Syrmax Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 8 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: I don't even know what to call this event cuz it sure doesn't look like a lake effect event to me, unless what is directly to on North continues to drop zone and that becomes the band, who knows. Snowing very lightly just north and south of the Great Northern Mall Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Get out of my neighborhood. No Streakers!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 Lake Enhancement up over the Tug. Webcams up there are showing that it's snowing hard around Redfield and Barnes Corners. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 1 minute ago, Revracer800 said: Lake Enhancement up over the Tug. Webcams up there are showing that it's snowing hard around Redfield and Barnes Corners. I noticed that. Good for the Tug. They deserve the snow. Haven't had much this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 Hahaha, yeah horrible winter up on the Tug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 Hey Wolfie, once this goes by, whatever you call it, thats looks like its it cause I don't see anything upstream, but to our West is a much different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 We're rooting for Carol Yerdon to break her record, only a little over 100 inches to go. 7 minutes ago, Syrmax said: I noticed that. Good for the Tug. They deserve the snow. Haven't had much this season. 3 minutes ago, Revracer800 said: Hahaha, yeah horrible winter up on the Tug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 What a shame, as the flow is really really lined up right through H7 with substantial moisture and 850's in the low teens with a WNW flow across the length of the lake, but our luck is just not there this year!Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 That graphic you showed earlier Wolfie from the Nam 3 km certainly does not resemble the current radar, lol! Gotta love these models as they try and forecast LE events. It almost makes em look bad but we all know how hard it is to pinpoint a LES band.Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 I just saw a plow truck fly down Route 370 in Liverpool and my question is what are they even doing out, dropping salt, wasting taxpayers dollars, to pay them time and a half to work nights?Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 Current AFD: For the Rochester area, this particular NW flow direction will likely favor the higher amounts to focus near Brockport and Hilton west of the city from the Georgian Bay connection, and also from Irondequoit Bay and Webster eastward from the better Lake Ontario fetch with the city (especially south of 104) seeing the least. For all of the complaining about how BUF provides only minimal, non-specific forecasts for Rochester, this is exactly the level of granularity that they provide for Buffalo events. Maybe there's a perception that BUF forecasts short Rochester totals and underplay warnings and advisories, but they're not broadbrushing Rochester by any means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 9 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: but our luck is just not there this year! Are you actually below normal for the year at your specific location? Or by "luck not there" do you just mean you haven't been in a total jackpot zone that would put your totals in record territory? Because most of NYS is AN for this season to date, excepting Buffalo which HAS actually had awful luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 6 minutes ago, WNash said: Current AFD: For all of the complaining about how BUF provides only minimal, non-specific forecasts for Rochester, this is exactly the level of granularity that they provide for Buffalo events. Maybe there's a perception that BUF forecasts short Rochester totals and underplay warnings and advisories, but they're not broadbrushing Rochester by any means. I noticed that. I appreciate it too! It's almost like they're listening in.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 Guess we'll know soon enough.. Farther east, lake effect snow has been slow to develop from Rochester to western Oswego County so far, but should fill in quickly through the midnight hour as moisture and cold air deepen over the eastern basin of Lake Ontario.. Greatest lake effect snow totals within the advisory will likely be from Niagara County to around Hilton in Monroe County (on a Georgian Bay connection), and then from NE Monroe County to western Oswego county.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 It's trying to fill in just north of Rochester. Kings radar looks great. All pieces lined up which should bode well for Monroe County. But damn if south shore isn't a fickle b**ch. It makes it fun to watch though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 Should light up real soon Dave. Good luck. Hope you get 6 or more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 50 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: I just saw a plow truck fly down Route 370 in Liverpool and my question is what are they even doing out, dropping salt, wasting taxpayers dollars, to pay them time and a half to work nights? Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk I ask myself that question once in a while, There does seem to be excessive road salt thrown around at times...but I guarantee if they announced they were cutting back to something reasonable, the towns or state or county would have their asses sued by freeloaders looking for a payday. No shortage of them around. Plus the whining and butthurt about saving the children from certain death would be insufferable. relax, we'll get our 2-3" of snow tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 16, 2017 Author Share Posted February 16, 2017 NEW YORK ...CATTARAUGUS COUNTY... PERRYSBURG 14.5 941 PM 2/15 COOP OBSERVER ...ERIE COUNTY... EAST AURORA 4.5 827 PM 2/15 NWS EMPLOYEE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxNoob Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 Could someone be kind enough to explain why there often appears to be gaps in the snow coming off the lakes? Not sure if I am phrasing this correctly but there often seem to be streams of precipitation that seem to come from nowhere: for example the line of snow streaming over the Ithaca area that is not over Auburn currently. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 Radar coverage. Lake snow is low to ground as radar looks farther away from site it over shoots precipitation. Happens rochester area on East to Fairhaven south into northern finger lakes as this area is in between radar in Buffalo a montague Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 Like I said, Cortland County is getting crushed right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 3 minutes ago, tim123 said: Radar coverage ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 Bishop Grimes cancelled all afternoon activities and I guarantee they close tomorrow because they ride every word the NWS spews out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 5 minutes ago, tim123 said: Radar coverage. Lake snow is low to ground as radar looks farther away from site it over shoots precipitation. Happens rochester area on East to Fairhaven south into northern finger lakes as this area is in between radar in Buffalo a montague Could be upslope and/or frictional effects also...not snowing at lower elevations near the lake but the extra upglide and increasing friction away from the lakes in hillier areas wrings out the moisture better. We see this during higher wind events, which this is not, so not entirely sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 If you trace it back its coming from Niagara County from Western lake ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 7 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Bishop Grimes cancelled all afternoon activities and I guarantee they close tomorrow because they ride every word the NWS spews out. Probably see a lot of 2 hr delays tomorrow. Cancellations more sparse in this area with narrow snowbands and 2-3" of snow in general. Phoenix, which is pretty stingy on snow days IMO, had a 2 hr delay Monday but threw in the towel by 0730 when the snow continued. Probably a smart way to do it rather than cancelling based on forecasts. Especially any event that is lake snow related. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 Kbgm 930 update The band of light to moderate snow in the twin tiers continues. This has a Georgian Bay connection still and is moving east. It covers areas from Ithaca to Carbondale including the triple cities. Other lake effect is showing better organization over Oneida County. This is moving south towards Syracuse. After midnight these two areas will join over the advisory area and continue through much of Thursday. Upped pops and clouds some. Adjusted to current conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 I will say this, Radar is not doing this band any justice cause its S+ easily right now with big aggregates as well so maybe its getting overshot by the beam, so we might actually see 3" from this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 51 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Probably see a lot of 2 hr delays tomorrow. Cancellations more sparse in this area with narrow snowbands and 2-3" of snow in general. Phoenix, which is pretty stingy on snow days IMO, had a 2 hr delay Monday but threw in the towel by 0730 when the snow continued. Probably a smart way to do it rather than cancelling based on forecasts. Especially any event that is lake snow related. Grimes will close tomorrow if there's over 3" guaranteed which is just nuts to me. The only reason I know this is because they think I have a kid that goes there and every time they close I get a call. I got one this afternoon when it was completely dry out, actually it was Sunny, lol, but whatever I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 We'll probably see a few inches, it will just take all night to do so lol Probably have about 1/2" in 2 hrs haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 Snowing light but steady, flake size has increased as well, every once in a while u see a "green speck" show up over SW Oswego lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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