Maestrobjwa Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 46 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: How many times have you seen 4 global ops have the same features that might produce snow at 8 day leads so far this winter? Well, if it's something we haven't seen yet this winter, I'll hang on to it for dear life, lol If that lasts another 24 hours....something to watch, perhaps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 9 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Well, if it's something we haven't seen yet this winter, I'll hang on to it for dear life, lol If that lasts another 24 hours....something to watch, perhaps? d8-10 is attention worthy. Specifics aside it has a few things working for it. Ensembles keep us in the game beyond that too. EPS holds the ridge pressing from Scandinavia into Greenland through d15. Just enough push on heights below to keep us in the gradient game. Not a dry pattern either unlike the one we're entering now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 25 minutes ago, BristowWx said: SE crew seem to be less enthused about the EPS. Must be the CAD signature for them Unfortunately they are too far south for being on the right side of the gradient. Heights aren't suppressed far enough on the run. But we're ok for now. It was a great run considering everyone cancelled winter 24 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Unfortunately they are too far south for being on the right side of the gradient. Heights aren't suppressed far enough on the run. But we're ok for now. It was a great run considering everyone cancelled winter 24 hours ago. Thankfully or we could be just cold and dry. Yesterday was a 3 finger drink kind of a day...and I spread my fingers wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 14 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Unfortunately they are too far south for being on the right side of the gradient. Heights aren't suppressed far enough on the run. But we're ok for now. It was a great run considering everyone cancelled winter 24 hours ago. That's what happens when you disappear for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 19 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Thankfully or we could be just cold and dry. Yesterday was a 3 finger drink kind of a day...and I spread my fingers wide. Yesterday was a 3 finger drink kind of a day Never heard that one, but today is a a 2 fister happy hour day....whether or not theres any weather to talk about..... and it sounds like we may have some. Sure hope next week continues to bring us out of the caves. Decent day of model watching today. Here's to a great weekend all. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 18z GFS dropping the hammer with that vortex. More impressive "visit" @ hr 192, after a couple waves roll through with some light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 And here comes the day 10 event..boom! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Just now, C.A.P.E. said: And here comes the day 10 event..boom! It's all coming together. And inside of 10 days!! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 This is the weenie run I've been waiting for! Let's do this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Just now, Bob Chill said: It's all coming together. And inside of 10 days!! Lol lol its gonna be torture( or torcher), but probably not boring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Just now, Bob Chill said: It's all coming together. And inside of 10 days!! Lol Kind of like the late february 2015 storm. High moves offshore, but the cold air is so well establighed across the SE and TV that it can't change us over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Snow maps should be pretty weenie-ish for this one. Enjoy it while it lasts lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 There are several small chances before the day 9 system. Somebody tell Randy we've got something inside day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 5 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It's all coming together. And inside of 10 days!! Lol I remember back in the fall when evaluating analogs that 1999/2000 was high on the list. That was a year that sucked hard 90% of the winter but man did we crush that 2 week window and most remember it as a good year. Maybe we can pull off something similar. Hit one of these small events week one. Then pull off a big one or two week two then call it a season. We can dream right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: There are several small chances before the day 9 system. Somebody tell Randy we've got something inside day 10. Yeah a couple weaker waves that proceed the daughter of PV visit, and help lay down the cold for the day 10 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 9 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It's all coming together. And inside of 10 days!! Lol its happening...9.87 days away baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Just now, psuhoffman said: I remember back in the fall when evaluating analogs that 1999/2000 was high on the list. That was a year that sucked hard 90% of the winter but man did we crush that 2 week window and most remember it as a good year. Maybe we can pull off something similar. Hit one of these small events week one. Then pull off a big one or two week two then call it a season. We can dream right? Go big or go home. Let's just hammer the next 6 weeks with frigid cold and snow. Starting March 16, let's hit 65 and see sun for 55 of the next 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Damn snow map only goes out to 240...widespread 10" amounts at that time but its not over. Some 12-15" amounts down into central NC. Bet they lovin this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 9 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: There are several small chances before the day 9 system. Somebody tell Randy we've got something inside day 10. Nope. I said inside Day 7/8. Then I might be interested. I always make this bet and win: if we're still talking about this threat on Sunday night, I'll make ji an admin for a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 16 minutes ago, MD Snow said: This is the weenie run I've been waiting for! Let's do this. LOL, finally something interesting...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 18Z GFS = Wet Dream for the East Coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 16 minutes ago, Ji said: its happening...9.87 days away baby Well have to practice with 2-3 minor events before the big dog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 12 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I remember back in the fall when evaluating analogs that 1999/2000 was high on the list. That was a year that sucked hard 90% of the winter but man did we crush that 2 week window and most remember it as a good year. Maybe we can pull off something similar. Hit one of these small events week one. Then pull off a big one or two week two then call it a season. We can dream right? These good windows in overall blah winters have been ushered in by the smallest event as the first one (think 1/19/05, 2/7/07). The 1/18/00 dusting to an inch was particularly notable since it was pretty much the original Commutageddon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Wasn't last year's storm picked up within 10 days? Then again, I remember ECMWF being the first one to signal it, I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 D@mn shame we were forced to wait over a year for a Gfs run like that one. Now just give me half that snow and I'll be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Nope. I said inside Day 7/8. Then I might be interested. I always make this bet and win: if we're still talking about this threat on Sunday night, I'll make ji an admin for a day. There are a couple chances inside that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Even when it disappears at 0z... It was nice to finally see a storm like that for our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 21 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I remember back in the fall when evaluating analogs that 1999/2000 was high on the list. That was a year that sucked hard 90% of the winter but man did we crush that 2 week window and most remember it as a good year. Maybe we can pull off something similar. Hit one of these small events week one. Then pull off a big one or two week two then call it a season. We can dream right? For those old enough to remember, 78/79 was not all that different snow wise. Yes it was colder than this winter, but aside from 3-4" from a system that passed near Chicago Thanksgiving week, there was no snow of significance until the end of January through PDI. Then winter was done and warmth ensued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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