going through the woods right next to the nature center as well. No magic carpet or anything but sometimes they will turn on the lights in the evening. The swallow falls one might be more his speed. My son is still only 2 1/2 and that looks awesome but perhaps a bit much for him. A tiny hill and he will be more then happy. Thanks for all the suggestions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 Just now, stormtracker said: Evening folks. Grab a hot beverage and jump into the Parks thread. Sexiest park? Sorry it's my fault. I'll take it to banter. At least there wasn't that much to talk about right now in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 Just now, psuhoffman said: Sorry it's my fault. I'll take it to banter. At least there wasn't that much to talk about right now in here. It's cool. I'm mostly teasing y'all. I let it go because honestly, there isn't much else to talk about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 1 hour ago, Yeoman said: Mitch threatened to firebomb NCEP You can't do that....only the White House. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 Like the way it's cold right up until that low arrives next weekend. Then it rains. Just the op but man can we catch at least a fantasy break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 I think the 18z run looks pretty interesting. Chances. That system at day 10 is also hinted at by the euro. On the gfs that's a heck of a cold dome of air to our ne. Be pretty hard to erode that. Might be a good system if it's not fantasy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 14 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Like the way it's cold right up until that low arrives next weekend. Then it rains. Just the op but man can we catch at least a fantasy break. It probably started as snow and it's a good trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 Just now, psuhoffman said: It probably started as snow and it's a good trend. Ha, beat ya to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: It probably started as snow and it's a good trend. Ok. I didn't like it much but what the heck to do I know. I see a departing high with south winds. We will see what develops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 Nice gefs run. The ridging over Greenland is back too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Nice gefs run. The ridging over Greenland is back too. Do you feel with this type of system there would be a higher risk of a miss to the north or to the south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Nice gefs run. The ridging over Greenland is back too. D10 to D15 look particularly interesting. Snowfall mean jumps from 1.5" at D10 to 5.5" at D15. 10 of 20 6"+ (all but one of these have the 6"+ occur in the D10 to D15 timeframe). 12 of 20 have 4"+ Hopefully D10 to D15 doesn't slip to the right and we're soon tracking threats on the OP within 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 4 minutes ago, PaEasternWX said: Do you feel with this type of system there would be a higher risk of a miss to the north or to the south were still kinda far out to get into that but it doesn't look like a very suppressive pattern so right now I bigger worry would be North but don't come after me if it ends up another Richmond special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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