mitchnick Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 57 minutes ago, PhatStorm said: That was my senior year in high school, Tazewell Virginia. My memory is we were out of school the entire month of January and another 2 weeks of February due to snow almost daily. They tacked on an extra hour of school each day for a least the last month and we had graduation around the 3rd week of June. You were up on that plateau and were fed by the nw flow of cold off the Lakes. And it was cold that winter, no doubt, just snow starved in these parts until 3 big storms over 3 weeks capped off bt PDI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 I find it interesting that my forecast went from no chance of precipitation Sunday night to 40% chance is snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I find it interesting that my forecast went from no chance of precipitation Sunday night to 40% chance is snow. Trying to score another .25 to put me at .5. I applaud your enthusiasm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 hour ago, Warm Nose said: Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 15 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yup It is nice to have 6 hours with a 10 day storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 I'm cautiously optimistic about the day-10 storm. Since the 12z Monday run, some sort of storm has been showing up on the GFS nearly every run, and it's also showing up on the Euro and GGEM now that they are in range. The ensembles have indicated a stormy period around Feb 5th for a while. That's a good signal that there will be a storm, and indications are that there will also be cold air in the vicinity. At this range we can't ask for much more than that. Obviously a lot can go wrong (rain appears to be the biggest risk), but it's a good look. If nothing else, we'll have something to track for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 After watching some sad HoCo basketball this evening, come back here to find digital snow in all its glory. I love it! Feels good. Who doesn't love a Friday GFS happy hour!? Cracks 2nd 9% IPA and sips slowly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Anybody know what the analogs are looking like for next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 T-Minus 1 hour until our dreams are ruined Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, RidingTheModelWithMostSnow said: T-Minus 1 hour until our dreams are ruined I thought the Euro ran at 2 am? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, Thanatos_I_Am said: I thought the Euro ran at 2 am? 1 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, RidingTheModelWithMostSnow said: T-Minus 1 hour until our dreams are ruined I really don't want to look. This is too much fun. But I will. And wait for someone to say "what storm"...more booze..need more booze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 I would love for Yoda to say "DC crushed at 198!" I would pay for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Nam is frozen at 12 hrs......fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 If it goes "poof" again....I call conspiracy. Somebody's messin' with the models just to send us all to the asylum!!!! But it's gotta be something....4 global models agreeing today? That would just be too cruel for that to just vanish, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Hoping that the new pattern offers the GFS some merit as it usually is decent when the northern stream is driving the bus/train. Heres to hoping anyway. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Nam is frozen at 12 hrs......fwiw its not used to the cold.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: If it goes "poof" again....I call conspiracy. Somebody's messin' with the models just to send us all to the asylum!!!! But it's gotta be something....4 global models agreeing today? That would just be too cruel for that to just vanish, lol saw that and yeah, its been quite some time since we've seen continuity. Hoping trend continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 What a difference 24 hours makes. This time yesterday everyone had called "game over" on this winter. Should be lesson for all of us the next time the models flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 2 hours ago, PhatStorm said: That was my senior year in high school, Tazewell Virginia. My memory is we were out of school the entire month of January and another 2 weeks of February due to snow almost daily. They tacked on an extra hour of school each day for a least the last month and we had graduation around the 3rd week of June. nice to hear of a fellow southwest virginian! It's also fun to see the tennessee valley, mid-atlantic, and southeast forums all reacting to this run. haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 22 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Nam is frozen at 12 hrs......fwiw no worse than the GFS- Para which has been frozen since Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Yea..para hasn't been out for day's Paralyzed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 I don't think the d9-11 period will go poof from having an organized precip event in the east half of the conus. There's a ton of agreement there and the wheels are in motion by d5-6. However, there is plenty of risk of plain rain, light event, or even a whiff south or west. Ops will probably spit out all those alternatives the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I don't think the d9-11 period will go poof from having an organized precip event in the east half of the conus. There's a ton of agreement there and the wheels are in motion by d5-6. However, there is plenty of risk of plain rain, light event, or even a whiff south or west. Ops will probably spit out all those alternatives the next few days. So what you are saying is find the antacids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I don't think the d9-11 period will go poof from having an organized precip event in the east half of the conus. There's a ton of agreement there and the wheels are in motion by d5-6. However, there is plenty of risk of plain rain, light event, or even a whiff south or west. Ops will probably spit out all those alternatives the next few days. If the evolution remains similar one of the keys will be the timing of the northern and southern stream systems. We want the southern stream out ahead. By itself it can get it done like the euro. The gfs has a partial phase at the perfect time. Ggem races the northern stream ahead and so it goes north. Faster southern stream slower northern is a good combo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, PaEasternWX said: Someone in the southeast forum mentioned a triple phaser potential do you see it. Now what is that, exactly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 ****. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 16 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: If the evolution remains similar one of the keys will be the timing of the northern and southern stream systems. We want the southern stream out ahead. By itself it can get it done like the euro. The gfs has a partial phase at the perfect time. Ggem races the northern stream ahead and so it goes north. Faster southern stream slower northern is a good combo. No doubt on the SS out in front. The other way around destroys the mid levels when it counts. Ensembles clearly show a ns low near the lakes on the means so it's worrisome to an extent but timing is on our side to take advantage of the departing cold hp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 and the ledge started Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 10 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Now what is that, exactly? It's when the arctic, polar, and subtropical jet merge I think. Not common and not expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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