NorthArlington101 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 GFS still has no love for the clipper. If EURO holds someone with good/untested mojo should probably start a thread, think we are in short range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 A lot more ridging out west on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, RidingTheModelWithMostSnow said: A lot more ridging out west on the GFS Maybe a little bit more looking at h5 but not a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, PaEasternWX said: Maybe a little bit more looking at h5 but not a lot. @ 144 Unless I am looking at the H5 wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 6 minutes ago, RidingTheModelWithMostSnow said: @ 144 Unless I am looking at the H5 wrong. I was looking at hr 120 on tidbits was not sure what hr you were referring to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 One thing I notice is it's warmer. at 168 and 174. Here we go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: One thing I notice is it's warmer. at 168 and 174. Here we go How much warmer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 And there she cuts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: How much warmer? A lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 I win again. All too easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 I was hoping not expecting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Well that was fun for a Friday night. Now the hangover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 ha ha ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 we never go from really good to just good...we go right to zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 The GFS literally rains on our parade. Why god why!? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 CMC and gfs switched places... I think. CMC now a nice coastal. Was inland runner ala the 00z gfs at its 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I win again. All too easy. I just don't understand why an op model would jump like this at 9 day leads. It makes no sense. There's no chance it's wrong either. By this time next week it will be 80 and supercells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I win again. All too easy. we cant even get 2 runs in a row Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Looking at it from a glass half full perspective at least there is a system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: I just don't understand why an op model would jump like this at 9 day leads. It makes no sense. There's no chance it's wrong either. By this time next week it will be 80 and supercells. So that is unusual, huh (I thought so too, but I'm a novice so I wasn't sure). I mean such a dramatic shift? Somethin' the models aren't picking up on? QBO? MJO (could you tell me what that is, exactly? Is it doing something unusual this year?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 CMC is pretty awesome. When has the Candadian ever been wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: So that is unusual, huh (I thought so too, but I'm a novice so I wasn't sure). I mean such a dramatic shift? Somethin' the models aren't picking up on? QBO? MJO (could you tell me what that is, exactly? Is it doing something unusual this year?) I think he was being sarcastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I just don't understand why an op model would jump like this at 9 day leads. It makes no sense. There's no chance it's wrong either. By this time next week it will be 80 and supercells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Alright then...What do you surmise is going on here with the LR this year in general? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, PaEasternWX said: I think he was being sarcastic. Either way...Do days 8-10 usually jump around like this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: CMC is pretty awesome. When has the Candadian ever been wrong? CMC slams me out of your forum region with 11 inches. Never say die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ji said: we cant even get 2 runs in a row In a pattern like this, persistence is key. To win, all you have to do is bet against white (snow). I know the model won't stay the same from here on out, but if you had to bet your life on something, which way would you bet. I'd bet everything on that cutter. Look, it is what it is..no use getting upset. We can't have all 7's on the slot machine every winter. Might as well get this bad one out of the way. I'd love to be wrong and be trolled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: So that is unusual, huh (I thought so too, but I'm a novice so I wasn't sure). I mean such a dramatic shift? Somethin' the models aren't picking up on? QBO? MJO (could you tell me what that is, exactly? Is it doing something unusual this year?) We are looking at an op run at 222...laughter and pain are just part of the process. No one really took the last run seriously nor did they take this one seriously. If you just rely on the seasonal trend temps in the 40s with light rain is the expected outcome. You can never go wrong with that forecast especially this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Alright then...What do you surmise is going on here with the LR this year in general? It's just a bad winter. We get them every so often. We've been spoiled around here and people freak out when we don't get a blizzard per year. We'll be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, BristowWx said: We are looking at an op run at 222...laughter and pain are just part of the process. No one really took the last run seriously nor did they take this one seriously. If you just rely on the seasonal trend temps in the 40s with light rain is the expected outcome. You can never go wrong with that forecast especially this winter. This too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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