CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Liverpool is down to 29 and KROC is down to 31 so we're below freezing throughout the area and with winds advecting in much colder air to our N&E as you can see by the temps throughout the Adirondacks into the teens as well as single digits and even some below 0 temps in NH and Maine. I'm liking what I am seeing so far so now we wait for the initial precip to see what it starts as. I will periodically post this cause it'll show when and where the changeover is located. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 9 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Yea not much change in the euro, consensus seems to be right around 1" LE.. What does 1" LE mean exactly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 1" Liq Eq? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 nevermind I got it wolfie! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Most Likely looks good to me as of now and the latest guidance! KSYR Jacks with 14", lol, so you know somethings wrong when the Cuse is Jacks, lol!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 It looks as thought the Northward push of warmer air has halted for the time being as it is raining in KBUF and likely a mix at KROC when it arrives, If it arrives in the Cuse as a mix or say just plain snow with a bit of sleet then I think we'll be in good shape for the remainder of the event!.The ROC is literally on the line so lets hope its more white than wet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 This will be a fascinating one to watch unfold, going to be real close to the mix line, as they say "u want to smell the taint".. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 This is the updated snowfall map from KBGM. They cut back on accumulations due to more mixing. Snow totals were backed down slightly overall due to model trends, especially in terms of snow-to-liquid ratio during heaviest precipitation. Still a similar amount of liquid-equivalent, just a denser version of the snow-sleet and thus a bit lower number of actual inches. Overall amounts continue to very widely range from only 1-3 inches south- southwest to 9-13 inches northeast. d Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 1st flakes flying here!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 straight snow here and moderate already! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Same here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 I'll give it an hr or 2 before we go over to a mixture of Snow and sleet, but I don't see much liquid falling as per soundings from the recent RAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Actually it never mixes on the most recent run of the RAP, but I think we at least see some sleet for a few hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 freezing rain of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 1 minute ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: freezing rain of course You're getting freezing rain right now? Still all snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Light freezing rain here in Hannibal also, started out as a little light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Right after I posted that we flipped over to ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 1 hour ago, CNY_WX said: This is the updated snowfall map from KBGM. They cut back on accumulations due to more mixing. Snow totals were backed down slightly overall due to model trends, especially in terms of snow-to-liquid ratio during heaviest precipitation. Still a similar amount of liquid-equivalent, just a denser version of the snow-sleet and thus a bit lower number of actual inches. Overall amounts continue to very widely range from only 1-3 inches south- southwest to 9-13 inches northeast. d Much more reasonable. Those higher totals from before were doomed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 All snow right now in BGM with heavy returns approaching. Sitting right on the mix line though. Big parachutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Precipitation is very light here right now, mostly freezing rain. I wouldn't be surprised if it goes back over to snow if precipitation intensity picks up. Looks like the warmest period is now until 18Z then the 0C 850 line starts moving south. Later this afternoon looks interesting as we should be under good precipitation rates that should be all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Right on cue it's back to a sleety snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 We've been all snow here (Otsego County), picked up an inch so far. I think we stay all snow, and I think the 10-12 inch forecast is very feasible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 KROC winds are SE now...not a good sign for frozen. Still E along the lake in NW Wayne cty... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yuki neko Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 35 and pouring rain in Ithaca Snow to the south and north... 38 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: All snow right now in BGM with heavy returns approaching. Sitting right on the mix line though. Big parachutes. 8 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Right on cue it's back to a sleety snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Back to wet snow here, some pretty big flakes mixing in, not hearing any pellets at the moment.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 16 minutes ago, yuki neko said: 35 and pouring rain in Ithaca Snow to the south and north... It looks like rain on the Cornell webcam but to the north over Cayuga Lake it looks hazy like it might be snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 As expected, snow totals were adjusted here to something more reasonable. Any snow here is still welcomed, as before Thursday's deal, it had been more than two years since my last 6" storm. 23 degrees currently, with light to occasionally moderate snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Frz rain here still. Coming down pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Snow's up to moderate intensity here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Winds SE at the lake shore now...31 and with light ZR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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