DeltaT13 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 You don't see an outage map like this very often....and nearly 18 hours after the event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Any enthusiasm for next Tuesday's storm in central NY........or do we just give up and move to Connecticut or Boston where they have real snowstorms? The last 5 years have been one disappointment after another here for synoptic systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Any enthusiasm for next Tuesday's storm in central NY........or do we just give up and move to Connecticut or Boston where they have real snowstorms? The last 5 years have been one disappointment after another here for synoptic systems.I think we move east where there is at least one Blizzard warning a yr, unlike us, as I believe ttkit's been since 93'. Wait, I may be wrong as KBGM prolly kept it as a WSW.What does Tuesday look like as I haven't looked at models In ova a week so..... Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 9, 2017 Author Share Posted March 9, 2017 39 minutes ago, cny rider said: Any enthusiasm for next Tuesday's storm in central NY........or do we just give up and move to Connecticut or Boston where they have real snowstorms? The last 5 years have been one disappointment after another here for synoptic systems. I don't think so. Almost all Ensembles show a NYC/Boston hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: I don't think so. Almost all Ensembles show a NYC/Boston hit. Kill this garbage winter and bring on a warm spring. I have run my snowblower ONCE since early Feb 2016. Dreading a nino winter in 17-18. Since this winter is sure to be under 55" at BUF, let's see if next winter brings us the fifth terrible winter in the last 7 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 2 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: You don't see an outage map like this very often....and nearly 18 hours after the event! Did you see this?? Officials say the winds at routes 20A and 77 have been clocked at 102 mph There are reports of multiple tractor trailers rolled off the roadway on. Route 77 both north and south of Route 20A. Offcials say Route 77 north of 20A has been shut down to remove the semi from the road. Emergency responders have been assisting residents throughout the county with downed trees and the like. UPDATE 3:05p.m.: Traffic on Clinton Street through Cowlesville is being diverted due to power lines down in the roadways. NYSEG is on the scene. UPDATE 3:15 p.m. A tree is down in the road on Route 354 just east of Route 77 in Bennington. UPDATE 3:42 p.m.: The Village of Attica is reporting widespread power outages as well as roads being blocked by fallen trees and power lines. UPDATE 4:18 p.m.: The tree has been removed from the roadway on Route 354 in Bennington. UPDATE 6:25 p.m.: Authorities report Route 77 has been reopened to traffic, the scene has been cleared. However, the light at routes 20A and 77 is still not functioning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 This is what it looked like at the time.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 5 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: I don't think so. Almost all Ensembles show a NYC/Boston hit. LR forecast discussion NWS BGM says move along, nothing to see here....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Latest Gfs looks improved albeit not the heaviest of precipitation rates but plenty cold.. Gfs total precipitation (top) kuchera ratios (bottom) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 GEFS Mean snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 12z euro also had 3/4" of precipitation, the Canadian was a near miss with a couple inches possible.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Definitely wouldn't sleep on the Tuesday event..May be our last shot.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Euro control as well as many members of the European stall or retrograde this storm in maine as it gets "captured" this in turn allows for a counter clockwise flow over Ontario with some decent wrap around/enhancement.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Maybe this will be the big one for the season. It is March. Historically bad weather month. Roc got obliterated yesterday. Never seen winds that strong for so long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Nice post Delta! Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk Power is out at my house in Irondequoit. Not a fan of wind. That's all. It bores and kinda makes me anxious. Tuesday looks super interesting. This thing will trend stronger and west! It was an epic wind storm. Main roads still closed with power lines down in my area. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Epic 0z GFS run for early next week, particularly for the BGM to ALY corridor. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Yes looking better for next week's storm. Joe bast article saying this will come farther west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Also this weekend looks very squalls and somewhat snowy. 3 to 6 inches I would say in areas from Orleans to Wayne county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Some of this falls prior to start of the storm, but with this track and solution, it snows for 48+ hours between synoptic and enhanced wrap-around, so have to go with the total accumulation of the run through 12z Thursday. I would sign for 50 cents on the dollar right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 U.K. Doesn't look so bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Euro is a disappointment, definitely no Gfs or U.K, agrees with the ggem.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Odd. But ever since upgrade of euro the gfs has been better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Euro looked good at hr 108, almost going due north off the coast of Nc, then it decided to make a quick ENE turn, only the coast sees significant snows.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Top analogs (march 93 #2) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 European ensembles mean snowfall is about 10"-12" for the cuse, 34 of the 51 members have significant snowfall and many others have a nuisance type event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 European ensembles mean snowfall is about 10"-12" for the cuse, 34 of the 51 members have significant snowfall and many others have a nuisance type event..Keep us updated WolfieSent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 European ensembles mean snowfall is about 10"-12" for the cuse, 34 of the 51 members have significant snowfall and many others have a nuisance type event..Is there any semblance of this system trying to come a bit further west then it has been the past couple days?Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 1 hour ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Is there any semblance of this system trying to come a bit further west then it has been the past couple days? Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk I think there is still a decent chance it develops further West. The GFS has really jumped around with its phasing, but the parent storm is only just now getting near the West Coast so pretty soon we will have much better sampling of this system. I'm staying optimistic on this one for now. I like the look of the 0z GFS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 I'm ok with the "share the wealth" 12z GFS. I know some people like the compact, feast-or-famine dumpers, but a widespread foot plus seems ideal to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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